WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Whew, was waiting on somebody else. Yes, NAM looks better than the GFS 84 vs 90 so far. Vort (that tail) is less elongated/more easter So yeah, I agree. We either have to eject the sw piece sooner or slow down/move west the ns piece. I like the option of slowing that ns piece in hopes of a clean phase.However it happens I still maintain we need a neutral tilt at the least by the Mississippi River. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 21 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: They'll have a 0" - 12" snow forecast by Friday and then an apology article why Tangier Island got 13" next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Yeah, I think we would like it if the 12z NAM 84 h5 continued... but just IMO. Time for the 12z GFS to give something good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Yeah the NAM at 84 is quite encouraging. Nice decrease in elongation, looks like better cold leading in too. But still the NAM at 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 ICON is improved from 6z. Not as good as the GFS but a good step west. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 ICON has much better timing. Need better though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 Gaining on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Gaining on it Toddler steps now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 ICON great for beaches… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Gaining on it Gets precip from the coastal to just west of the bay, east of 95. Almost did it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 12z ICON says congrats @usedtobe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 ICON improved compared to 6Z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 Much cleaner and well timed phase. Now if we can get this to happen 100-150 miles further west, and perhaps a bit deeper, game on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: 12z ICON says congrats @usedtobe i'm always good with usedtube winning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Excellent trend on pretty much every model over the last 12-18 hours. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Much cleaner and well timed phase. Now if we can get this to happen 100-150 miles further west, and perhaps a bit deeper, game on. Yeah, that'd help get the trough neutral at the MS River, which is always classic for this area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Here we go guys. Good luck to us all 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, DCAlexandria said: i'm always good with usedtube winning That's kind of disrespectful. Wes is a legend around here and a well respected met. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Obviously early, out to 30...no notable changes 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Goalposts starting to look half decent now. Might be forced to get interested. Or at least rip and read 12z analysis here. TIA! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 9 hours ago, MillvilleWx said: It's definitely closer than prior runs, which I think is a positive step with still some time left to mediate the smaller shifts into something more respectable. One thing I do like is the prospects of a little snowfall prior to the SLP generation with a bit of a diffluent signature prior to the mean trough pivoting eastward. I think that could still give a touch of snow to the area regardless of the coastal outcome. An earlier neutral/neg tilt would only enhance the pre-game component. Something to monitor in the grand scheme of it all. Been showing up on a lot of the recent runs. 06z Icon snows for 6-10 hours with that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 Very interested to watch from 84 hours on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 WB 12Z ICON 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: That's kind of disrespectful. Wes is a legend around here and a well respected met. He is a complete douchebag and i'm very surprised @stormtracker still lets him call him that all the time. He should be banned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Little less spacing in between that front wave and the northern vort digging down at 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Northern vort isn't as far west as 6z so far. at 69 (hehehehehe) 69 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Little less spacing in between that front wave and the northern vort digging down at 57 It’s weaker with the SW coming through MT at 60. I don’t like that. What started the improvements last night 0z was that coming in stronger and it continued through 6z. This run is markedly weaker. maybe it won’t mean much but i don’t like that early on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 I won’t predict but the change out west at 69 doesn’t make me feel good. Let’s see how it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 All gonna come down to timing though and we aren’t that far out yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 Looks like it might have turned it around lol. Hour 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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