Itstrainingtime Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 1 minute ago, mahantango#1 said: 22 for the low this morning was expecting it to be colder. 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I can only go back to the 0Z from yesterday which was 20-22 for you. It may have been a little lower in earlier runs. I posted something yesterday that was lower but forget if it was the HRRR. I was going to make a comment that as is often the case, the cold underperformed here. I thought it was to get colder but I admit I didn't look into it much at all. Regardless - I needed a jacket this morning which doesn't happen often on 3/29. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was going to make a comment that as is often the case, the cold underperformed here. I thought it was to get colder but I admit I didn't look into it much at all. Regardless - I needed a jacket this morning which doesn't happen often on 3/29. I scanned back and found my post a few pages ago. It was 2 degrees colder than the 0Z when I posted so 18 or 19 for the LSV. MDT's low is 23 or 24 for it was 3-5 degrees too cold 18 hours out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 That 56 is Cashtowns Golf Course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 54 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Temp "only" got down to 23 overnight. Same low of 23 in Marysville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Even out in your area, mostly low 20s this morning. Thanks for posting. I'm guessing the winds were the culprit overnight? When I went to bed, it was still howling outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Even out in your area, mostly low 20s this morning. Thanks for posting. I'm guessing the winds were the culprit overnight? When I went to bed, it was still howling outside. If you look down south of me you see a 16 and a 19 just to my West. It is up to 19 here now. Elevation helped this AM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Wind chill 80 below? I'm staying away from there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Wind chill 80 below? I'm staying away from there! The NWS Wind Chill Calculator will not allow wind speeds above 110MPH and wind chill is only -10 with a surface temp of 20 at that speed. So, I guess you can kiss my ass goodbye 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 24 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 Bottomed out at 24 and still there. SPC going al in on severe storms tomorrow in the LA/MS area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 Just now, canderson said: Bottomed out at 24 and still there. SPC going al in on severe storms tomorrow in the LA/MS area. Yes they are, and save for the extreme southern border of PA, they've only gone with a Marginal for most of us on their day #3 outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yes they are, and save for the extreme southern border of PA, they've only gone with a Marginal for most of us on their day #3 outlook. Ya not seeing a big outbreak up here. Don’t think it warms up enough to destabilize the atmosphere here Thursday afternoon. The rain during the day probably saves us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 While we freeze, Penguins bake...Polar Bears have no comment. https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/28/weather/antarctica-world-record-high-temperature-anomaly-climate/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 Looks like the 6z GFS drops the 10th storm for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Looks like the 6z GFS drops the 10th storm for now. The MU KU. 0Z had it though a bit farther west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The MU KU. 0Z had it though a bit farther west. I have a feeling that the reality will be a big 'ole FU to the MU KU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I have a feeling that the reality will be a big 'ole FU to the MU KU. I was waiting for someone to hit that softball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I have a feeling that the reality will be a big 'ole FU to the MU KU. Still time but I think we are headed there with a FU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Still time but I think we are headed there with a FU. Is missing a snowstorm on April 10th really an FU though? It would do a lot of devastation to have 20" of wet snow fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Is missing a snowstorm on April 10th really an FU though? It would do a lot of devastation to have 20" of wet snow fall. True. and understood on the devastation but tornadoes do the same as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Is missing a snowstorm on April 10th really an FU though? It would do a lot of devastation to have 20" of wet snow fall. Exactly. Getting a KU in April probably happens as often as March 1993. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 Low of 21 here. If you thought that min max record of 32 for Harrisburg was impressive, Bradford set a new record by topping out at 19. A high of 19 on March 28, just wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 The Laurels have made out well the last few days. Seven Springs..... Laurel Ridge State Park.... http://www.paccsa.org/sites/default/files/webcamlr/netcam.jpg 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: The Laurels have made out well the last few days. Seven Springs..... Laurel Ridge State Park.... http://www.paccsa.org/sites/default/files/webcamlr/netcam.jpg I was surprised Whitetail was not still open when I went by this weekend. Guess that 7-10 days of above normal was too much for them to overcome after a sparse winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I was surprised Whitetail was not still open when I went by this weekend. Guess that 7-10 days of above normal was too much for them to overcome after a sparse winter. Roundtop and Whitetail both closed for the season on Sunday, March 20th. I was looking at the webcams for both of those resorts on Saturday the 19th and while both had a fair amount of terrain open, the conditions were horrid. That week was full of sunny, 60+ degree days. Most of the trails were slush runs. So I think it's safe to say that you're right about the AN temps in the middle of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 An example of the HIA can be seen than by looking at the MA Ob's thread. Almost all the lows were between 18-22 and that is in low lying beltway areas in many cases. This is not a one time thing. Those guys regularly report temps below the HIA area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 14 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: The Laurels have made out well the last few days. Seven Springs..... Laurel Ridge State Park.... http://www.paccsa.org/sites/default/files/webcamlr/netcam.jpg Pretty scene there - too bad they closed up shop for the season on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: That 56 is Cashtowns Golf Course. 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: An example of the HIA can be seen than by looking at the MA Ob's thread. Almost all the lows were between 18-22 and that is in low lying beltway areas in many cases. This is not a one time thing. Those guys regularly report temps below the HIA area. I've noticed what you're saying as well, and honestly, it confuses me. Take the map you posted earlier this morning - much of Lanco is in the 22-24 degree range, and some of those locations are very remote. Definitely no HIA heat island dynamic in play there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I've noticed what you're saying as well, and honestly, it confuses me. Take the map you posted earlier this morning - much of Lanco is in the 22-24 degree range, and some of those locations are very remote. Definitely no HIA heat island dynamic in play there. Yea, its not always actual HIA vs just calling an area HIA. You are not exactly a concrete jungle in Historic District. But reports of below or at 20 right on the Beltway around DC. Any given night can have better radiational conditions to our south but its is indeed not an uncommon experience. Temps in the LSV seem to stay above forecast level times when areas to their N,S,E and W do not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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