CaryWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 I'll just leave this here right now 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 speed: Just now, CaryWx said: I'll just leave this here right now Check please!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Yes. I’ll take. Check. C/ENC would be shut down for a week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Feverishly looking for UKMET verification scores… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, Beach Snow said: Feverishly looking for UKMET verification scores… I'll save you the trouble. They're good. Better than GFS for day 4/5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Lol thanks! I saw what Ryan Maue posted on Twitter today knocking the GFS verification score recently compared to the euro so i was curious how the UKie does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 This old tidbit seems relevant tonight... UKMET Subjectively Observed Bias Geographical location of bias Annual/Diurnal attribute Submitted by Date Submitted Operational Implication Suspected Cause Seems better than GFS with forecast of phasing of systems in northern and southern branch of jet North American middle latitudes Anytime NCEP WPC Since fall of 2001 When GFS is showing phasing of systems beyond 84 hours, check UKMET to see if solution is consistent GDAS ? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 I wouldn’t be surprised and fully expect the Euro to come in line with the Ukie on its next model run. They usually follow in tandem with each other. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, lilj4425 said: I fully expect the Euro to come in line with the Ukie with the next model run. They usually follow in tandem with each other. maybe, but UK could cave tomorrow if euro holds on it's solution too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 14 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: I wouldn’t be surprised and fully expect the Euro to come in line with the Ukie on its next model run. They usually follow in tandem with each other. If anything it appears the UK is going toward to euro if you compare both 12z runs but we shall see soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Need the low a tad bit more east on the Ukie to feel good about SE VA. Hopefully the Euro continues from 12z in showing the storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 26 minutes ago, Beach Snow said: speed: Check please!! You beat me to it. I’ll pay! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, chris624wx said: Need the low a tad bit more east on the Ukie to feel good about SE VA. Hopefully the Euro continues from 12z in showing the storm! SE Va here too. Would love to see the euro shift SE or the UK to verify. What a run for our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Honestly, if the low could be a little deeper and undergo bombogenesis that would be really nice and everyone in the subforum would cash in and be able to eat lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Definitely seeing a NW trend, Euro possible phase like what I see here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, Pilotwx said: Definitely seeing a NW trend, Euro possible phase like what I see here. Which model and run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 7 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said: Honestly, if the low could be a little deeper and undergo bombogenesis that would be really nice and everyone in the subforum would cash in and be able to eat lol Not necessarily because that would cause WAA mixing issues and a lot of ice. That many of us don't want to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, Beach Snow said: Which model and run? UKMET, GFS all have moved NW, Euro was close to phasing earlier run , swing and a miss. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Euro holding its ground 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Backside snow a bit better on euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, Beach Snow said: Backside snow a bit better on euro Yeah, but too warm on the front side. Really don't need it so amped early on for us. Or if it is amped, for it to be farther off the coast when it happens. All in all, not terrible 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 The SC low county had 14 ensembles with an ice storm counting the 0P... YikesSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jtm12180 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: The SC low county had 14 ensembles with an ice storm counting the 0P... Yikes Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk PLEASE…not this!!! That ice storm we had in ‘14 was nuts. Usually here we get winter weather and then the roads are dry by 3pm. Our whole area was paralyzed for a week. i can handle snow all day. But ice? Like the saying goes…”ain’t nobody got time for that!” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 PLEASE…not this!!! That ice storm we had in ‘14 was nuts. Usually here we get winter weather and then the roads are dry by 3pm. Our whole area was paralyzed for a week. i can handle snow all day. But ice? Like the saying goes…”ain’t nobody got time for that!”At least the one in 14 wasn't as bad as the one in 05Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 All kinds of yikes if you live south of I-20Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Unpopular take, but IMBY I only want this if it snows during the day. This last storm was kinda lame during the day Sunday but bonkers during the dark hours Saturday night. I only want to have to scrape and shovel if I can watch it fall!I know, I know. I need to check my privilege as a mountain man.Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Unpopular take, but IMBY I only want this if it snows during the day. This last storm was kinda lame during the day Sunday but bonkers during the dark hours Saturday night. I only want to have to scrape and shovel if I can watch it fall!I know, I know. I need to check my privilege as a mountain man.Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using TapatalkHow to get everyone outside the mountains to hate you in one single postSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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