cbmclean Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, wncsnow said: Good run for ENC peeps, doesn't get it dinw for 85 west Oh yeah sorry I forgot how west you were. How much did you get this last storm? My inl-aws live in Old Fort and they got 10 beautiful inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Great step in the right direction! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, cbmclean said: Oh yeah sorry I forgot how west you were. How much did you get this last storm? My inl-aws live in Old Fort and they got 10 beautiful inches. Right at 10 as well. I'm about 9 miles from Old Fort. It was 6.5 snow then 1.5 sleet then 2 snow on top, great storm here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: he Euro at 90 has a massive supply of cold air back into the TN Valley Would you be willing to show me how to recognize a "supply of cold air" looks like on an H5 chart? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Million dollar question who will cave to who? Will the nw trend continue or will euro cave to gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, Ghicks said: Million dollar question who will cave to who? Will the nw trend continue or will euro cave to gfs Let's see the CMC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 8 minutes ago, ILMRoss said: Shout out GFS this is a jolt SW with our northern shortwave just what the doctor ordered and this should be tangibly improved precipitation wise (we'll see how ptypes look) Good observation as the precip was 10x better but i have a question. Is this a step toward the euro or are the upper levels playing a different part? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Would you be willing to show me how to recognize a "supply of cold air" looks like on an H5 chart? You won't see it there...its visible on the surface maps with much colder thicknesses and 850 temps into TX/LA/AR vs the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Looks colder and less amped than the earlier euro run. Less precip. maybe? but still decent. Not overwhelming ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 I guess maybe expect a middle of the road solution. So many moving parts and pieces I suppose hard to get much consistency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Tony Sisk said: Where is burrell2? I don’t believe I’ve seen his name in this thread. He was fantastic with the last storm! lol, I'm here with my popcorn like everybody else. Ukmet made a huge jump/complete turnaround. It's got a hammer of a trough all the way back in arkansas at 96hrs. Looks like the 12z Euro on steriods. I think we're going to see that solution win out. just my two cents. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Are you able to post a map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, burrel2 said: lol, I'm here with my popcorn like everybody else. Ukmet made a huge jump/complete turnaround. It's got a hammer of a trough all the way back in arkansas at 96hrs. Looks like the 12z Euro on steriods. I think we're going to see that solution win out. just my two cents. What does this mean for most of NC? I do not see the 0z UKMET. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: What does this mean for most of NC? I do not see the 0z UKMET. Probably a lot of sleet and freezing rain... I don't know, but i'm staying up for the more detailed maps because it looks so juicy. 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 CMC at hour 66 looks odd. Energy split more in half than earlier. Trend on CMC the last 4 runs is cutting winter weather totals. Lacking moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 CMC is pretty similar to GFS also still holding course from almost 4/5 runs now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Won't be up for it but would love the euro to tac back a little towards the gfs and cmc 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 And here we go with the back and forth dance. Glad to see the GFS have a better run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 CMC with 6 inches for most of Wake County. Pretty straight forward, and similar to 12z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: CMC with 6 inches for most of Wake County. Pretty straight forward, and similar to 12z. Noticed the 540 line on the CMC dancing over Wake co. Mixing a bit there you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 19 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Probably a lot of sleet and freezing rain... I don't know, but i'm staying up for the more detailed maps because it looks so juicy. Bring the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 It is good... real good. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 this counts freezing rain and sleet as snow... but you get the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 #BOMB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 UKMET is a snowbeast dream! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 cold enough for all snow in Raleigh and Charlotte. would be higher ratio stuff to the west of that. Edit: even columbia, SC is borderline all snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, burrel2 said: cold enough for all snow in Raleigh and Charlotte. would be higher ratio stuff to the west of that. Looks like some areas could get 12:1 or 15:1 ratios. So in saying that, these maps could be slightly underdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 UK surface temps during event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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