WolfCraig Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I gotta say, I'm flummoxed. I thought the other day that this was going to vanish but by last night I was ready to say that I was totally wrong. And, then, poof, it was gone. We all have seen storms disappear but this close to the starting gate...? If indeed nothing happens, it would be a first for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Has anyone seen the 18z RGEM!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 9:55 PM, goldman75 said: Here in Myrtle beach I’ll take that all day long over all freezing rain! Expand Yea this isn't a bad look and hopefully you can cash in. In fact I think for most of NC it wouldn't be too bad either. As @NorthHillsWx said this would be very powdery snow so snow ratios wouldn't be great but for most what falls would stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 9:57 PM, Beach Snow said: Has anyone seen the 18z RGEM!!!! Expand RGEM not to bad of a look but it still isn't their. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WolfCraig Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 9:57 PM, Beach Snow said: Has anyone seen the 18z RGEM!!!! Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Still a storm at least...Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I’d give less credit to the NAM post from previous storm and the RGEM has been pretty consistent 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 thing, the NAM has been inconsistent with this... I could see it trend back to what the rgem is showing at 18z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Too bad this can't turn up the coast, but it just shows how strong the cold dome isSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I mean 6z NAM had over 14” IMBY and 18z is zip…none. So i would agree 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I'm stunned - I have no idea what's going to happen. NAM-GFS are out, ICON/RGEM holding steady. I'll just wait and see at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragtop50 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 10:09 PM, VABILLUPS1 said: I'm stunned - I have no idea what's going to happen. NAM-GFS are out, ICON/RGEM holding steady. I'll just wait and see at this point. Expand I am not sure that having those two in your camp vs GFS/NAM is a great position to be in, I feel your pain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 10:09 PM, VABILLUPS1 said: I'm stunned - I have no idea what's going to happen. NAM-GFS are out, ICON/RGEM holding steady. I'll just wait and see at this point. Expand It's almost like we need a quantum computer or something to sort this out for us. Anybody ever thought about that? Brick? Burger? Anyone? I think this might be the week we all realize we still live in the southeast. Happens every year. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 10:11 PM, ragtop50 said: I am not sure that having those two in your camp vs GFS/NAM is a great position to be in, I feel your painI rather have 2 in the wheelhouse vs everyone abandoned shipSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 WRAL first call map has wake county 3-5 inches. Mike maze said he may shift it southeast a little after looking at new data. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 #PositiveVibesOnly peopleSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waronxmas Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 10:09 PM, VABILLUPS1 said: I'm stunned - I have no idea what's going to happen. NAM-GFS are out, ICON/RGEM holding steady. I'll just wait and see at this point. Expand When it comes to winter weather in the South you just have to adopt a “we’ll see what happens” approach every single time. It helps clamp down on the disappointment. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 RAP version that runs out to 51 has no storm. I know it’s useless at 51. Hoping for better trends on 00z suites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HornetsHomer91 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 10:22 PM, PackGrad05 said: WRAL first call map has wake county 3-5 inches. Mike maze said he may shift it southeast a little after looking at new data. Expand Everyone in Raleigh needs to chill…. These models are way off. We all know by Tomm night it will be right back how it was…. It will change 9x more every run of (model suites) it wouldn’t surprise me if all of them lose it then start creeping back by 06z runs Tomm …. This happens every storm we have a day of crap runs then it ends up just fine or some result not even shown like last weeks HRR …. Stop trusting Computers they have ZERO clue …. Ppl need to go back to looking at Fronts ect on paper and stop trusting computers 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 10:28 PM, PantherJustin said: Everyone in Raleigh needs to chill…. These models are way off. We all know by Tomm night it will be right back how it was…. It will change 9x more every run of (model suites) it wouldn’t surprise me if all of them lose it then start creeping back by 06z runs Tomm …. This happens every storm we have a day of crap runs then it ends up just fine or some result not even shown like last weeks HRR …. Stop trusting Computers they have ZERO clue …. Ppl need to go back to looking at Fronts ect on paper and stop trusting computers Expand Please tell me you're being a bit facetious here 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJnVa Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 It’s weird. AccuWeather just upped my totals from 4-8 to 6-10 for Va Beach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HornetsHomer91 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 10:42 PM, CaryWx said: Please tell me you're being a bit acetous here Expand No…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 RDU SREF plumes roughly 1-2" WRAL's Futurecast still shows a lot of QPF on Friday... Kat Campbell did just acknowledge they are shifting their map EAST later tonight after looking at new data. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 10:45 PM, DJnVa said: It’s weird. AccuWeather just upped my totals from 4-8 to 6-10 for Va Beach. Nobody trusts AccuweatherSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
85snowline Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 WSOC said 1" "on the high end".. hahaha the high end compared to what? I'm ready for a REAL storm. Hopefully all this cold air that keeps sinking S is setting things up for another 93 or 96.... BRING IT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 10:46 PM, PackGrad05 said: RDU SREF plumes roughly 1-2" WRAL's Futurecast still shows a lot of QPF on Friday... Kat Campbell did just acknowledge they are shifting their map EAST later tonight after looking at new data. Expand Yep the walk down begins. This is not a good night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 10:28 PM, PantherJustin said: Everyone in Raleigh needs to chill…. These models are way off. We all know by Tomm night it will be right back how it was…. It will change 9x more every run of (model suites) it wouldn’t surprise me if all of them lose it then start creeping back by 06z runs Tomm …. This happens every storm we have a day of crap runs then it ends up just fine or some result not even shown like last weeks HRR …. Stop trusting Computers they have ZERO clue …. Ppl need to go back to looking at Fronts ect on paper and stop trusting computers Expand With 48 hours to go? We'll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 11:20 PM, eyewall said: Yep the walk down begins. This is not a good night. Expand Maze just said they are waiting to see if there is a northwest trend. He said they are waiting on new globals tonight and not putting much stock in the off-hour ones thisi afternoon. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 10:46 PM, PackGrad05 said: RDU SREF plumes roughly 1-2" WRAL's Futurecast still shows a lot of QPF on Friday... Kat Campbell did just acknowledge they are shifting their map EAST later tonight after looking at new data. Expand The models didn't start to go to crap until they started hyping the 3 to 5 inches today. Poor timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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