Arctic cold and new threat emerges for the 26th. Patience Grasshoppers.

[dryslot]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:28 PM, DavisStraight said:

You should be below zero a couple nights, I may even go below here.

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Yes, Will add a few more, Its been 4 so far, Only one last season.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:25 PM, dryslot said:

Looks pretty meh the next 7 days or so, Cold though.

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You selling Saturday for your area?

[dryslot]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:33 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You selling Saturday for your area?

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I'm not seeing anything other then the Euro with anything here and its a fringe job, Until other models hop on, It's on its own, So yes, I'm selling.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:35 PM, dryslot said:

I'm not seeing anything other then the Euro with anything here and its a fringe job, Until other models hop on, It's on its own so yes, I'm selling.

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Smart move. Unfortunately, it’s hard to trust the euro at this juncture 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:35 PM, dryslot said:

I'm not seeing anything other then the Euro with anything here and its a fringe job, Until other models hop on, It's on its own, So yes, I'm selling.

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Yea, that is why I was so vague in my blog update yesterday. I feel like that event will come to fruition, and normally I would be more aggressive, but being spurned so much this season has me guarded. 00z Euro looked good for banding up this way, though.

Harvey played it the same way...outlined general potential over the weekend, but nothing specific.

[dryslot]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:38 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Smart move. Unfortunately, it’s hard to trust the euro at this juncture 

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And i don't, Its not the Euro of old.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Euro is gonna slide south , though positive tilt . Gf’s comes north , we see not much at all 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:46 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Euro is gonna slide south , though positive tilt . Gf’s comes north , we see not much at all 

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Logic worked great last week.

[DavisStraight]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:39 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, that is why I was so vague in my blog update yesterday. I feel like that event will come to fruition, and normally I would be more aggressive, but being spurned so much this season has me guarded. 00z Euro looked good for banding up this way, though.

Harvey played it the same way...outlined general potential over the weekend, but nothing specific.

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The met on Spectrum this morning did the same thing about this weekend. Didn't even mention the Thursday possibility.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:47 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Logic worked great last week.

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Is that what we are going with here , betting on back to back anomalies 

as last week closed in, it became obvious the pieces were in play to defy the odds of the General set up . 

[SJonesWX]

  On 1/18/2022 at 11:31 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Definitely a step back from 18z, but good enough I guess 

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  On 1/18/2022 at 12:05 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Meh… gfs at 6z looks worse 

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dude, you have got to stop this shit. you're schtick has gotten so old, it has fossilized.

I'm out of the game Thursday and probably Saturday, so I don't have a dog in this fight, so it's not like I am wishcasting snow here. but i AM wishcasting that you would STFU.

[JC-CT]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:50 PM, SJonesWX said:

 

dude, you have got to stop this shit. you're schtick has gotten so old, it has fossilized.

I'm out of the game Thursday and probably Saturday, so I don't have a dog in this fight, so it's not like I am wishcasting snow here. but i AM wishcasting that you would STFU.

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Lol

[JC-CT]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:49 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Is that what we are going with here , betting on back to back anomalies 

as last week closed in, it became obvious the pieces were in play to defy the odds of the General set up . 

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I'd go with "no model consensus yet so hedge blend with uncertainty" but I'm not a meteorologist, I just play one on an internet forum.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:52 PM, JC-CT said:

I'd go with "no model consensus yet so hedge blend with uncertainty" but I'm not a meteorologist, I just play one on an internet forum.

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I think that is the way to go...just hit on general potential, and don't get into any details....but as spurned as we all are, remember...this system does have its origins in the S stream....something to think about before writing it off as a whiff.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'm planning on sitting and observing today and running a first call tomorrow if necessary.

[JC-CT]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:54 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think that is the way to go...just hit on general potential, and don't get into any details....but as spurned as we all are, remember...this system does have its origins in the S stream....something to think about before righting it off as a whiff.

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It's got some southern stream juice, but isnt it really the northern stream that drives it? Or a phase, really

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:57 PM, JC-CT said:

It's got some southern stream juice, but isnt it really the northern stream that drives it? Or a phase, really

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Yes.

I said "origins"...most big systems are some sort of hybrid.

[JC-CT]

Well anyway, seems like 6z Euro suite is flatter anyway

[EastonSN+]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:59 PM, JC-CT said:

Well anyway, seems like 6z Euro suite is flatter anyway

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It get any snow up here or complete miss?

[JC-CT]

  On 1/18/2022 at 1:01 PM, EastonSN+ said:

It get any snow up here or complete miss?

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The OP doesnt go out that far

[JC-CT]

And no, the ensemble mean isnt a complete miss. But it's an ensemble mean.

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:56 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm planning on sitting and observing today and running a first call tomorrow if necessary.

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I'm not sold on tis yet either.  

[Lava Rock]

  On 1/18/2022 at 12:25 PM, dryslot said:

Looks pretty meh the next 7 days or so, Cold though.

Really need some fluff on top of the concrete

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk

[WxWatcher007]

Not sold either, but if the Euro and EPS totally screw up at this lead time, that’d be a disaster imo.

06z EPS

[JC-CT]

  On 1/18/2022 at 1:08 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

Not sold either, but if the Euro and EPS totally screw up at this lead time, that’d be a disaster imo.

06z EPS

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I'd want to see indies, but qpf wasn't that impressive. Makes me think a lot of compressed, flat, fast W-E moving members in there 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just my $0.02 fwiw, but I've seen the Euro get amplification happy.

[JC-CT]

  On 1/18/2022 at 1:11 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

Just my $0.02 fwiw, but I've seen the Euro get amplification happy.

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I certainly wouldn't be enthused north of the pike right now, that's for sure.

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/18/2022 at 1:14 PM, JC-CT said:

I certainly wouldn't be enthused north of the pike right now, that's for sure.

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No one should be enthused anywhere right now.  Need to see more guidance come on board,

[UnitedWx]

  On 1/18/2022 at 1:16 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

No one should be enthused anywhere right now.  Need to see more guidance come on board,

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Exactly. Tonight will be telling

[JC-CT]

  On 1/18/2022 at 1:16 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

No one should be enthused anywhere right now.  Need to see more guidance come on board,

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I'm enthused for my incoming 1.5" jackpot on Thursday. Until that too falls apart, of course.