ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 hour ago, JC-CT said: GEFS got really dry too, hmm Definitely still some red flags on this threat. Gonna need to see some solid improvement on euro to get confident. As much as the euro has not been it’s dominant self recently, it still is not typically going to be that far off inside 48h so hopefully we see a bump here soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Was thinking of maybe doing a strip of 2-4'' but overall think the majority of higher totals will be more in the 1-3'' range. Really like the signal for some stronger llvl lift moving across southern Connecticut. Regardless, the Thursday morning commute is going to be quite slick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Euro is a little better for sure. Still not buying anything significant though. 1" line about up to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Pretty decent bump by the euro. It’s on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Pretty decent bump by the euro. It’s on Meh, need to see more than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Yeah big move there 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Meh, need to see more than that Let’s see what 0Z brings. For the euro it’s a big bump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Meh, need to see more than that For euro standards that was pretty good. Like a 40-50 mile shift. One more bump like that and it would look like some of the snowier guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: For euro standards that was pretty good. Like a 40-50 mile shift. One more bump like that and it would look like some of the snowier guidance. Euro really hasnt been good here, so that is a positive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Euro caving to NAM. NAM schooling the Euro. Times have changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Here’s the difference between 12z and 18z. You can see how another similar move would bring the fronto goods into SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I agree with you Will, just that if this IS the compromise then it's still meh verbatim. I think we are saying the same thing...another bump would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I agree with you Will, just that if this IS the compromise then it's still meh verbatim. I think we are saying the same thing...another bump would be nice. Yeah if the NAM and GFS slink back SE at 00z and converge on an 18z euro solution, then we’re screwed outside of south coast towns. But I’m starting to think this may keep coming NW for another couple cycles. I like that there is a little bit of southern stream energy infused to get this going. Anecdotally, I feel like those trend more amped a bit more frequently than not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 We def snow now . Verbatim that is 1-3 to pike 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: We def snow now . Verbatim that is 1-3 to pike Methinks you aren’t quite sure where The Pike is… 1 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Methinks you aren’t quite sure where The Pike is… It goes through his backyard in winter 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Methinks you aren’t quite sure where The Pike is… You are looking too much into it. You don’t use the qpf totals. You look at how far north it is and that gives you a general idea of where it snows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 0z is going to start good. Hrrr is north and wet. Maybe too wet lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: You are looking too much into it. You don’t use the qpf totals. You look at how far north it is and that gives you a general idea of where it snows Verbatim usually means verbatim 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: 0z is going to start good. Hrrr is north and wet. Maybe too wet lol. Looks like it held serve from 18z for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, 78Blizzard said: Looks like it held serve from 18z for the most part. It definitely beefed up certain areas. Didnt really cut back any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 It was also on the higher side of guidance, so the fact that it got better is good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It definitely beefed up certain areas. Didnt really cut back any. If you call an additional .05 qpf in my hood beefed up, lol. But the South Coast and LI did do better than that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, 78Blizzard said: If you call an additional .05 qpf in my hood beefed up, lol. But the South Coast and LI did do better than that. Believe it or not, I wasnt referring specifically to your house. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Believe it or not, I wasnt referring specifically to your house. It's early but this is already the post of the year 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Don't understand why people are calling it anafrontal. Sure a front passes but it's actually a wave developing on the southern extent which is pretty typically how LP develops. Many claim their hate for small events here but in normal winters they make up to 2/3rds of the accumulation days. The 12 inch events in fact are rare. Young people here are pretty used to the big event and disappointed when it doesn't occur but fact is most don't work out. Yea. Grab a few inches from the analfront and then pull a few more from the clipper next week. Keep it cold in between and it’s fine. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 This in some ways resembles an event around 1/7/97-exact date may be off but an impulse that was to completely miss us was heading in from KY. My wife watching TWC was jumping up and down that we were getting nailed. BOS got around 7 inches which is pretty much what the metro got. Xc skied all day in the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 00z NAM narrowed playing field 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 00z NAM narrowed playing field I don’t like the sound of that. It might mean I’m on the hook for managing to fully staff my mosquito worshipping service. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: I don’t like the sound of that. It might mean I’m on the hook for managing to fully staff my mosquito worshipping service. Subtle shift S & E with forcing and resultant QPF. Really amounts to noise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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