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Jan 16-18th Major Synoptic Snowstorm- Observation Thread


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5 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Mix line definitely starting to pick up steam in Southern PA by looks. Hopefully the damage is already done before it gets here.

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That is a nice, wide area of snow! For now, the dryslot seems so far west. Seems much juicier on our side of the state than modeling showed.

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Not what I wanted to hear lol

The latest 00Z 1/17 NAM has trended colder with surface
temperatures as well but sends a warm pocket of air at 850 mb
northwestward across the region for a time around midnight. Also
a warm nose advances northward from the 850 and 925 mb levels
northwest as well through the region. So far the NAM,RGEM and
HRRR have a decent handle of the warm layer while the 18Z GFS
1/16 is too cold.
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51 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

I just wish everyone here could experience what I did in Nov 2014. Nothing will ever compare to 88" of snow in 3 days. I don't care if it was "fake" snow it had 6-7" of QPF in it when sampled. Walking around in the middle of the 5-6" per hour stuff for hours on end was just incredible, hard to put into words.

Having said that, those rates are increasing and expanding to our south, if that's all snow its about to come down 2-3" per.

I was in Oswego for 4 years so definitely experienced LES in all its glory. Thunder, lightning and 8"/hr rates, once. 12" in 1.5hrs. Only ended up with 36" overnight with that band. Mexico got over 50". 1994, I think. 

 

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