Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,600
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast


George BM
 Share

Recommended Posts

5 minutes ago, Rittenhouse said:

From the NWS discussion: 

I performed a cursory analysis of current conditions this
morning and I found that temps are running a few degrees cooler
than forecast with dewpoints in the single digits. Up stream
observations in NC and southern VA suggests that snow is
over performing. I have adjusted my snow ratios this morning to
account for the well below freezing layer ahead of the
precipitation which should allow for higher snow rates. Initial
onset of precipitation is on track this morning and snow should
fluffy to start before switching over to wet snow as the layer
starts to warm and transitions over to a wintry mix for most
areas along and east of I-81. I will continue to monitor current
conditions to see if I need to up snow totals. It wouldn`t
surprise me if we get higher snow totals further eastward than
expected due to extremely cool air mass ahead of this system.

 

2 inches instead of 1 before the rain. 

  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

Ah, the rug pull. HRRR specialty 

Looks like peeps to the SW either hit "their bar" or overperformed. Will that trait with this storm suddenly vanish on our doorstep? Doubt it. 

My wild ass guess call 2 days ago was 3-4". Started doubting it but still feel good. Me thinks you hit double digits before the curtains close at 5k'. 

  • Haha 1
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  1. Just came out at 13:02 EST  from NWS - KLWX

https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter

 

DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-503>508-VAZ052>055-502-506-170215-
/O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-220117T0600Z/
District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-
Southern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery-
Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-
Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-
Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Southern Fauquier-
Eastern Loudoun-
102 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches
with locally higher amounts around 6 inches possible and ice
accumulations of around one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as
high as 45 mph.
* WHERE...Portions of The District of Columbia, central, north
central, northeast and northern Maryland and northern Virginia.
* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Slow down and use caution while traveling.
When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on
steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery,
increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...