The Ole Bucket Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Precip and wind picking up. Temp up to 20F. So much for snowing while in the teens. But it's gonna get interesting out there quick! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 17/0 Mindless bickering starting to pick up ... 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilentTalkie Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: How about lighten up? careful with the jokes. We have some raw weenies in here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: How about lighten up? Me lighten up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, HighStakes said: I think it's time to retire the Congrats too. Enough already with it. Every other post when a bad model run comes out. Congrats Detroit, Congrats Denver. Not funny anymore. How about lighten up? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 20/7 up from low of 13 @ 6:30am lowering ceiling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 25 minutes ago, The Ole Bucket said: First flakes confirmed in downtown Charlottesville But what about the snow? 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 12 minutes ago, osfan24 said: My bar is 3. 4 is great, anything over is really great. 2 is meh. Less than 2 is a bust. You’re that much farther NW so I think that’s reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, SilentTalkie said: careful with the jokes. We have some raw weenies in here. Just cook them, put them on a bun and add ketchup. Problem solved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 We got the green blob going for us 1 9 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: But what about the snow? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The plows and salt trucks are at the ready in Fairfax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Potvinsux Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Snowing nicely in Snowshoe. Temp keeps dropping. 12°. Will be venturing out shortly. 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Judging by cameras, accumulating snow trails the leading flakes by about 20 minutes Yeah. Pretty impressive traffic cams about 30 miles south of when flakes first start. Seems to be piling up pretty quick. I hope I bust miserably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, mattie g said: Me lighten up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Potvinsux said: Snowing nicely in Snowshoe. Temp keeps dropping. 12°. Will be venturing out shortly. Man! That place is awesome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: We got the green blob going for us Can I get in on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 @mattie g just won the thread lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 WB 12Z GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, HighStakes said: Man! That place is awesome. 5 minutes ago, Potvinsux said: Snowing nicely in Snowshoe. Temp keeps dropping. 12°. Will be venturing out shortly. Love this! I’ve never been there, but definitely need to plan a trip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I m sorry If this banter but I don’t think anyone saw my question there, why can I only see WB parameters in one day increments now? Any other WB subscribers having this issue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 What is the ratio on sleet? I always forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 11am prog was 20F, I'm at 18 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GFS Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDphotog Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: What is the ratio on sleet? I always forget it. I think someone said 4:1 earlier? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 don't know if this was posted already but the morning AFD from LWX had this from their forecaster noting possible need to up snow totals: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... I performed a cursory analysis of current conditions this morning and I found that temps are running a few degrees cooler than forecast with dewpoints in the single digits. Up stream observations in NC and southern VA suggests that snow is over performing. I have adjusted my snow ratios this morning to account for the well below freezing layer ahead of the precipitation which should allow for higher snow rates. Initial onset of precipitation is on track this morning and snow should fluffy to start before switching over to wet snow as the layer starts to warm and transitions over to a wintry mix for most areas along and east of I-81. I will continue to monitor current conditions to see if I need to up snow totals. It wouldn`t surprise me if we get higher snow totals further eastward than expected due to extremely cool air mass ahead of this system. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 One of the trends I like seeing on the RAP/HRRR combo is the downward adjustment of the surface temp for later this evening. It might not make it down to 32 for area east of Rt 15 beyond 03z, but it's trending colder west of their, and that spells a greater threat for ice. Also, the surface is extremely cold, especially the elevated areas where ice may occur while temp is between 32-34 degrees. Some slick spots will show up late, even for those in the rain. Keep an eye on that. Snow forecast looks pretty solid right now. I might bust a bit low on some of my ranges here if the trend holds. Ground truth to the south says this will be a better event than what we were anticipating 24 hrs ago. Love reverse, positive trends 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: What is the ratio on sleet? I always forget it. 3:1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Would someone more knowledgeable be willing to explain how this is a sleet/snow sounding? The highest temp in the the column is 20 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: What is the ratio on sleet? I always forget it. 2-3:1. But sleet into a snow layer doesn’t immediately add much because it’s just sort of cratering into it and compacting the snow. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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