yoda Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 12 of the GEFS members give DCA 6" or more... 3 more are close by 4 are absolute monsters of over 18" 2 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said: Euro will be another tick west im sure Or get the H2O stanky foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I feel the pressure for PBP with the Euro. It's like that kicker last night with the Chiefs vs Bills game. Going to be extra extra sure before I post the Jaws theme. I'm so scared. But if I do post it...rejoice. "The euro never makes big moves, only gradual....yada yada", lets get the damn Jaws theme going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 could hear a pin drop in here waiting for that sweet CMC pron Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 I guess we're just not getting the 12z CMC on the sites with the pretty snow maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, Deer Whisperer said: I guess we're just not getting the 12z CMC on the sites with the pretty snow maps? Nope models not loading on Tidbits or pivitol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 28 minutes ago, Scraff said: We should start a storm thread. I like how our sub waits a bit to jinx the storm with a thread. SE and NE subforums sometimes seem to start a thread twelve days out based on a single ensemble outlier snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, TSSN+ said: Nope models not loading on Tidbits or pivitol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 13 minutes ago, yoda said: Nice to see many with significant snow to our south. I'll just say...southwest edge of a Miller B's snowfall prediction = major yikes. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Nice to see many with significant snow to our south. I'll just say...southwest edge of a Miller B's snowfall predication = major yikes. Yea, that's like being on the NW corner of a convective watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 50 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z CMC looks tasty on the precip type map https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html DC snow hole shows up as the storm starts, would cause major radar hallucinations so the run seems legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Euro is running right now, thinking "Imma bout to rain diarrhea on their parade". Just a troll model now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, WxUSAF said: Nice to see many with significant snow to our south. I'll just say...southwest edge of a Miller B's snowfall predication = major yikes. Yup that’s a rule we really need to remember. The majority of the time the back edge on these ends up a little northeast of guidance 24-48 hours out. that has screwed over NYC and Bos too we just don’t notice those because we were way out of it if they were on the back edge. We really want to see this continue to develop further southwest so that we’re not relying on a capture and tuck to pull in precip from our east. Even that ggem run everyone’s excited about would make me really nervous because any slight delay in the capture/tuck and all that beautiful deform snow ends up over NJ instead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Euro is running right now, thinking "Imma bout to rain diarrhea on their parade". Just a troll model now. Euro goes all outta whack on us and shows a Harrisburg Hauler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Yup that’s a rule we really need to remember. The majority of the time the back edge on these ends up a little northeast of guidance 24-48 hours out. that has screwed over NYC and Bos too we just don’t notice those because we were way out of it if they were on the back edge. We really want to see this continue to develop further southwest so that we’re not relying on a capture and tuck to pull in precip from our east. Even that ggem run everyone’s excited about would make me really nervous because any slight delay in the capture/tuck and all that beautiful deform snow ends up over NJ instead. Well of course its going to be a sweat, its never that easy. Its also the best run we've probably seen yet... Let's hope it improves further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 That looks like a lot of "neige" on the CMC precip link you shared @yoda 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 I like how every other forum has a thread for this and we don't because people here believe that if you step on a crack, you will actually break yo momma's back. 3 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Hey guys i'm not here to piss in your punchbowl but can someone show me where the punchbowl is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 30 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Relax pal, give it time. Yesterday was a dark day, we can start to see the light. Was it you that was hammered the other day or @clskinsfan It was me. Hammered is about the only thing I do well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: I like how every other forum has a thread for this and we don't because people here if you step on a crack, you will actually break yo momma's back. We probably should have a thread, but there isn't much we're tracking beyond this in the LR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Yup that’s a rule we really need to remember. The majority of the time the back edge on these ends up a little northeast of guidance 24-48 hours out. that has screwed over NYC and Bos too we just don’t notice those because we were way out of it if they were on the back edge. We really want to see this continue to develop further southwest so that we’re not relying on a capture and tuck to pull in precip from our east. Even that ggem run everyone’s excited about would make me really nervous because any slight delay in the capture/tuck and all that beautiful deform snow ends up over NJ instead. Exactly. HAVE to have reasonable wiggle room on like Thursday's 12z runs if not later. I'm as encouraged as anyone that there's been a big west shift on the progs and it looks like we're in the game. But damn, "La Nina unblocked Miller B" is just a freaking giant klaxon alarm to keep expectations at "partly cloudy". 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, DDweatherman said: We probably should have a thread, but there isn't much we're tracking beyond this in the LR. We will, after the Euro. Regardless what it shows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 12z CMC would be a 10-12" storm in DC metro 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Canadian looks like about 22mm at DCA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 Oh goodie. A thread. Been worried about not having one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Is Ji still out until February? I would hate for him to miss the fun in here right now… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: Is Ji still out until February? I would hate for him to miss the fun in here right now… Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 12Z GEPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Is Ji still out until February? I would hate for him to miss the fun in here right now… He was back for the next GFS model run. clown world 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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