LakeEffectKing Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 First flakes 10 min. Ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Synoptic > LE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Snow has commenced in Cicero Maybe we will all be surprised; not impossible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Synoptic > LE LE>Dryslot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Any one else in WNY worried about that huge dry slot over Pittsburgh??? Yes, really hope that fills in or pivots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Started here at 8:50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, sferic said: Snow has commenced in Cicero Maybe we will all be surprised; not impossible Think you thump for awhile before sleet. 3 to 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Any one else in WNY worried about that huge dry slot over Pittsburgh??? I am really thinking the coastal is taking over more and precip is transferring over to that. Based on obs. in PA, I am thinking this is a HUGE nowcast event moreso than with other storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: LE>Dryslot You will get 6+ out of this regardless imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Any one else in WNY worried about that huge dry slot over Pittsburgh??? Most of the high res models showed it filling in quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Although the bloody Nams (which I HATE with a passion) make me enemy #1 and SCREW me totally. I think they're full of crap and I will get way more than the 1 to 3 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Although the bloody Nams (which I HATE with a passion) make me enemy #1 and SCREW me totally. I think they're full of crap and I will get way more than the 1 to 3 inches. You do know they are getting rid of the nam. That should tell you something there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Nearing SN+ rate now I'd say. Great flake structure for rapid accumulation. Radar really blossoming now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 20 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: That 1am-4am timeframe might be your best 3 hour block if NBM is on target. Yeah and most of it will probably be sleet for CNY lol I don't think the NAM is wrong here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Here is the 3k for 2-3 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYwhiteout Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Nearing SN+ rate now I'd say. Great flake structure for rapid accumulation. Radar really blossoming now. What radar are you using? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: You do know they are getting rid of the nam. That should tell you something there Ha! Really? I did not know that. Then why does the NWS worship it so much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Damm that 540 line makes it all the way up to Buffalo.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, WNYwhiteout said: What radar are you using? https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/ny/binghamton/bgm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Here is the 3k for 2-3 am. Seems bizarre but we shall see... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Ha! Really? I did not know that. Then why does the NWS worship it so much? Yea they are replacing it in the next year or two. It’s a crap model but can be useful in some instances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, tombo82685 said: Yea they are replacing it in the next year or two. It’s a crap model but can be useful in some instances Well the rest of the models seem to be showing us getting screwed as well. So it's the high hills to our south that I hate with a passion as well. lol... the downsloping and torch they promote in the Syracuse area is torture for a cold-weather fan like myself. Had I known this, I would have located elsewhere. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Steady snow picking up now in Skaneateles. Hoping to sneak in as much as we can before we ping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 First flakes, Altmar, NY. 20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Well the rest of the models seem to be showing us getting screwed as well. So it's the high hills to our south that I hate with a passion as well. lol... the downsloping and torch they promote in the Syracuse area is torture for a cold-weather fan like myself. Had I known this, I would have located elsewhere. Now where is the for sale sign? Time for me to go west or atop Mt Washington 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 NAM 3k wants to develop a secondary deformation band. It’s now cast time. Fingers crossed the sleet is short lived. Dynamic cooling for the win? I LOVE THAT it finally snowing! Give my Asperger’s a rest with obsessing over each run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: NAM 3k wants to develop a secondary deformation band. It’s now cast time. Fingers crossed the sleet is short lived. Dynamic cooling for the win? I LOVE THAT it finally snowing! Give my Asperger’s a rest with obsessing over each run. Just noticed that. I think rgem kinda hinted at this too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Well the rest of the models seem to be showing us getting screwed as well. So it's the high hills to our south that I hate with a passion as well. lol... the downsloping and torch they promote in the Syracuse area is torture for a cold-weather fan like myself. Had I known this, I would have located elsewhere. I’ll tell you what. If you don’t get more than 3” i will buy you a 4pack of your IPAs of choice and mail it to you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: NAM 3k wants to develop a secondary deformation band. It’s now cast time. Fingers crossed the sleet is short lived. Dynamic cooling for the win? I LOVE THAT it finally snowing! Give my Asperger’s a rest with obsessing over each run. Also dropped buffalo's total a good amount. Dry air ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Look how the mix follows the heavier precipitation lol Hrrr doing the same thing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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