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OBS-NOWCAST for a multi impact main event 4PM today - 8A Monday Jan 16-17, 2022 with post storm minor snow accumulations possible Noon-Midnight Monday evening.


wdrag
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  On 1/17/2022 at 12:40 AM, BxSnowWx37 said:

It's really starting to come down now..wind blown snow here in the northern bx. So far so gd with the mix line staying south for now. We got some heavy stuff incoming also,its a race rn.

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The snow beat the freezing line lets see if the band can beat the freezing line. 

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  On 1/17/2022 at 12:43 AM, lee59 said:

I just saw a report from Seaford long Island only about 4 miles to my southeast that it is raining. I just looked at temps in the region and south of Hempstead Tpk. route 24, temperatures are in the mid to upper 30s and apparently raining, north of the turnpike it is the low 30s and snowing.

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I’ve got two weather stations at the house both at 36. I see all the reports across the island saying snow.. it is rain here. I am just about a mile north of sunrise hwy. 

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  On 1/17/2022 at 12:43 AM, lee59 said:

I just saw a report from Seaford long Island only about 4 miles to my southeast that it is raining. I just looked at temps in the region and south of Hempstead Tpk. route 24, temperatures are in the mid to upper 30s and apparently raining, north of the turnpike it is the low 30s and snowing.

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That gradient won't last very long.  The HRRR has been pretty good at modeling this coastal front

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  On 1/17/2022 at 12:50 AM, tdp146 said:

I’ve got two weather stations at the house both at 36. I see all the reports across the island saying snow.. it is rain here. I am just about a mile north of sunrise hwy. 

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Yea I am in levittown about a 1/2 mile north of Hempstead Turnpike near the Wantagh Parkway. It is snow here but probably not for long. I looked at numerous observations south of the pike and they are like you near 36-37 degrees. I am 32.5.

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  On 1/17/2022 at 12:45 AM, HVSnowLover said:

Mini model bust, no model how accumulating snow down to South Brooklyn

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The precip type charts showed rain here, but the 3k NAM forecast soundings definitely looked like a start as snow.  Not sure about Yonkers, but I assume similar there albeit a wee bit snowier.

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  On 1/16/2022 at 11:57 PM, wdrag said:

HRDPS impressive I80 north.  watch it if Thunder snow gets going up here along the NYS-PA border. I  like its colder scenario but I'll defer to the fact that I may in error. Am expecting snow thru midnight in Sussex County NJ and possibly back and forth mix rain/snow to S+ between 1A-3A. 

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I have moderate snow down here in Bethlehem Twp, PA with almost 1” new.  Models have been dropping hints for days regarding the dynamics associated with this system.  I would definitely agree that there is positive bust potential in the I80 corridor in NW NJ and NE PA.  This is shaping up to be a very interesting night out here and places further north.

46B91B44-DF09-4CE6-8578-DE1ED6070496.jpeg

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