PantherJustin Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 10 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Almost identical to Canadian Then that means EURO will follow…. It normally follows UK or used to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I am having trouble with weatherbell for the moment. Can't get into the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 The EURO is not looking good for anyone west of 95 so far 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Euro looks weaker/east. That's been the trend in todays 12z suite. Just a more suppressed look since yesterday. Need some favorable trends tonight in order to avoid a nuisance event. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Wow, wheels have fallen off just 48 hours out. The Euro run this morning was awesome. The runs last night were pretty much great for all the models. This is really going to cause people to lose confidence with the globals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 12z Euro is a dumpster fire for everyone outside the costal plain. Look away now if you had anything invested in this Triangle west… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Given the 12z modeling and assuming these trends don’t correct this evening I could see RAH dropping watches west of Wake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: 12z Euro is a dumpster fire for everyone outside the costal plain. Look away now if you had anything invested in this Triangle west… So how is it for the Raleigh/North Hills members? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
85snowline Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: 12z Euro is a dumpster fire for everyone outside the costal plain. Look away now if you had anything invested in this Triangle west… NOOOO! My niece in Durham is so excited already. Mother nature should be ashamed!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, snowinnc said: So how is it for the Raleigh/North Hills members? Not good. 1-3” and we’re on the line 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 This is trending towards a cold front lol. Hoping it reverses tonight. Tough pattern to get amplification without a 50/50 low or any blocking. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, 85snowline said: NOOOO! My niece is so excited already. Mother nature should be ashamed!! Maybe we should be ashamed of looking at the globals. They have been horrible with the totals just 3 days out. Yesterday they were great, and today 2 days out they keep shrinking. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Yep chalk up another loss for the Triangle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 And once again as soon as the local mets start honking 48 hours out the models start decreasing totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I see the models trending back to more moisture this evening and overnight. Book it. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 11 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: And the Euro comes in a little better... so here's the wrap on tonight... NAM ✔️ RGEM ✔️ ICON ✔️ (Eastern NC/SE VA) GFS ✔️ GEFS ✔️ CMC ✔️ UK ✔️ (Central/Eastern NC/SE VA) EURO ✔️ (Central/Eastern NC/SE VA) This was 11 hours ago. Ridiculous. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveRDU Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Maybe we should be ashamed of looking at the globals. They have been horrible with the totals just 3 days out. Yesterday they were great, and today 2 days out they keep shrinking. At least they’re all moving in unison. Can’t even remember how many times that was an issue while living in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Seeing higher snow totals and lower ice totals for my area now as compared to this morning. I'm very surprised by this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 This was the GFS last night. This was the Euro this morning. Can't even have confidence in these outside 48 hours. That's terrible. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, Brick Tamland said: This was the GFS last night. This was the Euro this morning. Can't even have confidence in these outside 48 hours. That's terrible. Pathetic 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, Brick Tamland said: This was the GFS last night. This was the Euro this morning. Can't even have confidence in these outside 48 hours. That's terrible. I mean, we never have been able to have confidence in them, to be honest. Atleast not with any consistency. This is really nothing new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Once again.. all models are wrong, some are useful. It is very rare to get a 6+ snowfall here in central NC. In my opinion, the models are trending toward a more climatological solution. A 1-2" event would still be a win for our area. Really the only thing that changed was the QPF. We will see what the next run brings. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, olafminesaw said: It started out with the higher totals way NW and then keeps moving them further SE. Garbage. And the other globals weren't any better. Heck, even the short range models looked good until this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 15 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: This was 11 hours ago. Ridiculous. It sure is. I can't believe the overall performance but the euro has been especially bad. Just 36 hours ago the euro had a half a foot into northeast ga and back to Charlotte just 24 hours ago. Nevermind the euro ensembles over nc and va. Truly awful and absurd. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, olafminesaw said: That looks like the same trend as the Panthers win total year by year. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgar2121 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Professional lurker here (10 posts in 12 years, I just enjoy reading the insightful posts), and was wondering if we have a "mute" option that we could turn on. You know, where the same broken record keeps posting, you can mute them from your own personal view, not the entire board. Have seen that option on other message boards, and I think it would be most useful here. Ok, I'm finished posting... until next year or the year after 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 This is one of the worst modeled events in a long time. To see such drastic shifts inside 48 hours is for sure not the norm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scottk Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Once again.. all models are wrong, some are useful. It is very rare to get a 6+ snowfall here in central NC. In my opinion, the models are trending toward a more climatological solution. A 1-2" event would still be a win for our area. Really the only thing that changed was the QPF. We will see what the next run brings.At this point I’m fine with no wintry weather at all compared to all the ice that is being forecasted for NE SC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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