StantonParkHoya Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 GFS a little more expansive with precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Can we all stop gaslighting each other? It was exhausting last storm. We all want the same thing but someone has to lose when it happens. Whether you had snow an hour ago or 15 years ago, we’re all weather enthusiasts, so we’ll each want a storm at every turn. If we can’t land it in the west, I really do hope you folks down east get a good one. Everyone will have opportunities the pattern is loaded. 26 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Can we just take the 18z RGEM and discount the other models lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Looks great! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 18z GFS definitely a step in the right direction (about time), still heads out to sea instead of up the coast, but I like the way this is heading. @Brick TamlandGFS gives you 8-10" man 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 The RGEM looks almost like it has a second smaller northern shortwave the southern energy interacts with which then also phases in the main northern stream later on, the same one the NAM let eject out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 GFS going with 3 storms back to back to back. Wtf. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 GFS with 4 distinct shortwaves to keep track up at hour 84, lol good luck. Forecasting this is like defending one of those Chiefs plays where they have Tyreek Hill in motion and Kelce in the slot with two of their speed guys in the WR role 4 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTwx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, ILMRoss said: GFS with 4 distinct shortwaves to keep track up at hour 84, lol good luck. Forecasting this is like defending one of those Chiefs plays where they have Tyreek Hill in motion and Kelce in the slot with two of their speed guys in the WR role Please keep these football references going. Good content 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 18z RGEMSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 7 minutes ago, ILMRoss said: GFS with 4 distinct shortwaves to keep track up at hour 84, lol good luck. Forecasting this is like defending one of those Chiefs plays where they have Tyreek Hill in motion and Kelce in the slot with two of their speed guys in the WR role Oh, so you are saying its easy to do like the Bengals did. Just sack Mahomes and throw darts to J'amarr Chase. Problem solved! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeepPounding Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 You can see the separation in the northern waves which results in a better phase downstream. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 WRAL's futurecast high res shows nothing Thursday night but mixed precip starting Friday morning. Mix of sleet, snow, freezing rain according to their current forecast. Points out european being more robust but american showing another round saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, PackGrad05 said: WRAL's futurecast high res shows nothing Thursday night but mixed precip starting Friday morning. Mix of sleet, snow, freezing rain according to their current forecast. Points out european being more robust but american showing another round saturday. When I think about the coverage area they have to account for there will be vast differences between say Goldsboro, Southern Pines, Roxboro and Rocky Mount. Then there is Wake county. They'd need to issue micro forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: WRAL's futurecast high res shows nothing Thursday night but mixed precip starting Friday morning. Mix of sleet, snow, freezing rain according to their current forecast. Points out european being more robust but american showing another round saturday. Surprised to learn they even have a blue color on that thing. WRAL only believes we can receive mixed precip or rain. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Hmmm. Their write up still says rain to light snow Thursday night causing slick roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlh Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 30 minutes ago, wake4est said: Looks great! Not often we end up in the jackpot zone in my area, i'll take whatever we can get! Definitely like the trends in the models today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 31 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Can we all stop gaslighting each other? It was exhausting last storm. We all want the same thing but someone has to lose when it happens. Whether you had snow an hour ago or 15 years ago, we’re all weather enthusiasts, so we’ll each want a storm at every turn. If we can’t land it in the west, I really do hope you folks down east get a good one. Everyone will have opportunities the pattern is loaded. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^THIS! Keep the banter where it belongs. There wasn't half of the banter in the pinned discussion thread from the last system that there is in this thread and there is still 3-4 days to go. This will be the only verbal warning. 13 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 I feel like the models are struggling with these waves but the key is we stand in good shape to see at least a little something. As far as Raleigh I am thinking the low end is 1-3 inches but can't rule out more of a 4-8 event without question. Certainly I think we will see some pingers in there too. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 GFS looks awesome. Hard to deny the consistency of the models showing where the heaviest totals are in NC. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 GEFS looked good to my untrained eye. Maybe a little more in eastern NC? Thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlh Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, eyewall said: I feel like the models are struggling with these waves but the key is we stand in good shape to see at least a little something. As far as Raleigh I am thinking the low end is 1-3 inches but can't rule out more of a 4-8 event without question. Certainly I think we will see some pingers in there too. Seems plausible, models seem to hint at a pretty good hit for snow where we are in far NE NC too, though I am wondering on the latest runs if the cold will be think enough for all snow. Seems to be a trend of the sleet/fzra encroaching a little further NW from the coast. Guess we shall see what plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, Grayman said: GEFS looked good to my untrained eye. Maybe a little more in eastern NC? Thoughts That was 12z. 18z failed to Upload . Sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, jlh said: Seems plausible, models seem to hint at a pretty good hit for snow where we are in far NE NC too, though I am wondering on the latest runs if the cold will be think enough for all snow. Seems to be a trend of the sleet/fzra encroaching a little further NW from the coast. Guess we shall see what plays out. If anything the 18z GFS pushed the ZR a bit farther southeast and the main round of snow is in a much shorter period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Kat Campbell says their 3D model is showing a warm nose despite the very cold surface temps. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Kat Campbell says their 3D model is showing a warm nose despite the very cold surface temps. around Fayetteville and Clinton, yes. Not for much of anyone north of 64 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 51 minutes ago, ILMRoss said: GFS with 4 distinct shortwaves to keep track up at hour 84, lol good luck. Forecasting this is like defending one of those Chiefs plays where they have Tyreek Hill in motion and Kelce in the slot with two of their speed guys in the WR role Spread RPO , yet running a buck sweep 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 The 18z RGEM took a big step towards the Euro. I think we're about 2 or 3 more runs from a general consensus. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 The 18z RGEM took a big step towards the Euro. I think we're about 2 or 3 more runs from a general consensus.0z tomorrow we have our playbook for the game winning driveSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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