PackGrad05 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 What time is the first and second round? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Lock it in the pocketSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Congrats y'all, the NW trend is your friend this time 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: Oh what a frame! Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk First map I've seen in forever that I wasn't deep in the red zone. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 This storm has moved southwest. More into NC. I noticed the moisture on earlier models building more into SC so wondered if that is what was happening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Definitely another non-insignificant westward shift. Don’t look at the red L. Pressure falls MUCH closer to the coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Everything is going to depend on when those two pieces of energy phase. Also notice the energy in the north swooping down. If that could come in a little faster could help lift this more. I do like that vort energy going right over NC. Again that should help wring out what moisture is there for folks further west in NC. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, CaryWx said: This storm has moved southwest. More into NC. I noticed the moisture on earlier models building more into SC so wondered if that is what was happening. Slowed down, further west, better downstream moisture. Everything we needed it to do 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 That being said I wouldn't expect so much a "northwest trend" for our low as much as a northwest trend with relation to precip field. Seen this a lot where we get energy overhead and the low associated with it ends up producing more moisture than models can pick up on. Should be a fun little storm if we can keep up these trends. Especially with such cold air aloft. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 I'll take the 4 to 6 inches of snow over ice any day. We are under an ice storm warning right now. Hopefully it changes to snow much sooner than forecasted. From the NWS: ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM ESTSATURDAY...* WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total Ice accumulations ofone quarter to one half of an inch.* WHERE...Jones, Pamlico, Southern Craven, West Carteret, InlandOnslow and Coastal Onslow Counties.* WHEN...From 4 AM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday.* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to theice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditionswill impact the morning and evening commute.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An Ice Storm Warning means severe winterweather conditions are expected or occurring. Significantamounts of ice accumulations will make travel dangerous orimpossible. Travel is strongly discouraged. Commerce will likelybe severely impacted. If you must travel, keep an extraflashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of anemergency. Ice accumulations and winds will likely lead tosnapped power lines and falling tree branches that add to thedanger. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Still snowing in Se Va at this point?Right on the coast, everywhere else is doneSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, burgertime said: That being said I wouldn't expect so much a "northwest trend" for our low as much as a northwest trend with relation to precip field. Seen this a lot where we get energy overhead and the low associated with it ends up producing more moisture than models can pick up on. Should be a fun little storm if we can keep up these trends. Especially with such cold air aloft. Excellent analysis and posts! Thanks for all you contribute 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 yep much better interaction of our vortmaxes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: Lock it in the pocket Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Agreed! Lock it in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, yotaman said: I'll take the 4 to 6 inches of snow over ice any day. We are under an ice storm warning right now. Hopefully it changes to snow much sooner than forecasted. From the NWS: ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM ESTSATURDAY...* WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total Ice accumulations ofone quarter to one half of an inch.* WHERE...Jones, Pamlico, Southern Craven, West Carteret, InlandOnslow and Coastal Onslow Counties.* WHEN...From 4 AM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday.* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to theice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditionswill impact the morning and evening commute.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An Ice Storm Warning means severe winterweather conditions are expected or occurring. Significantamounts of ice accumulations will make travel dangerous orimpossible. Travel is strongly discouraged. Commerce will likelybe severely impacted. If you must travel, keep an extraflashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of anemergency. Ice accumulations and winds will likely lead tosnapped power lines and falling tree branches that add to thedanger. I'm refusing to get my hopes up but God it would be nice to have much less ice. Just have no idea what has to happen for that to occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, eyewall said: yep much better interaction of our vortmaxes Looking at it you can't help but wishcast into phasing sooner. It's so close to looking spectacular for all of you in ENC. Rooting it keeps inching closer to something bigger. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EverythingisEverything Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, burgertime said: Looking at it you can't help but wishcast into phasing sooner. It's so close to looking spectacular for all of you in ENC. Rooting it keeps inching closer to something bigger. How is it looking for SE VA? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, senc30 said: I'm refusing to get my hopes up but God it would be nice to have much less ice. Just have no idea what has to happen for that to occur. That warm nose needs to recede much quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, EverythingisEverything said: How is it looking for SE VA? Not too bad.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, EverythingisEverything said: How is it looking for SE VA? Still in good shape there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 12z GEFSSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, yotaman said: That warm nose needs to recede much quicker. Hope that happens but just can't see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: 12z GEFS Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Man that’s a beautiful shift 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 22 minutes ago, yotaman said: I'll take the 4 to 6 inches of snow over ice any day. We are under an ice storm warning right now. Hopefully it changes to snow much sooner than forecasted. From the NWS: ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM ESTSATURDAY...* WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total Ice accumulations ofone quarter to one half of an inch.* WHERE...Jones, Pamlico, Southern Craven, West Carteret, InlandOnslow and Coastal Onslow Counties.* WHEN...From 4 AM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday.* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to theice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditionswill impact the morning and evening commute.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An Ice Storm Warning means severe winterweather conditions are expected or occurring. Significantamounts of ice accumulations will make travel dangerous orimpossible. Travel is strongly discouraged. Commerce will likelybe severely impacted. If you must travel, keep an extraflashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of anemergency. Ice accumulations and winds will likely lead tosnapped power lines and falling tree branches that add to thedanger. Have a friend in Jacksonville. Not looking forward to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 From DT on twitter. As much as i don’t like him he has a point. Wonder if this will cause implications for the Friday event? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Beach Snow said: From DT on twitter. As much as i don’t like him he has a point. Wonder if this will cause implications for the Friday event? If it comes in weaker won’t that not suppress it and squash it as much? Ala NW Trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: If it comes in weaker won’t that not suppress it and squash it as much? Ala NW Trends True but then do we worry about temp profiles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 CMC coming west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 le canadien is looking muy bueno (not done here on the coast) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EverythingisEverything Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, Beach Snow said: From DT on twitter. As much as i don’t like him he has a point. Wonder if this will cause implications for the Friday event? Uh oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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