Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

The Annual Countdown to May 1 Thread ©


weatherwiz
 Share

Recommended Posts

Well folks with winter (as in the actual definition of winter) quickly on the downward trend it's now time to gear towards the upcoming summer and more importantly, severe weather season. We really only have 3-full months left before we get to May 1 and the kickoff of severe season. The last few years have been quite intriguing as we've haven't had very active seasons...during the summer. But we have had several fall events, including several fall tornado-producing events. These seem to become more of a trend. Anyways, as winter heads towards the rear view mirror we now look ahead to severe weather season!!!!! With this let's let the countdown begin

101-days to go!!!!!

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1
  • Weenie 7
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 3 weeks later...
  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 4 weeks later...
  • 1 month later...
2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I honestly think a high risk is impossible in New England with the current criteria. It would probably take an ongoing derecho.

I agree with that. I don’t think we could see a high risk here either…unless it was exactly like you said….a derecho plowing through and one of those that lasts from like the upper-Midwest into Canada then comes across parts of NY/PA through New England 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

39 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I agree with that. I don’t think we could see a high risk here either…unless it was exactly like you said….a derecho plowing through and one of those that lasts from like the upper-Midwest into Canada then comes across parts of NY/PA through New England 

I'm not sure if this technically touched New England, but we got pretty close in '98.

Day1may3198.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I honestly think a high risk is impossible in New England with the current criteria. It would probably take an ongoing derecho.

Even the 60% and hatched for wind makes it really tough. 

And tornadoes, forget about it.

 month_all_p_1.C.13_level_TORNADO.0.30_t_

That's 15 years worth of 30% tornado probabilities. The only way one of those contours gets introduced in New England will be if SPC gets hyperlocal on their outlooks.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Even the 60% and hatched for wind makes it really tough. 

And tornadoes, forget about it.

 month_all_p_1.C.13_level_TORNADO.0.30_t_

That's 15 years worth of 30% tornado probabilities. The only way one of those contours gets introduced in New England will be if SPC gets hyperlocal on their outlooks.

Getting into a moderate or high risk is just exciting for some reason but at the end of the day damage is damage 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, OceanStWx said:

Even the 60% and hatched for wind makes it really tough. 

And tornadoes, forget about it.

 month_all_p_1.C.13_level_TORNADO.0.30_t_

That's 15 years worth of 30% tornado probabilities. The only way one of those contours gets introduced in New England will be if SPC gets hyperlocal on their outlooks.

Right. Which is why I made the comment of I think its probably impossible, but maybe an ongoing derecho....

Link to comment
Share on other sites

KLRF 120120Z 18011G21KT 110V250 10SM +FC 1SM DUE N BKN041 BKN060 OVC100 22/17 A2973 RMK RAE0056DZB0056E19 TSE06TSB14 PRESRR SLP069

KLRF 120126Z COR 23023G32KT 9SM +FC +TSRAGR FEW002 FEW027 SCT036 BKN043 OVC060 22/17 A2975 RMK TORNADO B26 N MOVE NE RAE0056DZB0056E19 TSE06TSB14E20TSB21 GR 3/4 SLP075 COR 0233

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...