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January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast


George BM
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10 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

Satellite looks like center of circulation is on coast.  We don’t warm up usually when it’s there. 

997 mb low appears to be offshore near NC-SC border, track from pressure falls and upper level winds most likely to run inland between ORF and RIC then up the west side of Ches Bay between DC and BAL by 03z (possibly right over DCA). At the surface I think this cold wedge is trapped for the duration, at least in the DC and noVA regions, BWI may get close to 45F briefly but DCA 35F and IAD 33F with the changeover only coming near end of precip anyway, could be some lightning around by 00z especially over se MD and DE. 

Would expect final snowfalls in the 3-6" range (with obviously higher totals in mtns) west of Baltimore, around 1.5" in Baltimore. 

 

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