Thundersnow12 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 23 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Don't even need the models, the radar is all you need to tell the story. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 From this to this . Glad to see you guys getting into some action. Curious about early Feb. Groundhog surprise?? That'll be for another day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Miss north ouch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 The next clipper, which models were tracking well north of Iowa, is now shown producing 1-2" of snow around here on some models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Miss north ouch You will be stacking them up tonight, don't worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Miss north ouch Rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 40 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: Nice banding setting up around the Twin Cities. Can confirm. 1-2mi vis and parachutes for a couple hours now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Stebo said: You will be stacking them up tonight, don't worry. Really using the term stacking loosely now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 912 PM CST Sat Jan 22 2022 .UPDATE... Issued at 912 PM CST Sat Jan 22 2022 Based on upstream radar trends and the incoming 00Z CAM guidance, we shifted the axis of heaviest snow north by a county. In addition, we lowered snow ratios a hair given a modest warm nose sampled by the 00Z DVN RAOB which places much of the low-level temperature profile just outside the DGZ (new ratios are more like 15:1 to 17:1 instead of 20:1). The updated forecast now features the swath of 3-5" of snow from the heart of Rockford to Chicago, 2-4" from Dixon to Joliet to Wheatfield, and 1-3" from Mendota to Rensselaer. It`s possible we`re still too far south...but at least we seem to be heading in the right direction. Even with a shift in the axis of snow, impacts should remain similar with snow-covered roads within the Winter Weather Advisory area. Regardless, keep in mind actual amounts on the southern side (e.g. La Salle, Grundy, Kankakee, Newton, and Jasper counties) will end up on the lower-end of our snowfall forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: Really using the term stacking loosely now. I didn't say it would stack high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 13 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Can confirm. 1-2mi vis and parachutes for a couple hours now. Visibility down to 0.75mi now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 I still am not under an advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 14 minutes ago, mimillman said: I haven't looked into the latest runs so this may be wrong, but I sort of wonder if the slightly farther north track allows for a window for the IL shore to get some LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 8 minutes ago, TheNiño said: I still am not under an advisory. your in wisconsin. you've got bigger concerns. 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Snow winding down. Looks like a hair over 2” of very powdery snow. Ratios had to be pushing 20:1 for this event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: To add to this, for those in NE IL/SE WI, the place to be appears to be between MSN and I-90. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Ripping virga atm. Nice surface thermal ridge out in IA, with 40 in Ames and just a few county tiers north in Mason City it's 12 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Ripping virga atm. Nice surface thermal ridge out in IA, with 40 in Ames and just a few county tiers north in Mason City it's 12 degrees. It's up to 28º here. Radar looks busy, but not a single flake has fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Accumulating very nicely here. Already about 2” and it’s pure fluff. Must be a crazy deep DGZ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 44 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I haven't looked into the latest runs so this may be wrong, but I sort of wonder if the slightly farther north track allows for a window for the IL shore to get some LES. Unintended consequences Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 21 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: It's up to 28º here. Radar looks busy, but not a single flake has fallen. Sky is getting much brighter now as ceilings lower, think we're getting closer to top-down saturation. Was 17 earlier this eve, but has bumped up to 23. EDIT: First flakes now coming down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Light snow the past hour or so, got a few tenths looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 The surface low is passing directly over Cedar Rapids. The temp near my house just jumped to 37º while the temp is in the 20s a couple miles north. All I got out of this system was a light dusting at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorpion Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Overachieving for sure in MKE! Loving it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 19 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: The surface low is passing directly over Cedar Rapids. The temp near my house just jumped to 37º while the temp is in the 20s a couple miles north. All I got out of this system was a light dusting at the end. Thermal ridge is def the most interesting aspect of this little system for us. Temp is up to 30 here, a 13 degree jump from earlier this eve. Just 20 miles sw MLI is at 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 DVN forecaster doubled down earlier this eve, and that resulted in an epic fail. Appreciate the enthusiasm though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Models are now wanting to sneak in another clipper for Monday. 00z GFS: 00z Euro: 00z NAM: 00z Canadian: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, Spartman said: Models are now wanting to sneak in another clipper for Monday. 00z GFS: 00z Euro: 00z NAM: 00z Canadian: 03z RAP: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 19 minutes ago, Spartman said: 03z RAP: You are either a complete moron, or you are doing this on purpose to exclude 50% of the sub with these graphics that only show areas south of I-80. Either way you should be banned as this has been an ongoing issue with you for the past few years. Go **** yourself. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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