Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 8 hours ago, Superstorm said: Me 2. I am really enjoying this weather. I love snow, but don’t like it too cold. The worst weather in winter is warm and wet or cold and dry. I’ll take warm and dry if I can’t have the snow. . The older that I get, I agree with you. I’ll take warm and dry if I can’t have the snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 6 hours ago, TimB84 said: I don’t mind the look at the end of the EC, that’s for sure. Exactly! That’s the one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 50 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Zones have snow mention Indeed, I just took a look. Monday A chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday Night A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 @Voyager....nice! Top notch! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 52 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @Voyager....nice! Top notch! Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 28 and cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 22 this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 25 in Rouzerville 56 in Ocala 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 30 and quite frosty this morning. Nice to see the ground whitened up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 26 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 25 in Rouzerville 56 in Ocala Fairly pleasant morning in central FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 A cold Christmas seems to be back in play on all of the overnight models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: A cold Christmas seems to be back in play on all of the overnight models. The general look of the OP GFS is quite interesting post Christmas. Nut said it a few days ago but more zonal with Nutballs vs cutters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Fairly pleasant morning in central FL. It very nice down here but warming up the next couple days. Just a tad humid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, TimB84 said: A cold Christmas seems to be back in play on all of the overnight models. No doubt on the GFS what a change for a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, paweather said: No doubt on the GFS what a change for a day Glad you held on to the ledge without jumping (or called time out right before snapping the punt). It's not 4th down yet. I saw someone say we were in the first half of quarter one (or down one) the other day...I think that is too optimistic with nothing come the rest of this week but IMO first down has ended and we are in the second quarter/on second down now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 Saturday looks like a wash out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Glad you held on to the ledge without jumping (or called time out right before snapping the punt). It's not 4th down yet. I saw someone say we were in the first half of quarter one (or down one) the other day...I think that is too optimistic with nothing come the rest of this week but IMO first down has ended and we are in the second quarter/on second down now. Yep, you got it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Glad you held on to the ledge without jumping (or called time out right before snapping the punt). It's not 4th down yet. I saw someone say we were in the first half of quarter one (or down one) the other day...I think that is too optimistic with nothing come the rest of this week but IMO first down has ended and we are in the second quarter/on second down now. I think that's a fair analogy. I was thinking about this and the whole "punt winter" idea on the drive to the office this morning. Winter is young (even by met standards, we're only 2 weeks deep) so there is so much ahead of us. My only "frustration" is that I most appreciate snow during peak snow retention season, which is now through January. In that regard, we're losing precious time somewhat quickly. By average, February is our snowiest month of the year. It's also the time when on sunny days we see our beloved pack disappear quickly - after the 2 huge February storms in 2010, I lost 8.5" of pack the day following the 2nd storm. It was a sunny, 32 degree day. We wouldn't have lost half as much if it was a sunny, 32 degree day today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 11 minutes ago, sauss06 said: Saturday looks like a wash out. Yeah, unfortunate timing with that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 28 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The general look of the OP GFS is quite interesting post Christmas. Nut said it a few days ago but more zonal with Nutballs vs cutters. Yeah unfortunately it may be a step down process, and not straight into the money panels. Still seeing the central basin ridging trying to play spoiler, but as we are approching peak climo, the cold is building and w/ NAO trending negative and AO neutral/neg ish (and if one looks below, several members try to go solidly negative - fits the cold Jan that some have suggested. That said, it would likely suppress central ridging, which should hopefully correct on the model runs as we move forward. As Mag suggested tho, east based NAO is not ideal, as it give ridging a chance to play spoiler. More west based and that ridge goes poof... All that said, it still looks like better times ahead cold wise. Just gotta time it right for the snow. MJO still looks better and I think the loopdedoop is gone. Looks more like its headed for 7....but i dont have my cheaters on :). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I think that's a fair analogy. I was thinking about this and the whole "punt winter" idea on the drive to the office this morning. Winter is young (even by met standards, we're only 2 weeks deep) so there is so much ahead of us. My only "frustration" is that I most appreciate snow during peak snow retention season, which is now through January. In that regard, we're losing precious time somewhat quickly. By average, February is our snowiest month of the year. It's also the time when on sunny days we see our beloved pack disappear quickly - after the 2 huge February storms in 2010, I lost 8.5" of pack the day following the 2nd storm. It was a sunny, 32 degree day. We wouldn't have lost half as much if it was a sunny, 32 degree day today. I actually did think of your previous post, months or weeks ago, as to December being your favorite snow time. it's not over yet. I think we have a better final week of December than some previous "bad winters". But anyone punting January or February is just joking, I would hope, at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 8 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Yeah unfortunately it may be a step down process, and not straight into the money panels. Still seeing the central basin ridging trying to play spoiler, but as we are approching peak climo, the cold is building and w/ NAO trending negative and AO neutral/neg ish (and if one looks below, several members try to go solidly negative - fits the cold Jan that some have suggested. That said, it would likely suppress central ridging, which should hopefully correct on the model runs as we move forward. As Mag suggested tho, east based NAO is not ideal, as it give ridging a chance to play spoiler. More west based and that ridge goes poof... All that said, it still looks like better times ahead cold wise. Just gotta time it right for the snow. MJO still looks better and I think the loopdedoop is gone. Looks more like its headed for 7....but i dont have my cheaters on :). That is all I like to see when the MJO comes up. "Who knows" vs. "It's defintely going to". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I actually did think of your previous post, months or weeks ago, as to December being your favorite snow time. it's not over yet. I think we have a better final week of December than some previous "bad winters". But anyone punting January or February is just joking, I would hope, at this point. Agree with you on all accounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 I bottomed out at 23 last night, another great night of radiational cooling. It looks like of all the ASOS sites, only the notorious inversion cool spots of York and Selinsgrove came in lower, at 21 and 22, respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I bottomed out at 23 last night, another great night of radiational cooling. It looks like of all the ASOS sites, only the notorious inversion cool spots of York and Selinsgrove came in lower, at 21 and 22, respectively. Bragger! You're killing me, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That is all I like to see when the MJO comes up. "Who knows" vs. "It's defintely going to". Yeah its akin to when 300+ Op maps are posted and folks say "here comes the warmth". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Yeah its akin to when 300+ Op maps are posted and folks say "here comes the warmth". No warmth here my friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Yeah its akin to when 300+ Op maps are posted and folks say "here comes the warmth". Agreed as long as everyone acknowledges neither is spot on correct all the time. But we either post the MJO and LR maps and discuss or we ignore them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 Anyone else here who could go for a good polar vortex event (as long as there’s snow both at the beginning and the end)? It’s been awhile. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 Not liking and 4 out of 5 are in the 2000's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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