CentralNC Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 DT really honking it up. But then again he usually does that when it looks like his backyard is in play https://twitter.com/WxriskUpAllNite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 I know it’s a bit out of range, but how’s the NAM looking this morning? Also, can someone post the CMC snow map, please? Don’t remember seeing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Incredible Euro has 2.5 inches for Raleigh and 9 inches for Granville county. Always on the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 How to get everyone outside the mountains to hate you in one single postSent from my SM-S115DL using TapatalkHaha, I promise I wasn't trolling for the sake of trolling. I'm pulling for the non-mountain folks! If it's a nighttime storm then let it stop at the escarpment. I've got enough on the ground already. Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 I know it’s a bit out of range, but how’s the NAM looking this morning?Eh...Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: Eh... Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Thank you. Will be interesting to see what the next few frames look like as it comes into range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: Eh... Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk LOL@ 84 Hr NAM…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 LOL@ 84 Hr NAM….Why lol? He asked, I posted the mapsSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 In case anyone was wondering, here's what all the overnight model runs showed for Clemson, SC. 1pm friday 7pm friday total liquid snow notes 00z ukmet 32/23 32/23 .49(all snow) 5 inch, 10:1(would be higher) doesn't start until after 7pm friday, finishes 8am saturday 00z Euro 30/24 28/24 .65(mostly snow) 7 inch kuchera starts 7am friday, 800mb warm nose right at freezing to start, higher ratio snow on back end. ends 3 or 4am saturday 00z CMC 34/30 30/27 .06(all snow) Trace kuchera 06z GFS 30/24 28/24 .04 (all snow) .25 inch kuchera starts 3-4pm friday, only last an hour or tow(fringed) 06z NAM 29/23 N/A N/A N/A 06z Rgem 33/30 N/A .08(all snow) .5 inch kuchera still ripping at end of run, more to come 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Sandstorm94 said: Why lol? He asked, I posted the maps Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk I know, but anything outside 48 hrs on that model is historically terrible.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 When you ae dealing with stream interaction/ phasing, the UKMET is usually one of the best. We shall see. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 0z UKIE had a massive ice storm for the SC low country... Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 06z Euro for the first time in a while actually ticked towards less phasing with the southern stream. Helps thermal profiles for places like raleigh, but hurts precip totals to the west. It has me getting .25 liquid(maybe a little more to come past hour 90). The 00z run had me at .65 liquid. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 UK Met was awesome. Euro op was concerning last night but the ensembles were okay. GFS was okay. Looks like we'll have a winter storm here, just a matter of how much snow or ice. Would love to see two roubds and have storms Thursday through Sunday. That could help totals. Let's see what the current Euro says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: 06z Euro for the first time in a while actually ticked towards less phasing with the southern stream. Helps thermal profiles for places like raleigh, but hurts precip totals to the west. It has me getting .25 liquid(maybe a little more to come past hour 90). The 00z run had me at .65 liquid. Yeah, I've definitely noticed this on the less amped solutions. Could end up as a SE VA special, depending on the timing of the phase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Saw this point to click forecast is a thing of beauty for Triad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 She's a beaut (GSO) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Hopefully the trends in the right direction continue today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 This one could be a swing and a miss for my neck of the woods but who knows time will Tell eventually 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 DT won't like the 06Z EC and EPS- pretty big change for the worse for many folks. Much more towards the GFS. Yes, the GFS has sucked recently but with this storm it has been pretty consistent having a suppressed system with maybe only a very narrow band of freezing/frozen precip on the northern fringe. This could still change but time is running out. 12Z runs may tell the story. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, Cheeznado said: DT won't like the 06Z EC and EPS- pretty big change for the worse for many folks. Much more towards the GFS. Yes, the GFS has sucked recently but with this storm it has been pretty consistent having a suppressed system with maybe only a very narrow band of freezing/frozen precip on the northern fringe. This could still change but time is running out. 12Z runs may tell the story. Certainly bad news for central VA. However, the GFS has taken big steps towards more amped, so I think the I-85 corridor is looking good for now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Certainly bad news for central VA. However, the GFS has taken big steps towards more amped, so I think the I-85 corridor is looking good for now85 North: snow20/77- 85: IP-snowSouth of there: ice ice babySent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Wdrag: East coast snowstorm potential 21st-22nd Atlanta to NYC-Boston: Uncertainty exists on best target, and also where its all snow or freezing rain-sleet. The greatest uncertainty for me is the NYC-BOSTON-I84 corridor. No matter, there does appear to be a strong likelihood of a 5-10" snowfall, especially NC-VA-MD-DE. The snow could fall as sleet-freezing rain Raleigh east. Even Atlanta may see some snow from this. A better idea of timing and target will post tomorrow. If you are interested: The European model has been targeting the entire corridor with a snow storm from near Atlanta to NYC-BOS for a couple of days now, while othermodels are relucant, so uncertainty exists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, gman said: Wow. The filthy language in that tweet is not worthy to be on this forum He always acts like a jerk, too. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Also can I just say screw you to Pivotal for locking a bunch of stuff that was previously free behind a paywall?Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 6z EPS and Control trended towards a mix of GFS and CMC. Could the Euro be the one to cave.... wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 6z EPS and Control trended towards a mix of GFS and CMC. Could the Euro be the one to cave.... wowWho would have ever thought the king would bow to the jester...Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 6z EPS is still similar, a slight step back from 0z, but the Control was a big step back from 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 6z EPS and Control trended towards a mix of GFS and CMC. Could the Euro be the one to cave.... wow Maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 6z EPS and Control trended towards a mix of GFS and CMC. Could the Euro be the one to cave.... wow Not really caving... GFS already moved way more in the direction of the Euro. If the euro pulls back 20% and the GFS pushed forward 80% to meet in the middle. That's a win for the Euro. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now