snowfan Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 King NAM kicking off HH the right way. 3 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Shoveling my ice glacier right now outside. Is the NAM ejecting the SW out west similar to the euro? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, snowfan said: King NAM kicking off HH the right way. No one cares about this storm succeeding if it messes up the big one, but is nice to see a good run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: No one cares about this storm succeeding if it messes up the big one, but is nice to see a good run. We don’t live in some snow mecca. If there’s a chance for the good white powder to fall down on us, we do not turn our noses up at it. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, snowfan said: We don’t live in some snow mecca. If there’s a chance for the good white powder to fall down on us, we do not turn our noses up at it. We do if it prevents 20 inches from falling in us… 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 15 minutes ago, snowfan said: King NAM kicking off HH the right way. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, snowfan said: We don’t live in some snow mecca. If there’s a chance for the good white powder to fall down on us, we do not turn our noses up at it. Amen 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: We do if it prevents 20 inches from falling in us… We never pass on one. The next one is never guaranteed, no matter what anyone says. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pogoism9 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 I do recall a few days prior to the Jan 2016 storm, we had a small ice event come through. That storm pretty much came though a few days later and it was like a lion attacking an already wounded gazelle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: We do if it prevents 20 inches from falling in us… This is where mistakes are made. When Ma sends you snow and you aren't genuinely grateful for it, she remembers it and you will pay for it. As soon as I accepted that and put it in practice, the MoCo deathband was reborn. I kid you not. Just ask @WxUSAF. He knows. He did the same thing and the connection was made setting up the HoCo-MoCo deathband. 6 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, Bob Chill said: This is where mistakes are made. When Ma sends you snow and you aren't genuinely grateful for it, she remembers it and you will pay for it. As soon as I accepted that and put it in practice, the MoCo deathband was reborn. I kid you not. Just ask @WxUSAF. He knows. He did the same thing and the connection was made setting up the HoCo-MoCo deathband. Haha ok I take it back. Bring on the snow, any snow, no matter how it may affect future snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Could easily be more than I got yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 I don’t want this possible event to ruin the potential of a big boy on Friday/Saturday, but if it lays down 3” followed by cold, I’m not going to turn my nose up at it. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Is there any reason this system would prevent/reduce the likelihood of the second? I don't know enough about how this would interact. Does it become a spacing issue if there's too much energy in the first one or something? Or just superstition? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 38 minutes ago, pogoism9 said: I do recall a few days prior to the Jan 2016 storm, we had a small ice event come through. That storm pretty much came though a few days later and it was like a lion attacking an already wounded gazelle Yes! I live in the plains which is northern fauquier and I remember a couple days before we had a dusting to an inch proceeding that big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, baltosquid said: Is there any reason this system would prevent/reduce the likelihood of the second? I don't know enough about how this would interact. Does it become a spacing issue if there's too much energy in the first one or something? Or just superstition? I think one of the Mets touched on this...it has to do with where the boundary is setting up. I think maybe if the first storm happens more to a degree, the trough/boundary pushes more off the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Feel like the RGEM took a step in the right direction, it's slight but this whole event is slight, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 42 minutes ago, mattie g said: I don’t want this possible event to ruin the potential of a big boy on Friday/Saturday, but if it lays down 3” followed by cold, I’m not going to turn my nose up at it. Agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 GFS generally 1-2 esp south and east of 95. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 What is the timing on this possibility? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 7 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: What is the timing on this possibility? overnight Thursday. Ending around 7am fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: overnight Thursday. Ending around 7am fri Move it up 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: Feel like the RGEM took a step in the right direction, it's slight but this whole event is slight, lol. Ala 2014. Lol. From the early Jan storm (7th maybe?) until end of Mar there was something trackable. More than once, while we were tracking a midrange threat, a short range threat would pop. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Ala 2014. Lol. From the early Jan storm (7th maybe?) until end of Mar there was something trackable. More than once, while we were tracking a midrange threat, a short range threat would pop. Yeah there were two in January 2014 that I have documented...Jan. 2-3 and Jan. 21. I think that's the year when we had something in the short range and everyone would pile into that thread as models came in for the first ~84h. Then moved into the medium-range thread that had the next threat! It was wild. Like changing classes in college!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 20 minutes ago, HighStakes said: Move it up 24 hours. ? wed into thursday morn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, Imgoinhungry said: ? wed into thursday morn? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 12 minutes ago, HighStakes said: Yes Thanks for the clarification. I thought we originally talked about Thursday to Friday, but the GFS map showed that it was done by Thursday afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, snowmagnet said: Thanks for the clarification. I thought we originally talked about Thursday to Friday, but the GFS map showed that it was done by Thursday afternoon. yep, just saw that. Thanks for clearing it up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 At this rate milk/bread/eggs&TP won't be found until tax day! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDSnowyWxTracker Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 hour ago, jewell2188 said: Yes! I live in the plains which is northern fauquier and I remember a couple days before we had a dusting to an inch proceeding that big storm. Yeah that storm was a nightmare for being a dusting to an inch. I lived in Ellicott City/Columbia area at that time. Most did not think much of this event so they did not brine the roads at all. I never forget me driving up Rt100 from Glen Burnie area to Ellicott City during the apex of this event. Everyone was slipping and sliding, saw 3 trucks run off the road. Was amazing what non brined roads do in those type of situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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