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January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast


George BM
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14/5 here - Rh is rising slowing.  dp was 0 here a couple hours ago.  

Not questioning the capability and capacity of the SE flow to erode the cold.  But if we consider how cold it is in the DELMARVA tonight, the influx of heat will be a LOT of btu to raise temps above OC, even at 850 and 925.  Wonder if we'd been better off if the ULL was actually further west so the inbound flow was from the S where the CAD would erode the warmth more.  SSTs out over the Atlantic are still relatively warm, so the flow from the SE, vice the S appears to be key to that infamous 850/925 nose...   

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1 minute ago, RDM said:

14/5 here - Rh is rising slowing.  dp was 0 here a couple hours ago.  

Not questioning the capability and capacity of the SE flow to erode the cold.  But if we consider how cold it is in the DELMARVA tonight, the influx of heat will be a LOT of btu to raise temps above OC, even at 850 and 925.  Wonder if we'd been better off if the ULL was actually further west so the inbound flow was from the S where the CAD would erode the warmth more.  SSTs out over the Atlantic are still relatively warm, so the flow from the SE, vice the S appears to be key to that infamous 850/925 nose...   

what are the water temps?  Upper 40s? 

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