Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 . 4 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 verification of real possibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 6z gfs new hotness 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Bullish these ones 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Number three looks the best. Wouldn’t mind the bare lawn patched getting covered up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 verification of real possibilities.strategic gif choice was made.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3X 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Beat me to it. I was thinking it's time for a thread. Seems like lots of moving parts and may need to extend the date thru the 25th, but finally legit, old-fashioned clipper potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 sunday mood flakes to whiten the ground ahead of a potent clipper would be a quality rebound 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 sunday mood flakes to whiten the ground ahead of a potent clipper would be a quality reboundsaturday mood flakes*. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just going to add a little more to this. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 22 minutes ago, Brian D said: Just going to add a little more to this. How much on the ground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 15 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: How much on the ground? Running between 15-20". If it wasn't for the mid-Dec warm, and rain, it would be around 2' or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 29 minutes ago, Brian D said: Running between 15-20". If it wasn't for the mid-Dec warm, and rain, it would be around 2' or so. What's average peak depth up that way? We neared 2 feet in 2014, 18" in 2015, and 14" in 2018 & 2021, but I'd say avg peak depth is 8-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 12z guidance came in zzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 24 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: 12z guidance came in zzzzz nothing super significant. But never thought there was. But every model did have 3 clippers from Sat.-Tues. Verbatim potential for 2-4" of fluff. A non event in many years. This year, it's a bonanza. Potential exists in the last car of the train.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 hours ago, Brian D said: Just going to add a little more to this. How far off the Lake do you live? One of my fav Youtuber's (Mav) lives in Two Harbors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 38 minutes ago, Baum said: nothing super significant. But never thought there was. But every model did have 3 clippers from Sat.-Tues. Verbatim potential for 2-4" of fluff. A non event in many years. This year, it's a bonanza. Potential exists in the last car of the train.... Really need to get to February, although I think it may be playing with fire with southeastward extent in the sub. Higher risk higher reward type of pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: 12z guidance came in zzzzz It’s fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 IWX feeling the frustration of this winter: Confidence rapidly diminishes with the hybrid clipper to follow early next week. This northern stream wave will have some pacific moisture work, with a separate leftover closed low over the Four Corners likely ejecting east-northeast through the TN/OH Valleys by around Tuesday. It would fit the trend this winter if fgen/WAA snow passes north (or clips our far northern zones) and deeper moisture with the southern stream waves gets sheared well south...keeping the snow drought going. This is actually the model consensus at this time, but still worth monitoring going forward given all the moving parts and large spread in solutions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 I like the 24th system on the GFS for Michigan. Would be even better if it actually phased. It's hard to trust anything in a split-stream pattern though. It will just keep changing with every run until within 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2-4” across the metro between both systems is a good bet. Maybe only 24 hours between events. It will be the wintriest 72 hours we’ve had in the area so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 20:1 ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 wave 3 LOT: TIMING OF THIS WAVE WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED AS ANY SLOWING TRENDS AS NOTED BY THE GFS WILL ALLOW THE WAVE TO BEGIN TO PHASE WITH A SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. thread the needle hope for a more significant event. You can always hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 That's the spirit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 hours ago, weatherbo said: How far off the Lake do you live? One of my fav Youtuber's (Mav) lives in Two Harbors. Right in town within a mile of the water. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, Brian D said: Right in town within a mile of the water. Sounds like a miserable place(weather wise) to be in the Spring. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: What's average peak depth up that way? We neared 2 feet in 2014, 18" in 2015, and 14" in 2018 & 2021, but I'd say avg peak depth is 8-10". Coop site here in town is very inconsistent with depth readings over the years. I looked at Duluth, and they run about 20" Jan-Mar, so I figure with what they have, and what I can glean from ours, I'd say we are avg right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, roardog said: Sounds like a miserable place(weather wise) to be in the Spring. lol Colder here in the spring than inland with the cold lake waters. Summer lake breeze feels real good tho. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 26 minutes ago, Brian D said: Coop site here in town is very inconsistent with depth readings over the years. I looked at Duluth, and they run about 20" Jan-Mar, so I figure with what they have, and what I can glean from ours, I'd say we are avg right now. Last year at this time, had a measly 26" of snow with a 6" snow depth. But that's just the way it goes. Feast, famine, and a whole lot in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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