tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Its a bit better step in right direction. Right in line now with most other guidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 This is the 12k but the 3k is going to look much different. 3k dryslots everyone except for extreme western areas. Niagara Falls on Canadian side looks to get pummeled in this scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 But Tim is correct. Step in the right direction for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: But Tim is correct. Step in the right direction for sure. How is it a step in the right direction if the dry slot is even more pronounced and west? Ha, this was basically my pessimistic scenario where ROC has to dink and dunk its way to just short of a warning-level event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The New HiRez GFS takes the LP primary into NW PA (believe it or not) but keeps the atmosphere pretty dang cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, PerintonMan said: How is it a step in the right direction if the dry slot is even more pronounced and west? Ha, this was basically my pessimistic scenario where ROC has to dink and dunk its way to just short of a warning-level event. Because it’s a little better than the last few NAM runs. All I got. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, PerintonMan said: How is it a step in the right direction if the dry slot is even more pronounced and west? Ha, this was basically my pessimistic scenario where ROC has to dink and dunk its way to just short of a warning-level event. Cause very minimal mixing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Alright, bags packed, just need to change a tire tomorrow morning, but then it is off to the races, problem is I haven't decided Niagra falls or near Dunkirk NY, looking for highest possible total LES included. Going with the girl so Niagra falls gets bonus points, but any suggestions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Wrf model. Seriously what is it with the sizzlecuse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, Heisy said: Alright, bags packed, just need to change a tire tomorrow morning, but then it is off to the races, problem is I haven't decided Niagra falls or near Dunkirk NY, looking for highest possible total LES included. Going with the girl so Niagra falls gets bonus points, but any suggestions Either of look good but if you go south to Dunkirk inland a bit you get a big jump in elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 11 minutes ago, Heisy said: Alright, bags packed, just need to change a tire tomorrow morning, but then it is off to the races, problem is I haven't decided Niagra falls or near Dunkirk NY, looking for highest possible total LES included. Going with the girl so Niagra falls gets bonus points, but any suggestions Go to the falls. Maybe stay at a hotel near the state park - the Red Coach Inn or Comfort Inn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: Hope Buf is enjoying the game! HRR came into a little better alignment with the envelope of the cooler models after being a SE outlier at 18z. It would be good for me if I trusted it at all. lol. 3 " for Toronto - that would be about right. Toronto is traditionally bust city for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 15 minutes ago, tim123 said: Either of look good but if you go south to Dunkirk inland a bit you get a big jump in elevation. Drove through there once to get to Dunkirk and it was like I went to another planet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Drove through there once to get to Dunkirk and it was like I went to another planet. Yeah amazing what a 12 1300 hundred feet in elevation can do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 00z rgem 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: Drove through there once to get to Dunkirk and it was like I went to another planet. It’s called Drugkirk for a reason… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 00z canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 -5° moonlight is remarkable Brrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Hi rez canadian 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: -5° moonlight is remarkable Brrrr Artic moonlight crisp and clear. Minus forecasted in Saranac lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Looks like we hit our low right at midnight at -9. Already it’s back up to -6 heading to a temperature above freezing Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Sref plumes started day at a mean of 10 inches in rochester and have been increasing all day to over 14 on last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 hours ago, Blue Moon said: Snowing as far south as Jackson, MS Few little bands headed to Mobile and FL panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Looks like she’s finally rounding the bend and starting the journey north. Nice to see a bonafide storm moving our way after days and days of tracking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Nam caved to other guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 -15 in Altmar, NY Should be a nice day ahead of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 28 minutes ago, Parsley said: -15 in Altmar, NY Should be a nice day ahead of the storm. Are you at Tailwater? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, 96blizz said: Are you at Tailwater? Yes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Parsley said: Yes. Ah. My super close friend runs that place. Let me know if you have any trouble! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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