mimillman Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 18z euro with the goods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Ready 2 b buried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 Not bad at all, but definitely could be better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 7 minutes ago, mimillman said: 18z euro with the goods Including last clipper 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman_ind Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Issued only the 2nd Winter Wx Advisory for this season in central IN today. Still looks like it's trending north I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 And indy gets hardly anything again. This sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 The HRRR continues to drift north and now has the heavy snow band reaching up to Madison. MKX hasn't even issued an advisory for Madison. Meanwhile, Cedar Rapids is in the advisory despite models having trended to showing little to nothing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: The HRRR continues to drift north and now has the heavy snow band reaching up to Madison. MKX hasn't even issued an advisory for Madison. They needed an advisory for several more counties, HRRR notwithstanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman33 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 https://www.chestnutmtn.com/live-cameras/ The 0z HRRR still initialized too far north. It's already snowing near Galena, IL, the returns there aren't virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Zero wind tonight leading to a much more beautiful snowfall then last night. Ratios are certainly better since it’s much colder and the dendrites aren’t getting shattered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Will be enjoying this one at the girlfriends house in the northern burbs. Picked a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 The HRRR is the northern outlier and will be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, mimillman said: The HRRR is the northern outlier and will be wrong obviously. it's just good trolling material one way or another. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Models are underdoing a band of mostly rain in NW IA where temps are in the 40s. Models suggest any precip that does fall here tonight will likely be rain, but with that being said and given the current extent/intensity of precip near the area of low pressure, I wonder if we end up with snow here instead. Soundings prior to precip arrival appear pretty ripe for evap cooling. 2nd sounding should support snow or graupel. Expecting a DAB- even if it does snow. I'm mostly just interested in p-type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 49 minutes ago, mimillman said: The HRRR is the northern outlier and will be wrong Is it though, obs have most of the precip in line with the HRRR right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 The NAMs pretty much agree with the HRRR as well too at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 Don't even need the models, the radar is all you need to tell the story. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Nice banding setting up around the Twin Cities. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Not that it can't score a win. But it has always seemed to me the HRRR is the model for those not in the game to lean on at gametime to give hope only to be left in the ditch. I've done it repeatedly. Weenie take. Good news for me in this instance it doesn't matter much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 If Stebo weren't a met, I'd say he's a weenie trying to will this thing toward Detroit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Don't even need the models, the radar is all you need to tell the story. Low location looks a bit north though as well and there is barely anything falling on the southern end of the shield. A lot of virga in Iowa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, Hoosier said: If Stebo weren't a met, I'd say he's a weenie trying to will this thing toward Detroit. Thankfully I am a met and use meteorology to explain myself. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, Baum said: Not that it can't score a win. But it has always seemed to me the HRRR is the model for those not in the game to lean on at gametime to give hope only to be left in the ditch. I've done it repeatedly. Weenie take. Good news for me in this instance it doesn't matter much. Just like Bears quarterbacks? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 I mean, it does seem like the precip on radar is a tad further north at this point than previously modeled..no? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Don't even need the models, the radar is all you need to tell the story. To add to this, for those in NE IL/SE WI, the place to be appears to be between MSN and I-90. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Chicago and the northern suburbs should still do fine anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 9 hours ago, Hoosier said: 35% chance that ORD finds a way to not be at 10" after this. bump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 16 minutes ago, Stebo said: Is it though, obs have most of the precip in line with the HRRR right now. Tis a bit further north, but I’m not worried. Radar looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Seems like Walworth, Kenosha, and maybe Racine counties should be added to the WWA, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, TheNiño said: Seems like Walworth, Kenosha, and maybe Racine counties should be added to the WWA, no? The southern two tiers of counties need a WWA. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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