Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,598
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    PublicWorks143
    Newest Member
    PublicWorks143
    Joined

Thursday 1/20/22 Stat Padder Discussion and Observations


stormtracker
 Share

Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Just a reminder the GFS isn't to be used for situations/events like these. Just at 18z yesterday, they had 3-5" along 95, while the euro had .5-1.5". 

Euro still has a better resolution and performed a bit better with this one. We know these are notoriously tricky and tough ones to do well in even during peak climo periods. 

yea, though even the short-range high res models called for more.  i'm not even sure a single flake fell in frederick and some of those models were calling for a couple of inches, though this is also why it's futile to just look at snow maps.  i had some doubts yesterday when i looked at the surface obs and saw the wind shift was still out in the midwest...the cold air just got delayed in an anti-cad kind of way.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, mappy said:

elevation for the win. its not even a half inch here, just going to call it a trace

i can't tell if the cold air got delayed (probably at least part of the problem) or the precip was too quick to move through/low formed further south.  either way, timing was definitely off for the nw crew.  looks like eastern portions were at least able to snag some light stuff at the end.    

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, 87storms said:

i can't tell if the cold air got delayed (probably at least part of the problem) or the precip was too quick to move through/low formed further south.  either way, timing was definitely off for the nw crew.  looks like eastern portions were at least able to snag some light stuff at the end.    

A combination of both, I think. Chasing precip as cold air moves in, never works well for us. Precip moves out faster, cold air moves in slower. 

Regardless, I am happy with seeing snow this morning. Ground is white again, will be cold for the next few days. Could be worse! 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

FWIW, just drove from Arlington to Woodbridge (IKEA, because again, I hate myself). Flakes mixing in around beltway when I left at 8:45, then all rain from Braddock Rd south. On the way back, no flakes until I-66 (9:45ish), so it does not look like the snow line was really dropping south quickly at all.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...