eyewall Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: The dam has burst and the NW trend has hit Here is to hoping as we anxiously await the 12z suite. 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 28 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said: what time does the RGEM 12z begin to run? Already running on PW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 ICON came in just about the same. Held serve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 18 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: The dam has burst and the NW trend has hit I would be careful here. Don't think we're going back o 3-6 in the Triangle...but we might Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, CaryWx said: I would be careful here. Don't think we're going back o 3-6 in the Triangle...but we might Oh I’m in no way saying that. Yesterday there was the question of whether we’d get ANYTHING other than the fropa. Now it’s looking more likely to have a decent snow. I’ll be so happy with 2 inches of snow falling into 25 degrees I can’t even tell y’all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 RGEM is glorious 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: Oh I’m in no way saying that. Yesterday there was the question of whether we’d get ANYTHING other than the fropa. Now it’s looking more likely to have a decent snow. I’ll be so happy with 2 inches of snow falling into 25 degrees I can’t even tell y’all As soon as I spoke the RGEM brings glory back to the Triangle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Oh I’m in no way saying that. Yesterday there was the question of whether we’d get ANYTHING other than the fropa. Now it’s looking more likely to have a decent snow. I’ll be so happy with 2 inches of snow falling into 25 degrees I can’t even tell y’all 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, CaryWx said: As soon as I spoke the RGEM brings glory back to the Triangle. RGEM has been rock solid. If it scores the coup here I think I’ll have to reevaluate it vs the NAM. That’s a heck of a Carolina’s/SE Virginia snowstorm right there folks 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FatherNature Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 RGEM did take a step back on amounts but the it’s consistent with location the last few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 RGEM looks good. A trend? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, jlewis1111 said: Is this for today too or just fri sat storm? Total thru Sun morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Is this for today too or just fri sat storm?Here is the 24hrSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, Leesville Wx Hawk said: RGEM looks good. A trend? Well, rock solid and one of the most steady run-to-run. If true will be pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Sandstorm94 said: Here is the 24hr Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Check, please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 One other note before I have to go back to work- these “clown maps” will likely verify with this storm being the high ratios we should have with pure arctic air. Usually you shave a good % off those maps due to warm ground/borderline temps/mixed precip, but in the all-snow areas we actually don’t have anything I see to negate accumulation. By the time this starts it will have been in the 20’s for hours and will be falling into temps in the lower-mid 20’s. I wouldn’t be surprised to see some people shocked with how well this piles up under those conditions compared to a “normal” event here 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: One other note before I have to go back to work- these “clown maps” will likely verify with this storm being the high ratios we should have with pure arctic air. Usually you shave a good % off those maps due to warm ground/borderline temps/mixed precip, but in the all-snow areas we actually don’t have anything I see to negate accumulation. By the time this starts it will have been in the 20’s for hours and will be falling into temps in the lower-mid 20’s. I wouldn’t be surprised to see some people shocked with how well this piles up under those conditions compared to a “normal” event here Agreed. This is one of the rare times when Kuchera numbers are higher than the 10:1 numbers. SREF plumes for Raleigh are also higher than this point yesterday. I'm glad to be south of Raleigh this time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Enjoy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 GFS got a few scattered snow showers in the northern part of SC near the border with CLTSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 https://youtu.be/dggAlRSU-BU Matthew's East thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 12z GFS is looking better. At 500mb it's better phased. Need to keep watching these last minute changes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Sleet in the SC midlands at hr30, better moisture flow incoming compared to 6zSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Oh wow. GFS looks waayyyyy better Friday night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Oh what a frame!Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Boom? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Holy moly the GFS drops a good storm BEFORE the storm, then goes boom! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 GFS looks like it drops 2-3" on the Triangle JUST between 3z and 6z Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, wake4est said: Boom? It is banking on two rounds with this area on the southern edge of the first and back in the main round as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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