paweather Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 I am tired of the GFS Euro king will be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Just now, paweather said: I am tired of the GFS Euro king will be be right Wish in one hand, shit in the other, see which one fills up faster… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 I think after whatever storm we can muster next week, we go in the toilet for 2 to 3 weeks. But very late December and even early January don’t look that bad if looking at long range weeklies.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, paweather said: I am tired of the GFS Euro king will be right The 18z GFS took a good step in the right direction for the Wednesday storm chance. It now has frozen precip for the northern half of CTP this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I think after whatever storm we can muster next week, we go in the toilet for 2 to 3 weeks. But very late December and even early January don’t look that bad if looking at long range weeklies. . Yes, hopefully we score an Advisory level front end event next Wednesday. We warm up the following week. Then the MJO progression into phase 7 and the EPO heading towards neutral should help to return us to a colder pattern the following week before Christmas. It think this is a case that we already see our way out of the warm up into a better colder pattern as the milder days are ongoing mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Yes, hopefully we score an Advisory level front end event next Wednesday. We warm up the following week. Then the MJO progression into phase 7 and the EPO heading towards neutral should help to return us to a colder pattern the following week before Christmas. It think this is a case that we already see our way out of the warm up into a better colder pattern as the milder days are ongoing mid month.I just think the turn to colder (for snow) will be delayed and after Christmas.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 15 minutes ago, paweather said: I am tired of the GFS Euro king will be right The Euro, Canadian, EPS & Ukie all have a more wintry solution for us for Wednesday. The GFS is starting to come around as well, but the other models say we get at least some winter weather next Wednesday according to the 12z runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: I just think the turn to colder (for snow) will be delayed and after Christmas. . lol… thanks Grinch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: 2nd - let's run far and fast from "trix". 3 hours ago, pasnownut said: Arguably one of the more arrogant personas I've ever come across. I'm all about good spirited debate, but when someone constantly speaks in "absolute" terms.....that's just poor form. Ha! That person is one of the ugliest personality, vile, rude, "victimized" individuals across this weather forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 It just got really windy - didn’t realize we’d have these winds tonight. Haven’t really paid attention to forecast this week. If it does snow next Wednesday it’ll be very short lived as warm air is surging in. But might get some grass coatings before it melts, if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 35 minutes ago, TimB84 said: And still the ridiculous heatwave the following weekend. The other models don’t quite agree (yet), but the GFS has been remarkably consistent with this feature. Jersey Shore will be abuzz with beach goers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 32 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Wish in one hand, shit in the other, see which one fills up faster… You sir, have ruined my dinner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Not to piss everyone off but if it snows that would be great!! But if it stays warm, I’M still fishing on the river till it freezes. Still snow on top 1/3 of the mountain. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 45 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The Euro, Canadian, EPS & Ukie all have a more wintry solution for us for Wednesday. The GFS is starting to come around as well, but the other models say we get at least some winter weather next Wednesday according to the 12z runs. Thanks Blizz! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 hour ago, TimB84 said: Wish in one hand, shit in the other, see which one fills up faster… Shit happens when you party naked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 I like the idea of anything wintry happening on Wednesday. Monday, Thursday, and Friday are my Sunbury days, and I'm the only guy they get water from, so I have to run no matter how bad the weather is. Tuesday and Wednesday I have more flexibility to say "I'm not coming in until the roads are safe". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 hour ago, pawatch said: Not to piss everyone off but if it snows that would be great!! But if it stays warm, I’M still fishing on the river till it freezes. Still snow on top 1/3 of the mountain. Went through your area yesterday and was surprised to see snow on the ground. I’d say between northumberland and Danville is when it faded to nothing but a trace in shaded areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 21 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: HH Eps Decent clustering I was just getting ready to post these. The 18z Euro Control run actually shows that suppression might be an issue! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Here are another few frames from the 18z EPS showing the cold air in place with the precip getting underway early Wednesday into Wednesday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Serious wind starting up here in southern York county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 32 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Yea...its been overachieving here on the m/d line. Lots of gusts 35-44mph News extended the advisory into Franklin County PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: News extended the advisory into Franklin County PA. Was this forecasted well? The freaking house is shaking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Was this forecasted well? The freaking house is shaking... Sterling did well with it though the under forecast farther east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 57 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Was this forecasted well? The freaking house is shaking... I’m routinely gusting to 38. Sustained around 20. Yes, it sucks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Good news, it’s no longer windy! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 The 0z Euro & Canadian still like the winter weather chance on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 The EPS, GEFS & Canadian ensembles all like the snow chance on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Happy Friday, hopefully 12z runs treat us well for Wednesday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 20 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Happy Friday, hopefully 12z runs treat us well for Wednesday. I'm with you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: I'm with you! Well we will need better from your 540 line...if I could put that request in? One good piece of news is that the record high for Monday is 73 and I doubt MDT breaks 70 so we probably do not reach that one either. No reason to add stamps of bad onto the winter so quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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