senc30 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 And just like that, the ice is back for us in Jacksonville. Damn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 12:16 AM, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: What is different on the ECMWF as compared to the GFS with precip coverage? Expand WAR flexed just enough to slow down the NS and allow the SS to catch up just a little. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 12:20 AM, BornAgain13 said: Folks, not saying it will happen, but we aren't out of this yet... I believe the 18z nam was a bad run... and hopefully the Euro is the beginning of better trends... yall know how things work around here, you can't get a good consensus until within 24-36 hrs... Expand The NAM has support from GFS (trending drier) and Futurecast which is based on the Barron model. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 12:12 AM, BornAgain13 said: 18z Euro with a NW shift of the precip Shield. Hopefully this is the beginning to more NW shifts.At this point I would be willing to deal with that ice storm on the NAM yesterday...Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Pretty Euro run. The fact most of this board has jumped off the cliff due to the NAM (which went from a major storm to no storm in 2 runs) while the Euro has been relatively stable shows how much pain central NC folks have endured the last 4 years 6 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Call Map as of 7:45pm 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 12:52 AM, eyewall said: Expand Hope you're wrong because I don't want .4 of ice personally. Hard to believe that much ice falls that close to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 12:52 AM, eyewall said: Something tells me if the trend continues that ice is going to go boom further SW...Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 12:54 AM, senc30 said: Hope you're wrong because I don't want .4 of ice personally. Hard to believe that much ice falls that close to the coast. Expand That’s not eyewalls map, another met made it. Signature in bottom right. That’s the most realistic solution. And even if the bigger totals of earlier runs come close to verifying, putting places like CLT in the 1-2” covers all a met needs to. If they get 4” great! If Mets say 4” and CLT gets 1” it’s the biggest bust in the 21st century…. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:00 AM, GunBlade said: That’s not eyewalls map, another met made it. Signature in bottom right. That’s the most realistic solution. And even if the bigger totals of earlier runs come close to verifying, putting places like CLT in the 1-2” covers all a met needs to. If they get 4” great! If Mets say 4” and CLT gets 1” it’s the biggest bust in the 21st century…. Expand That is my real name 3 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:01 AM, eyewall said: That is my real name Expand 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:00 AM, GunBlade said: That’s not eyewalls map, another met made it. Signature in bottom right. That’s the most realistic solution. And even if the bigger totals of earlier runs come close to verifying, putting places like CLT in the 1-2” covers all a met needs to. If they get 4” great! If Mets say 4” and CLT gets 1” it’s the biggest bust in the 21st century…. Expand This has nothing to do with me hoping to not see .4 in ice imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 12:52 AM, eyewall said: Call Map as of 7:45pm Expand Even is the models trend back with more QPF do you really think that Western Wake County will only be in the 1-2 inch range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:01 AM, eyewall said: That is my real name Expand You mean it’s not Eye E. Wall? 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:04 AM, ncskywarn said: Even is the models trend back with more QPF do you really think that Western Wake County will only be in the 1-2 inch range? Expand Right now this is a distinct possibility yes. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Whatever needs to be done for me not to get ice, I want that to happen. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Not going to lie if the 00zssssssssss windshield wipe and come back with a vengeance tonight the broadcast mets hedging for big totals are going to look really flippin smart 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 I’ll take it. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:10 AM, senc30 said: Whatever needs to be done for me not to get ice, I want that to happen. Haha Expand It’s time for you to sacrifice to the gods and take the rain for Wake’s snow. As it has been said, let it be. Amen. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:14 AM, StantonParkHoya said: It’s time for you to sacrifice to the gods and take the rain for Wake’s snow. As it has been said, let it be. Amen. Expand Give me all the rain. Just keep the ice away from me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Texas moisture flow looks a little better through 25 on the HRRRSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:14 AM, ILMRoss said: Not going to lie if the 00zssssssssss windshield wipe and come back with a vengeance tonight the broadcast mets hedging for big totals are going to look really flippin smart Expand I will sing their praises in the snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Yikes, HRRR busted through 38Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:44 AM, Sandstorm94 said: Yikes, HRRR busted through 38 Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Expand Looking like the NAM, YIKES! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Yeah the HRRR looks nothing like the Euro. Precip way east and off shore... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:47 AM, BornAgain13 said: Yeah the HRRR looks nothing like the Euro. Precip way east and off shore... Expand 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rawlee Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 "The low is tracking farther offshore, and the snow line through Friday may remain along and east of I-95," said WRAL meteorologist Mike Maze. "This means most of us could miss out of snow." 8pm update on WRAL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:57 AM, rawlee said: "The low is tracking farther offshore, and the snow line through Friday may remain along and east of I-95," said WRAL meteorologist Mike Maze. "This means most of us could miss out of snow." 8pm update on WRAL. Expand They also said: Wednesday 8 p.m. update: New model runs mean more could see precipitation 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:53 AM, CntrTim85 said: Chill dude. It's literally the HRRR. Expand There is a time when that is valid but there is no way all the “reliable” models have it wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:59 AM, PackGrad05 said: They also said: Wednesday 8 p.m. update: New model runs mean more could see precipitation Expand Hedging bets? It reminds me of Rollo the Viking. On his death bed he had some of his slaves sacrificed to Odin and gave gold to the church. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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