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Thursday 1/20/22 Stat Padder Discussion and Observations


stormtracker
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4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

I think for me, I'm leaning like 0.75"-ish.  By the time we flip (8-ish) and it gets cold enough and heavy enough to accumulate (8:30-ish?), Not sure there's a whole lot left to squeeze out.  I do think there will be a NW to SE band, and they can be unpredictable

I’m thinking something similar to the 2/7/21 storm last year. Had a warm day prior and it was a bit slower to flip than modeled with inside the beltway underperforming a bit. 

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Latest HRRR shows more snow in NJ and into NYC / LI than our area 

GFS may be turning us over too quickly - almost all other models are less snowy this AM.

Radar is definitely juicy to the west and temps are down to 37 here, so let’s see how this all unfolds. 

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Have a good friend from my college days who lives out in Lexington KY reporting heavy snow - big flakes with 1” per hour rates. Said temps crashed like a rock once the main batch of precip arrived and it’s sticking with ease. 

Heavy snow in WV and KY with a moisture train trailing back to the TX / LA border with strong thunderstorms popping up on the tail end. Not sure how much of that precip is supposed to make it up this way, but if we can drop to freezing by 6-7am, we should be money for 2-3” of paste. 

Just had a heavy rain shower come through. Temps falling slowly. 38*F

01174E8A-D338-4761-8C1E-AD4D902FC4B2.jpeg

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