WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Perfect time to start the new thread, before the 12z runs. Hopefully boosts the mojo. Mods please pin. Thanks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 hours ago, CAPE said: He lives for the op runs and the digital snow they depict. It’s no weirder than people that play video games all day and live for a digital victory. Or tracking day 10 storms at all for that matter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 As for the talked about pattern "flip" for Feb, this is still a pretty cold look for the first week, and it might offer some better chances with more of a gradient type pattern. The risk would be storm tracks to the north/west. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It’s no weirder than people that play video games all day and live for a digital victory. Or tracking day 10 storms at all for that matter! I'm not judging lol. Makes him happy/miserable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 The NS isn’t digging far enough south on its own it’s a bit too south and active to allow the southern stream )which is healthier than normal in a Nina) to get it done alone. It’s just running interference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: As for the talked about pattern "flip" for Feb, this is still a pretty cold look for the first week, and it might offer some better chances with more of a gradient type pattern. The risk would be storm tracks to the north/west. Yea a -epo -pna pattern isn’t necessarily a torch here. It is if it’s a -5 pna like Dec but that was crazy. Assuming we don’t go back to that we would have opportunities with boundary waves and trailing waves with as much cold as there is in North America this year. As long as we don’t lose the epo there is at least hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 One thing that looks to remain is the fact that the coldest air (relative to avg) in the NH will continue to reside in NA. I wouldn't mind a gradient pattern with Arctic air pressing under some minor south east ridging. Obviously, the risk is always there that we end up on the wrong side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 Not much need to caption this. Op and ens 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Updated thread title because I’m still planning for 10” more of January snow 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 45 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Not much need to caption this. Op and ens Would love to be just on the right side of that gradient and get a bunch of moisture running up and over the dome of cold. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Updated thread title because I’m still planning for 10” more of January snow Yeah. I was gonna say damn Feb got here super early 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yeah. I was gonna say damn Feb got here super early Not any earlier than January. Long range puts us in February. You guys chill lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Not any earlier than January. Long range puts us in February. You guys chill lol As long as it’s chill enough for snow, then everyone can chilly chill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Icon isn't that far off for next Tuesday/Wednesday. Has some vort energy passing under us I wouldn't write off Tuesday for a light event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 34 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Not any earlier than January. Long range puts us in February. You guys chill lol The thread has Medium in the title, no? It's ok, your bad juju is forgiven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Icon isn't that far off for next Tuesday/Wednesday. Has some vort energy passing under us I wouldn't write off Tuesday for a light event. If it ain't snow, it can go. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: If it ain't snow, it can go. Yeah it looks too much like yesterday, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 15 minutes ago, stormtracker said: If it ain't snow, it can go. And it wouldn’t be barring some major model shifting with a lot of pieces, namely getting rid of that low to our north and replacing it with a high. Don’t see it happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: And it wouldn’t be barring some major model shifting with a lot of pieces, namely getting rid of that low to our north and replacing it with a high. Don’t see it happening lol, compare 6z gfs and 12z and like hr 138 (nothing to do with that Tuesday thing). It's hilarious. vastly different. Anything we track is gonna be a sneaker system. No way they get this shit right with changes every 6 hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Becoming more likely to see some light snow Sunday afternoon. GFS has an inch or so up this way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Just now, HighStakes said: Becoming more likely to see some light snow Sunday afternoon. GFS has an inch or so up this way. Maybe some light clipper action Sunday night. Been starting to show up east of the mountains on some recent runs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 GFS bout to do something dumb post 150 hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: GFS bout to do something dumb post 150 hrs compared with 6z at the same time..its hillarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: lol, compare 6z gfs and 12z and like hr 138 (nothing to do with that Tuesday thing). It's hilarious. vastly different. Anything we track is gonna be a sneaker system. No way they get this shit right with changes every 6 hrs Damn...this is one of those situations where you'd never know how different things are just by looking at the surface maps near us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: lol, compare 6z gfs and 12z and like hr 138 (nothing to do with that Tuesday thing). It's hilarious. vastly different. Anything we track is gonna be a sneaker system. No way they get this shit right with changes every 6 hrs At hour 150 I hit the “Prev. Run” and “Next Run” buttons on TT like 6 times because I thought I was looking at the wrong thing. To be generous, 6z looks like it got bad chili. 12z isn’t THAT different from earlier runs at that point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: At hour 150 I hit the “Prev. Run” and “Next Run” buttons on TT like 6 times because I thought I was looking at the wrong thing. To be generous, 6z looks like it got bad chili. 12z isn’t THAT different from earlier runs at that point. Same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Same. 12z seems to be alot less busy with different vorts flying around. More of a consolidated look? well see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 GFS at 177. <jaws music starts to play> 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 The period in about a week has possibilities. Right now it’s the shred factory but that can change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS at 177. <jaws music starts to play> Your might have something there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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