DDweatherman Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 12/3 in Swanton, clear skies thus far. How low can it go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: They moved Charlottesville into the 5-8” from 4-6”. That’s higher here also. In other news, ICON moves snow totals east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 22F and still. That's as good as it's gonna get for this rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: That’s higher here also. In other news, ICON moves snow totals east. Higher here too…barely but it moved another shade darker at my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: That’s probably very true, but I don’t think it means you throw meteorology 101 out the window here in hopes of a weenie miracle, I guess is the point I’m trying to make. We obviously have some hope for a strong WAA push that helps keep things cooler. Psu mentioned something like that a few nights ago. I just don’t think that depends on a unique “this has never been seen before” event. This is an extremely rare event. I’ve never seen it unfold like this. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianonymous Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I hereby proclaim coldness. 20/-4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 This is an extremely rare event. I’ve never seen it unfold like this. I just don’t know what that means, I guess. Seems like a way to justify higher hopes, which is fine but not a reason to throw guidance out the window. The EURO/HRRR/ICON are already showing higher totals so it’s not like a boom scenario wouldn’t be caught by some of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: That’s higher here also. In other news, ICON moves snow totals east. What's up with the small cut out around Hagerstown lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 28 minutes ago, PWC Split said: I have lived here long enough to understand our climo. History says we get 2-3 inches, a little bit longer then expected period of frozen precip, and then rain. However, for some reason I have my weenie goggles on. Maybe it’s the bourbon talking, or maybe it’s the euphoria of the Bills pounding the Pats. Either way I am glass half full on this one. You will turn out right. You will get hammered by heavy snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 DCA 5-minute ob is 19, which rounds to 19 or 20. We did it! 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: 7pm That would be a nasty ice storm on top of a decent snowpack in charles town. Wow 26 degrees with ZR after a good deal of snow. Break out the beer stay off the roads, major ice rink 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 16/1. Close to coldest of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 18/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 16 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I just don’t know what that means, I guess. Seems like a way to justify higher hopes, which is fine. The EURO/HRRR/ICON are already showing higher totals so it’s not like a boom scenario wouldn’t be caught by some of the models. Not a way to justify. Learned my lesson on that one a few years ago with an Apps runner which I definitively said wouldn’t happen…and did. Just a very unusual storm IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 16/0 here NW of Vienna. Pretty nippy outside. Going to be interesting tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 13/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 13 minutes ago, Chris78 said: What's up with the small cut out around Hagerstown lol. Right under the low? IDK 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Not a way to justify. Learned my lesson on that one a few years ago with an Apps runner which I definitively said wouldn’t happen…and did. Just a very unusual storm IMOMy two cents on this storm is that places out on I-81 are vastly underestimating the icing potential with this one — DC gets up to like 50 on some of these models as the low tucks in so the ice isn’t gonna be a problem here for long but areas out there only get to 34, maybe. I think things are gonna suck (or be very enjoyable, if you like winter) out your way for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Did y’all break TT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 GFS is slightly snowier, FWIW. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 GFS sleet included* totals have been increasing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 19/1.2 in downtown Leesburg Radar is popping 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: GFS sleet included* totals have been increasing Where? What am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: GFS is slightly snowier, FWIW. Interesting difference between that one and this one. Different Kuchera numbers from different sites? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Where? What am I missing? in Charlottesville, clearly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 pressure continues to build 1028.2mb 23/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 We’re obviously not going to have snow for a long period of time tomorrow, but it could still come down hot and heavy anyway, for like maybe a half hour lol. At least I think anyway. I’ll take my half an hour of rippage during as the sun sets and watching football Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 19 minutes ago, astarck said: DCA 5-minute ob is 19, which rounds to 19 or 20. We did it! 21 at 11pm. The streak is officially over!! 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Interesting difference between that one and this one. Different Kuchera numbers from different sites?Pivotal and WxBell both have had some weird choppiness on their maps with this one - I feel like the snow algorithms are struggling to resolve the changeover period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The chill sets in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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