78Blizzard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 5:08 PM, CoastalWx said: That’s a weird system on the gfs. Like a compact low circulating milder air around it. Check out 925. Expand Also, h5 @ hr138 completely different from both Euro and CMC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 4:42 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Icon has nothing Expand See starting the thread early has already ginxed it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 3:56 PM, weathafella said: This ones the signature storm of the season. Go go go! Thanks for getting the thread started Steve. Expand I think either this or early March will be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Decent agreement on the globals for this range. Game on. 36” depth in Randolph by mid next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 5:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think either this early March will be. Expand Early Morch is spring this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 4:34 PM, Cold Miser said: ...Who cares if a thread is made this far out? I know some criticized John for his thread last week, well in advance for tomorrow's storm, but honestly, who gives a sh.it. It's like the radio, if you don't like what's on then turn it off, and avoid the station. My guess is that more people than not venture into these long range threads to take a peek, if only for the long range, voyeuristic view into what could be...Then if the trend turns ugly those same people cry foul for such an early thread. Like JC said, a thread doesn't affect anything. If you believe in the voodoo juju affecting winter storms in real life then see a witch doctor. Expand it reduces the silly la-la land model clutter in other threads 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 5:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Early Morch is spring this year Expand It will be going out with a bang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 5:37 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: It will be going out with a bang Expand Early end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 GEFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 That’s showing Monday…so the timing is a lil questionable I guess? Some had Sunday didn’t they? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 waves Timing issues 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 6:35 PM, WinterWolf said: That’s showing Monday…so the timing is a lil questionable I guess? Some had Sunday didn’t they? Expand Lol it's a week away and that's 24 hr precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Looks like 12z Euro lost it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Wave spacing on the euro is trash. Good thing it will still change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 6:36 PM, Ginx snewx said: Lol it's a week away and that's 24 hr precip Expand Oh I realize that. Ya it’ll change around a lot over the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Yeah euro is zilch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 She gone on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 6:53 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: She gone on the euro Expand Amazing, the lack of run-to-run consistency at the mid range lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 6:54 PM, 78Blizzard said: Amazing, the lack of run-to-run consistency at the mid range lately. Expand really? TBH the models seem to have been excellent recently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Having deterministic models all over the place a week out is perfectly normal. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Check the ensembles. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 TPV sitting over NNE Fanny the following week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 6:55 PM, Henry's Weather said: really? TBH the models seem to have been excellent recently Expand They nailed this current system being dog shit like a week out, but I’m sure with the next threat this coming weekend it’ll waffle around until it ultimately misses 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Start thread: Euro trashes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 6:56 PM, Allsnow said: TPV sitting over NNE Fanny the following week Expand Jeez 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 6:56 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: They nailed this current system being dog shit like a week out, but I’m sure with the next threat this coming weekend it’ll waffle around until it ultimately misses Expand Here's the Euro at 6 days out for the current sh!tstorm. They started catching a clue after that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 7:01 PM, 78Blizzard said: Here's the Euro at 6 days out for the current sh!tstorm. They started catching a clue after that. Expand Yeah it was really inside of 6 days. More like 132 hours or so. But even this past system was an exception to the rule. You typically won’t see model guidance honing in with such small Run to run changes 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 6:56 PM, CoastalWx said: Check the ensembles. Expand Didn't you say that with the current one until they finally caved to the op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 7:05 PM, 78Blizzard said: Didn't you say that with the current one until they finally caved to the op? Expand The ensembles are meant to identify stuff in the longer term. So using them to see if there is a storm signal a week out would be a good idea. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 7:03 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it was really inside of 6 days. More like 132 hours or so. But even this past system was an exception to the rule. You typically won’t see model guidance honing in with such small Run to run changes 5 days out. Expand Yeah the gefs were basically OTS and then jumped 1,000 miles in one run and it was fairly locked in from there...relatively speaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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