Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 12 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Looks in line with the other guidance now . General 1 to 3 across most of the area. Keep seeing several enhancement like dots for the Cascade area. Could see a 3-5" report there again. Temps will not be as big of an issue there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Changeover a little later on the NAM but it looks like rippage at 8-9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 NAM looking great for DC - 2 inches by 10 am and dumping. EDIT: 3 inches on the 10:1 maps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 24 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Looks in line with the other guidance now . General 1 to 3 across most of the area. Boy, the Nam has been leading the way on this as to having it first (earlier this week) but its really minimalizing it up this way now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Hmmmm... 12z NAM drops 0.4" QPF at DCA between 12z and 18z (which is between hr 24 and 30) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 3k flips the city over between 7-8 with mod snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: NAM looking great for DC - 2 inches by 10 am and dumping. EDIT: 3 inches on the 10:1 maps. The temperature drop isnt nearly as impressive on the NAM though, 32-33 during snow...TT 10:1 map generally shows 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Boy, the Nam has been leading the way on this as to having it first (earlier this week) but its really minimalizing it up this way now. Alot of the guidance is focusing the best precip just to the east of us. I'd feel better about this one if I was from Carroll County east. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said: The temperature drop isnt nearly as impressive on the NAM though, 32-33 during snow...TT 10:1 map generally shows 1-2" 3-4 on 10:1... 2-3 on Kuchera for i95 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 ratios will probably be higher than 10:1 given temps are crashing as precip is falling. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2-3 on 12z 3km NAM as well for i95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Alot of the guidance is focusing the best precip just to the east of us. I'd feel better about this one if I was from Carroll County east. Yea, the wave/enhancement is a bit late for us on the Nam. Front is through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Yea, the wave/enhancement is a bit late for us on the Nam. Front is through. 3k is basically a whiff for our area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 11 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Alot of the guidance is focusing the best precip just to the east of us. I'd feel better about this one if I was from Carroll County east. The front the wave is sliding among has been pressing more each run. Not overly optimistic up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 12z NAM with a similar strip of heavier precip along 95 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: The front the wave is sliding among has been pressing more each run. Not overly optimistic up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Mesos look pretty juiced for the 95 corridor. A general 2-4 across all of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/17/2022 at 3:02 PM, WxUSAF said: Kill this storm and all in on Saturday. #Euro #RetakeTheThrone 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Chris78 said: Looks in line with the other guidance now . General 1 to 3 across most of the area. Not the biggest fan of the that western edge creeping up on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Looks like we get cold Thursday night, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 22 minutes ago, mappy said: 12z NAM with a similar strip of heavier precip along 95 All chips in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, Scraff said: All chips in. They weren't in before? It will snow for most as temps drop. But how much? who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, mappy said: They weren't in before? It will snow for most as temps drop. But how much? who knows. We just can't know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Looks like all of the mesos have a general 1-3 for pretty much everyone north of CHO. Freshening up the snow pack sounds good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Updated morning HWO has changed the wording from accumulating snow is possible to accumulating snow is expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Why no WWA ? are they waiting for noon runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I'm always a big fan of the NAM Nest for this type of event, but it's worth noting that it's a bit later with the changeover than other CAMs, and it's also less aggressive with the temperature crash during and just after the event. Actually, the HiRes Window FV3 is also a bit slower with the change to snow and is a bit closer to the NAM Nest temperatures (although it still drops lower as the event gets cranking). I'm going to watch these details in later CAM runs today. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Interesting... 12z RGEM hangs some light snow around into the evening time period -- 21z or so ETA -- I see why... front is slower than the NAM twins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, yoda said: Interesting... 12z RGEM hangs some light snow around into the evening time period -- 21z or so ETA -- I see why... front is slower than the NAM twins And 12z RGEM says N and W of town get the 1-2" of snow... nothing for the i95 or major metros Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 31 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said: Why no WWA ? are they waiting for noon runs? I know right? WTF where are my warnings? It can’t be expected to snow without them!! C’mon!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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