DDweatherman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, LP08 said: 54 heights are higher in response to the further west dig by the NS. Definitely better than 18z. I will say I like the backside amplification of the N/S which the last run did not have. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Gonna like it better than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 this is much improved 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: There was a time I salivated when central or southern VA was the target 3-5 days out. But over the last 5 years we’ve seen about a half dozen of these and not seen a flake from any of them. DC got into some on the northern fringe. But places like Winchester, Hagerstown, Frederick… have mostly misses every one. The north trend isn’t what it used to be. ETA: that’s not the same as the the west trend when there is no blocking which is still a real thing. Models have gotten better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 Soo close, still misses, but barely. Does get light stuff up to DC south 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 69...much slower than 18z. H5 back in southern Illinois compared to the Indiana ohio border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Good trends tonight. We need similar moves by 12z tomorrow to be fully back in the game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 Maybe that whole "better sampling" trick worked this time. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 00z snow map, less important than the trends overhead, tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: Maybe that whole "better sampling" trick worked this time. Who’s staying up for the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Soo close, still misses, but barely. Does get light stuff up to DC south gfs actually had a euro solution 3 days ago lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Maybe that whole "better sampling" trick worked this time. im going with the Nam. it always sniffs out the bad stuff and we buy it...so lets buy it now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Much better. Deeper and slower. I was using the 549 height line for reference. At 0z Friday night (Sat) it was just north of Nashville on this run and in the prior run it was just south of Huntington. That’s a big difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Much better. Deeper and slower. I was using the 549 height line for reference. At 0z Friday night (Sat) it was just north of Nashville on this run and in the prior run it was just south of Huntington. That’s a big difference. Agree, really like the improvement. AND... this is one of those things where minute improvements can have big impact downstream wrt surface truth, low track, precip, etc. if we get more phasing to occur 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 hours ago, stormtracker said: Come back in like 2 hours if you can. It's going to be full f*cking Fukushima in here. lol it’s not that bad. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Who’s staying up for the Euro? Not I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 But is this really a positive trend or just models coming to consensus. If the most amplified models trend weaker and the least trend stronger that’s not really any change in the overall situation. If the euro goes back to a big hit then we actually made progress over the last 24 hours. Otherwise all that’s happened in everything met in the middle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, mappy said: lol it’s not that bad. Well, outlook has gotten better on the models. That cooled the fusion reactors. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, psuhoffman said: But is this really a positive trend or just models coming to consensus. If the most amplified models trend weaker and the least trend stronger that’s not really any change in the overall situation. If the euro goes back to a big hit then we actually made progress over the last 24 hours. Otherwise all that’s happened in everything met in the middle. Man... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Man... Don’t worry my words have no bearing on the outcome. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 GEFS has much more stream interaction 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Still alive baby lol 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 16 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Not I At your age it’s rough staying up for the Srefs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 21 minutes ago, Ji said: gfs actually had a euro solution 3 days ago lol Yo I was just thinking about that! I've actually been toggling back and forth from Saturday's 18z ever since to see the differences, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 00z GEFS ensemble mean SLP placement looks alot better than 18z imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well, outlook has gotten better on the models. That cooled the fusion reactors. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Some changes on CMC thru 60 as well at h5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Some changes on CMC thru 60 as well at h5. It sucks ass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Yeah, it’s a little closer, but the final result still sucks for us. It appears that the ops are agreeing on a solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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