Volcanic Winter Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 hour ago, sussexcountyobs said: Snow is over. Blue skies peaking thru clouds. 1.3" total Lucky. 0... Maybe 1/10th of an inch on grass in Hillside near Newark and exactly 0 in Toms River. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Still too warm. 34F with clearing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Last bit of light snow here. Sky beginning to brighten. At least it looks nice outside again and it’ll be sticking around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 23 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Last bit of light snow here. Sky beginning to brighten. At least it looks nice outside again and it’ll be sticking around. Should be gone by end of day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 20 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Should be gone by end of day yep melting here as the sun starting to break through and it's 31-32 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 this was a bust....the GFS horrible...why are the models so bad 24 hours out, and in my lifetime, I have never seen these systems crossing like this work out rarely maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, winterwarlock said: this was a bust....the GFS horrible...why are the models so bad 24 hours out, and in my lifetime, I have never seen these systems crossing like this work out rarely maybe Models were fine for this, it’s the weenie snowmaps that were horrid 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 what about the mets on tv who said 1-3, how about mt holly that put out maps for 2-3 for central jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 Will try and post 2 days snow totals (small) Friday evening. No other comments from myself on anything future or currently threaded til either 830P this eve or sometime Friday. Holding 29F here in Wantage at 1241P. I just checked HPC HREF (12z/20 version) and it still is too high for today. Don't think most modeling grabbed the essence of 33F+during the day minimizing snow accumulations further than what it was doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 30* & cloudy here as of 1PM, with less than an of snow OTG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Nothing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Finished with .5" in Syosset on the snowboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 .5" final here. Looks pretty though. 29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 0.2" 33° BKN South Commack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1.2” total here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1.5 inches total, Highland Mills Orange County. Solid snow cover since January 7th. Is that piling on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 hours ago, kat5hurricane said: We had a 6-8 inch storm locally just a few weeks ago which is almost a third of NYC's annual snowfall average and is close to the January average. Some perspective is indeed for what a NYC winter should look like. NYC's average is 30 inches per season. You're maybe going a little to far in the other direction. But the warming winters do make it tough for the urban areas to keep a snowpack when they get it, and that to me is the more disturbing part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 HERE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 0.5” here. I was hoping the snow could hang on a while longer but it lightened up and as with every other system sped east. 9.5” for the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 sun has been out for about an hour-most of the coating is gone except shady spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Had a dusting in Lindenhurst only on the coldest parts of the grass and trees, all gone now. My expectations were low though since we rarely score on these frontal situations so I’m not exactly feeling any dissapointment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: Had a dusting in Lindenhurst only on the coldest parts of the grass and trees, all gone now. My expectations were low though since we rarely score on these frontal situations so I’m not exactly feeling any dissapointment Agree I think this was a expect not much hope for the best scenario more than a bust. This type of situation usually doesn't produce much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Busted on the high side here. Enough snow that it was plowable. Probably 2-3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, nyrangers1022 said: Busted on the high side here. Enough snow that it was plowable. Probably 2-3 inches Where? So far seems to be the one location that busted high lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 9 hours ago, RU848789 said: Was worried about a later changeover and less snow - definitely could bust low, although the NWS didn't change their advisories/maps... Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 526 AM EST Thu Jan 20 2022 NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 515 AM...We`ve made some adjustments to the forecast grids as the colder air is taking a little longer to move in. Somewhat diffuse cold front currently located over eastern PA and slowly pushing south/east but most of the region still in the mid 30s or warmer at this time with rain. Cold advection is underway though in the boundary layer and still expect a change from rain to snow from NW to SE over the next several hours as precip continues to move north and along the front. The change over from rain to snow should occur by around sunrise from Berks County extending north and northeast through the Lehigh Valley into northern NJ and by mid morning (8am-9am timeframe) across the I-95 corridor. This is about one to three hours later than previously forecast. Snow will continue for several hours through the morning centered roughly near the I-95 corridor. This will not be a big snowstorm and for the most part the rates should be on the lighter side however there will be the potential for periods of moderate snow to set up here right around mid morning as the best forcing associated with the F-Gen and upper jet dynamics moves through. The precip should then come to an end NW to SE around the late morning / early afternoon time frame as colder, drier air continues to advect in on N/NW winds. It will last a bit longer though over southern Delmarva and coastal New Jersey but these areas will also take a bit longer to change from rain to snow. In terms of snowfall accumulation, generally expect 1-2 inches within the area under the Winter Weather Advisory. Over the southern Poconos and near the coast amounts will be a bit lower...generally a coating up to an inch. The warmest temps of the day will be in the early morning as temps will fall behind the front. By early afternoon most areas will be in the 20s to low 30s with temps falling further through the 20s beyond this time. As N/NW winds increase to 10-15 mph (with higher gusts) this will make it feel even colder. This AFD was when we knew we might be in trouble and it just got worse from there. Didn't help that the 0Z models were showing anything from 0 to 5" of snow just hours before the event started - we don't usually see that bad of a spread that close to an event. I know there's more to forecasting than picking the right model or following a blend, but this had to be a tough one for the pros and I can see why one would've forecast 1-2" - and been wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 59 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Where? So far seems to be the one location that busted high lol. Cornwall on Hudson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 hours ago, Dan76 said: HERE well thats a nice round number? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: NYC's average is 30 inches per season. You're maybe going a little to far in the other direction. But the warming winters do make it tough for the urban areas to keep a snowpack when they get it, and that to me is the more disturbing part. I've come to expect around 22 inches as the average here. If you look up 30 year 30" snowfall averages we don't seem to get them anymore-- the last 30 year average barely missed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: Nothing here a big fat T here changed over around 10 and ended around 12 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 lol, might as well try to find some humor... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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