snowmagnet Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 21 minutes ago, Ji said: painful run man---dec 30,2000 was traumatizing for me and it looks like i have to go through it again It’s just the Euro anyway… just ignore it and look at the JMA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 It's a Miller Lite for us. Less filling, tastes awful. I'm sure thousands have made that joke before me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: Start it Just don’t let Ji start it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, WxUSAF said: You Randy @stormtracker, where's our new thread? May I suggest that your recent track record...sucks?...so maybe have someone else start it? Whatever you do don't let Ji start it. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 The trend is your friend. The 12z Euro snow map gives D.C. 2.5 inches vs .8" at 00z . The eastern shore of Maryland/ Delaware receives 6 inches vs. 2.5 at 00z. I receive 1.3 vs. 1.1 at OOz As I suggested Saturday, if it is still there tomorrow, the party is on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 28 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Apparently, that's me now. Never a doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 27 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Weekend rule in effect.....lock it up Who knows If this still exists as the weekly cycle in aerosol emissions is weaker than it used to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 so now can we talk about when our first 70s of the year will happen in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, pazzo83 said: so now can we talk about when our first 70s of the year will happen in this thread? I want to talk about that gorgeous overrunning event GFS has at hr336. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 WB 12Z EPS. Congrats eastern shore North and East. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Absolutely. As @Bob Chill mentioned and I was discussing yesterday, the northern stream trough swinging through and providing some broad lift may be enough to set a "floor" for this event of something marginally shovelable. But I wouldn't trust this scenario giving us a major (high end advisory/low end warning level?) snow until I'm measuring it on my snowboard. Yes, exactly. Its an escape hatch of sorts. Most of us could possibly entirely miss the coastal and still have a decent event of cold powder. Problem is, people care so much what SNE gets that a "decent" event is a disaster regardless if the coastal does ye 'ole skip-da-malooo (like they often do and everyone knows it lol). 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 hour ago, wxtrix said: hmmm. i got 16” and a blizzard warning in MRB. that’s a big difference. I was in Front Royal then. We got 3" and the sun was shining by mid morning. Massive screw job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 49 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I want to talk about that gorgeous overrunning event GFS has at hr336. Hahaha, you made me go and look at that! Damn that is gorgeous and classic way to get a good snow here! I know it's only an ops model at range, but that scenario has shown up a couple or so times during that approximate time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 hours ago, DDweatherman said: Yup, was still in Baltimore area at the time. So much fresh powder that morning in deform, about 21" where I was total. Some folks back NW towards 795 up to PSU got 2' It was my favorite storm of all time. I'd never seen anything like it before (not counting Jan 1996 when I was 5 years old and have very faint memories). The way it exploded off the coast brought some of the best blizzard conditions I've ever seen, not to mention a snowpack of 30-36" while it was all happening. It was hard to measure but it seemed to be around 20-21" IMBY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Listen if Shooter McGavin had to hit it off of Frankenstein‘s fat foot we can get the storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 WB Fantasy Land GFS…. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 35 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB Fantasy Land GFS…. Hoping for a couple overrunning events the first couple weeks of February. Definitely think thats a better way to score for my location compared to what we have going on this weekend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 hours ago, Bob Chill said: Yes, exactly. Its an escape hatch of sorts. Most of us could possibly entirely miss the coastal and still have a decent event of cold powder. Problem is, people care so much what SNE gets that a "decent" event is a disaster regardless if the coastal does ye 'ole skip-da-malooo (like they often do and everyone knows it lol). I will be adding "ye 'ole skip-da-malooo" to my weather thesaurus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Well, we constantly have a west-N. Pacific trough through 15-day models for several runs now. You can even call it a +PNA, because I thought some of our best patterns like 76-77 and 77-78 had this west-based N. Pacific trough. We need to break this +PNA/+NAO, -NAO/-PNA though, otherwise it wont really snow. I did research that showed after record -PDO's, (Oct-Nov-Dec was the #1 lowest -PDO on record) we actually rebounded with +PNA/GOA or Alaska high for next 2 years. The extreme PNA/PDO events seem to always even/reverse to balance. I don't think that changes our SE ridge state though, which could be present through Winter 22-23 too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 hour ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Well, we constantly have a west-N. Pacific trough through 15-day models for several runs now. You can even call it a +PNA, because I thought some of our best patterns like 76-77 and 77-78 had this west-based N. Pacific trough. We need to break this +PNA/+NAO, -NAO/-PNA though, otherwise it wont really snow. I did research that showed after record -PDO's, (Oct-Nov-Dec was the #1 lowest -PDO on record) we actually rebounded with +PNA/GOA or Alaska high for next 2 years. The extreme PNA/PDO events seem to always even/reverse to balance. I don't think that changes our SE ridge state though, which could be present through Winter 22-23 too. Look you have made some odd posts this winter, but you've been hammering the -PNA and were spot on. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Make it stop Some of these posters....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 hour ago, Ji said: 1 hour ago, yoda said: Make it stop Some of these posters....lol can you imagine these guys during a Dec 26 2010 or March 2001? LOL. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: can you imagine these guys during a Dec 26 2010 or March 2001? LOL. This board wouldn't survive a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Yoda says gfs says were on the wrong side of the boundry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 This is a massive -PNA. We'll be in the 50s higher every day after this storm threat. I really like the 10-11 analog, although the NAO wasn't as negative. NAO really switched in early Feb, should be interesting (I have +NAO signal Feb 7-9 core/max, but we have been veering -NAO for little reason 5/7 months. anyway.. we saw this in March/April, we'll see 2011 was dry 2-year pattern analogs are working Feb 7, 2022, +15day model Record +350dm Pacific High in December > 20% #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 6 straight years of this Central America cold-pattern Feb 4-8 (see 2nd model image above) I used that 6-year consistency to say we would have a -NAO Christmas this year back in November 8 days later -AAM peaks, La Nina condition-pattern, (-AAM is -NAtlantic, +NPacific) +8 days is Feb 12-16, 2022 These AAM's spin and stuff to effect the pattern for a long time, this is last week of February ^+10days, Feb 22-26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 My finger has a cramp from scrolling through all of that.....thanks Chuck 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Author Share Posted January 25, 2022 It’s over. For the 12th time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Really like the look on the gefs later on for having cold and moisture. Hoping we can get a few overrunning events for the 1st half of February. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I came in to mention that it's looking like a good amount of moisture will be coming at us from the southwest. If we get under a decent cold dome, we could absolutely score. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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