SouthCoastMA Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 It depends on the tread..if you have AWD tires with good tread, you'll be fine as long as you don't drive like an ahole 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 44 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Let’s see what 18z hrrr does , I’ve noticed the 0z 6z 12z 18z to be more in line with each other while in between runs waffle. After the 12z there's not too much guidance that supports more than a 1-2" event. HRRR typically cuts back QPF once you start getting with 18-24 hours...and let's be honest, really isn't a piece of guidance we should put a lot of faith in more than 6hrs out. I'm guessing it probably performs a bit better in an event like this where there's not a bunch of convection and complex dynamics to deal with...but still not holding my breath that it scores a coup. Was hoping to see this ramp up a little more as we closed in...but about out of time. 1-2" is still better than a goose egg though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Can I still expect 1-2 flurries here? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Maybe unpin this POS too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Maybe unpin this POS too How dare you demote what could potentially be my 2nd biggest storm of the year. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Maybe unpin this POS too You need to stay positive!!! Don't give in to those negative unhelpful thoughts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 44F here with rain showers ahead of this event overnight. NWS has 1.5" forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I will take my 2 to 4 and run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: 44F here with rain showers ahead of this event overnight. NWS has 1.5" forecast. 45.7F. Other than the wind, can't complain about this at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I will take my 2 to 4 and run What model has 2-4? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I will take my 2 to 4 and run I am feeling giddy . Love these events 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I am feeling giddy . Love these events Beer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What model has 2-4? None. The answer is none. Might be an inch or so for the south coast. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 18z NAM kind of reversed the trend from 12z....a bit juicier in southern areas while cutting back to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Folks are hurtin, hate to see it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z NAM kind of reversed the trend from 12z....a bit juicier in southern areas while cutting back to the north. These Arctic fronts are a giant pain in the ass. Not only is this a major forecast challenge for up here but pretty much along the entire front stretching down into southern Texas. Models have been wavering back and forth since last Friday about the wintry potential across southern Texas. 18z NAM even looking a little juicer down there for tomorrow night...thankfully they get above-freezing Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 19 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: None. The answer is none. Might be an inch or so for the south coast. https://tenor.com/3uVp.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Final forecast is unchanged . 1-3” up to at least ORH to Will in Hollystown to BOS. 2-4” 90 south with spot 3-5 zone and 6” for a Jack town or two from HFD to GInx area. I’m thinking 3-4” here to add on to the pack . Looking forward to it . 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 17 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: These Arctic fronts are a giant pain in the ass. Not only is this a major forecast challenge for up here but pretty much along the entire front stretching down into southern Texas. Models have been wavering back and forth since last Friday about the wintry potential across southern Texas. 18z NAM even looking a little juicer down there for tomorrow night...thankfully they get above-freezing Friday I'm sitting this one out. Not worth it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm sitting this one out. Not worth it. For someone who said they were taking a break .. you sure have a lot of posts today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: For someone who said they were taking a break .. you sure have a lot of posts today That is a break....down from 200 posts daily to like 25. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm sitting this one out. Not worth it. It's really not a big deal for most. I still think there is going to be a strip of 1-3'' (localized 4'' amounts) but it is going to be very narrow and be confined closer to the coast (though not the immediate coast). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: It's really not a big deal for most. I still think there is going to be a strip of 1-3'' (localized 4'' amounts) but it is going to be very narrow and be confined closer to the coast (though not the immediate coast). Will be well north of the coast 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is a break....down from 200 posts daily to like 25. A break is leaving temporarily 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Will be well north of the coast doubt it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Can I still expect 1-2 flurries here? I think more here, probably 3-4 snowflakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I feel like in these type of set ups your highest snowfall totals typically occur closer to the coast because this is where there is greater enhancement with one reason being the strong temperature gradient between land/ocean temperature. You throw llvl fronts within this area and you vastly increase llvl convergence and subsequent upward vertical motion within this region. Also, being closer to a water source probably delays the onset of stronger dry air advection which occurs behind the front. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: doubt it Ok 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Final forecast is unchanged . 1-3” up to at least ORH to Will in Hollystown to BOS. 2-4” 90 south with spot 3-5 zone and 6” for a Jack town or two from HFD to GInx area. I’m thinking 3-4” here to add on to the pack . Looking forward to it . Should be a nice refresher on top of the frozen tundra. It could stick around until the next one too, hopefully. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 There is zero pack in these parts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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