CAPE Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: Miller D for disappointment. Still evolving. I wont say no the the GFS or Euro for my yard though. From the preview posted earlier, CMC is trash. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Give us that on an axis 100 miles west or essentially 6 hours sooner and see what happens. its the last bit of trends we need that we never get 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, CAPE said: It's a Miller C. Honestly I think the labels add nothing. Who cares. We can all see the evolution at h5 and the surface. Describe the depiction in that context, and that's what it is. The most basic A/B discriminator is classically: A: gulf low that moves up the coast B: OH/TN valley low that hops to the coast and moves NEward I think maybe a better discriminator is: A: southern stream dominant. Northern stream often phases in. B: northern stream dominant. Sometimes no southern stream involvement at all. The precip pattern shown on the globals is 100% CLASSIC Miller B for this weekend. It's clearly northern stream dominant, although there is some southern stream involvement. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 IMO, that energy in the sw can’t lag behind. It has to match the timing of the ns dropping in. It would also help if it was deeper. And all of it a little further west. If I can think of anything else to add to the wish list, I’ll edit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, Ji said: painful run man---dec 30,2000 was traumatizing for me and it looks like i have to go through it again Yeah, well see you next week man. Spend some time with the fam. Hate to see you go now, but I hear ya. Fare thee well. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, WxUSAF said: The most basic A/B discriminator is classically: A: gulf low that moves up the coast B: OH/TN valley low that hops to the coast and moves NEward I think maybe a better discriminator is: A: southern stream dominant. Northern stream often phases in. B: northern stream dominant. Sometimes no southern stream involvement at all. The precip pattern shown on the globals is 100% CLASSIC Miller B for this weekend. It's clearly northern stream dominant, although there is some southern stream involvement. BOOYAH. Knew I was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The surface changes didn’t do the improvements Justice. It’s worlds apart. 12z euro h5 would argue there a lot more room for a better surface outcome even without much change there. 12z v 0z Given that I don't know a lot, I'm happy that you said this because I was thinking the exact same thing. When I saw that energy diving down the backside of the vort, I thought it was going to 1) close off and 2) go boom. First thing happened at hour 120, but it only did the second as the energy kind of jumped northeast off Nantucket at 126. When I that 126 panel came in, I went from 12 to 6 pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: its the last bit of trends we need that we never get Thought you were out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: Yeah, well see you next man. Spend some time with the fam. Hate to see you go now, but I hear ya. Fare thee well. Wait did you judt send him to the great gettin' up mornin'? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 I agree that it’s northern stream dominant but I’d call it more if a late A than a B. But I’ll bow out of this discussion and defer to those who know more than I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: The most basic A/B discriminator is classically: A: gulf low that moves up the coast B: OH/TN valley low that hops to the coast and moves NEward I think maybe a better discriminator is: A: southern stream dominant. Northern stream often phases in. B: northern stream dominant. Sometimes no southern stream involvement at all. The precip pattern shown on the globals is 100% CLASSIC Miller B for this weekend. It's clearly northern stream dominant, although there is some southern stream involvement. Yeah I get the definitions, I just don't think the labels add much from a pure analysis perspective. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Weekend rule in effect.....lock it up 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Weekend rule in effect.....lock it up Not to mention the anniversaries, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 If it gives me 20" with no rain or sleet I'm gonna call it Killer Z. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Sure How does this work? By invite only I assume? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Weekend rule in effect.....lock it up it really is and i was gonna mention the same. i can't remember the last time a mecs hit midweek. maybe jan 2000. i traveled during 07-08 so maybe i missed something there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I agree that it’s northern stream dominant but I’d call it more if a late A than a B. But I’ll bow out of this discussion and defer to those who know more than I. That’s what it looks like to me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I agree that it’s northern stream dominant but I’d call it more if a late A than a B. But I’ll bow out of this discussion and defer to those who know more than I. Apparently, that's me now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: How does this work? By invite only I assume? PM PSU. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: How does this work? By invite only I assume? Of course not Ralph Steve can get a link out later via DM/e-mail for whoever wants in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah I get the definitions, I just don't think the labels add much from a pure analysis perspective. Agreed. We'll call this one "Miller DC-usually-screwed". 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 I was thinking maybe this would be like Feb '06 but it looks like that was a Miller A? http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2006/12-Feb-06.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Is there growing concern for bombogenesis? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2001/500mb-1200Z-30Dec00.gif 2 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Is there growing concern for bombogenesys? Phil Collins would approve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: I was thinking maybe this would be like Feb '06 but it looks like that was a Miller A? http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2006/12-Feb-06.html http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2001/500mb-1200Z-30Dec00.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Agreed. We'll call this one "Miller DC-usually-screwed". Lock it up 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Yeoman said: Lock it up Quality post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 hear me out guys... what if we just asked it to be a Miller A? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 You Randy @stormtracker, where's our new thread? May I suggest that your recent track record...sucks?...so maybe have someone else start it? 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, WxUSAF said: You Randy @stormtracker, where's our new thread? May I suggest that your recent track record...sucks?...so maybe have someone else start it? Start it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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