Prismshine Productions Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Pattern on the hardest ice is identical to the EUROSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 18Z GEFS is mostly a swing and a miss, very suppressed. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Well now we have suppressed and amped among the leaders in the LR. Maybe the midnight runs can sort it out but have a feeling it will be Tues night (Weds 0z) runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Yeah 18z definitely suppressed but I figured the NW edge would have been a bit farther north. The culprit is very dry mid levels looking at the 850 RH. This is for the 2nd wave. That sure is a sharp cutoff: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 WPC….accounting for the inevitable (NW Trend) 5 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 So I haven't been following the whole afternoon (that pesky work). Who are we rooting for in cent/east NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 18z GFS clearly backing up moisture towards the NW when trended several runs @ hr 78. Cannot post the GIF for some reason, but there is definitely more moisture each run. If that trend continues I would picture it to look similar to the Canadian and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, cbmclean said: So I haven't been following the whole afternoon (that pesky work). Who are we rooting for in cent/east NC? Probably the GFS with it's suppressed look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 An average of the Euro/CMC and GFS yields basically an ideal event for C/ENC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 18z Euro looks about the same as the 12z through 90 hours. Seemed to be setting up for a long term event. TW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 8 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: 18z Euro looks about the same as the 12z through 90 hours. Seemed to be setting up for a long term event. TW I’ll post ensemble snow maps when they roll out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 NW shift on that first wave on the snowfall, sleet, and ZR maps at hr90 compared to 12z hr96Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Got a 7am flight out of Greensboro Friday morning. Might need to start hedging that bet…? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Got a 7am flight out of Greensboro Friday morning. Might need to start hedging that bet…?You mightSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Any 18z EPS maps? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Any 18z EPS maps?NW trend Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 The trends, at the current moment, are not good for central NC. Looks almost identical to the recent system. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Not good trends at all, really need the Canadian to hold its ground or maybe we see a Euro GFS blend? Really hoping euro is too amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: The trends, at the current moment, are not good for central NC. Looks almost identical to the recent system. Different kind of system but same result. It feels like the warm nose here gets worse and worse every year lately and really cuts down our snow totals, even when we have surface temps in the 20s. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Still 20ish or so members showing a more southern solution…i think the NW solutions are such big hits is why the mean jumped so far NW. maybe i could be reading them wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 35/50 of those members show mby getting snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, Beach Snow said: Still 20ish or so members showing a more southern solution…i think the NW solutions are such big hits is why the mean jumped so far NW. maybe i could be reading them wrong. Only about 14 or 15 good hits here compared to over half the last run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:52 PM, Beach Snow said: Too early for that or it’ll be a cutter up the Ohio valley Is it still showing the crippling Ice south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, Grayman said: Is it still showing the crippling Ice south? Only goes out to hr 90 for ice and sleet maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, Beach Snow said: Only goes out to hr 90 for ice and sleet maps Thanks . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Hopefully the 0z GFS caves tonight.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 To me it’s not the warm nose of storms has been worse. For central NC like CLT, we’ve always needed a low to track near Jacksonville and turn up the coast for good snow. That plays in to climo for us and limits/eliminates the WAA. We haven’t been able to get a pattern to stick in the winter for those storms. Moisture overriding cold almost never works out for CLT. If it does, it’s short lived and/or ends as sleet or freezing rain. It’s amazing to me that central NC got as much sleet this past storm with the low passing to the west. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Hopefully the 0z GFS caves tonight.... And the euro comes back south and east 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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