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Central PA - Winter 2021/2022


Bubbler86
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1 minute ago, paweather said:

3K did move east a bit so I am going to continue to like the 12k, NAM, and HRRR. B)

The HRRR is going through its seemingly every storm paddle initiation on the MA right now.  Less respected posters complain that it is not reliable before more respected posters come in to point out that it is as good as anything else.   It wins some, it loses some. 

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Wind Adv for M/D Line counties of MD.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
326 PM EST Fri Mar 11 2022

MDZ003-502-VAZ025>031-507-508-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-120430-
/O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0009.220312T0800Z-220313T0600Z/
Washington-Central and Eastern Allegany-Augusta-Rockingham-
Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-
Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-
Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Eastern Grant-
Eastern Mineral-
Including the cities of Hagerstown, Cumberland, Staunton,
Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock,
Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah,
Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Big Meadows, Wintergreen,
Romney, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, Shepherdstown,
Moorefield, Petersburg, Antioch, Keyser, New Creek, Ridgeville,
Russelldale, Headsville, and Fort Ashby
326 PM EST Fri Mar 11 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of western Maryland and northwestern Virginia
  from east of the Allegheny Highlands to the Blue Ridge Mountains.

* WHEN...From 3 AM Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down. Several power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest winds tonight will likely be at
  elevations above 2500 feet, with stronger winds reaching the
  lower elevations Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. Prepare for power
outages.

&&

 

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36 minutes ago, paweather said:

3K did move east a bit so I am going to continue to like the 12k, NAM, and HRRR. B)

Now we should feel better about this thing coming.  My concerns of it headed back NW are shot in the arse...and I'm happy for it.  I'm out for the weekend.  Enjoy whatever we get.  Looks like a good thump here.  

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39 minutes ago, Superstorm said:


Won’t lose much lost. Heavy rates and true arctic air will win that battle.


.

Not much but not nothing either. I expect a brief period of rain and sleet when it first rolls in. Thinking at most a tenth of qpf lost and probably more like only a few hundredths. Either way a good show awaits us. 

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20 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Yea...I started the Buick GN up and filled the Methanol injection reservoir full. Ready for late next week to take it out ...

But 1st things 1st ... Blizzard :D

Less interesting but I just walked around and put away the hoses I took out last weekend, put the A/C Cover back on, and covered the Pansies my wife has started watering.    I can protect them from the snow but maybe not the possible sub 10 degree temps Sunday AM. 

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ABC 27 just showed coating-2” west of Harrisburg and 2”-4” to the East of HBG.

Seems low?


.

That’s quite a disunity with warnings being posted. But in there defense going from c-2” to 4”-6” is a lot easier than going from even 4”-6” to 2”-4”. Human psychology is fickle, no need to make job harder.


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Just now, losetoa6 said:

Sterling ...:popcorn:

Guidance suggests that the low may deepen
on the order of 40-45 mb in 24 hours as it makes that trek from
Georgia to New Brunswick. 

If it were not for the speed of the front ushering it out, we would be in line for a decade level event.   As it is I suspect someone East of me gets over a foot.   I heard someone in Martins (Giant) proudly exclaiming the snow will never lay on the roads.  Ha. 

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