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January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast


George BM
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2 minutes ago, Mrs.J said:

Who here is near Dulles? 

My husband and daughters flight from Seattle is scheduled to take off on time at 4 PST with a wheels down time of Midnight here. How confident is the temperature rise and change to rain? They will be driving back up to Frederick and I am really thinking they just need to get a reservation and head home tomorrow. 

I am near Dulles and everything is a glacier.  All side roads untreated, unplowed.

 

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2 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Incorrect. 2-4” 

EA1561B5-28AD-46BF-94F0-26AD44BE5756.jpeg

Okay, so they updated it at 5:30 and you hit refresh more often than I do.  Bully for you.  It was 1-3" earlier.

The point you're missing is that if it wasn't snowing, I could get on my motorcycle and be in "western Loudoun" in 8 minutes.  At the same latitude and same elevation I am at now.  It's a completely arbitrary designation.

There are parts of Loudoun where the weather is often very different from my area, but they are not easily drawn as a straight line on a map.

 

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Just now, mattskiva said:

Okay, so they updated it at 5:30 and you hit refresh more often than I do.  Bully for you.  It was 1-3" earlier.

 

That’s how forecasting typically goes for our CWA my friend. They upgrade / downgrade totals mid storm during almost every storm. Makes sense given how on the cusp we typically are.  

I do agree though - where they cut off the eastern London line is a bit silly 

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Just now, osfan24 said:

Mix line is right on top of me as are heavy returns, but it’s still all snow but a light snow, which is confusing. Either way, expecting to hear pinging any second.

My brother said it’s about 50-50 snow/sleet in OEC. Sleet in Columbia. Pingers imminent for sure. 70 acts as a bit of a barrier with increased elevation north of it, but Expecting snow until about 8 here before we flip as well. 

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6 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

It’s essentially showing how similarly the various hydrometeors (precipitation) are reflecting radar energy back to the radar. When it’s a uniform red color, they all are quite similar. Right now, that means all snow. Later, you’ll see a bright yellow and green line cutting through. That’s where there’s a lot of mixing and different types of precipitation droplets/particles. 

Looks like that line is busting through right now. 

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1 hour ago, clskinsfan said:

I know. My wife pisses me off about that. I put everything up the weekend before Thanksgiving. She takes everything down the weekend after New Years. I would leave my Christmas stuff up year long if she would allow it. 

My husband is the same way. We switch to winter right after NY’s. It’s too depressing to take the lights down. We switch the tree to all blue, white, and silver. Stays up thru March!

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3 minutes ago, jayyy said:

My brother said it’s about 50-50 snow/sleet in OEC. Sleet in Columbia. Pingers imminent for sure. 70 acts as a bit of a barrier with increased elevation north of it, but Expecting snow until about 8 here before we flip as well. 

Just started sleeting now. Probably got about 3 inches before the flip.

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