Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 24 minutes ago, anotherman said: So is Canderson. He is going to be out making sure not one flake accumulates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 18z EPS also ticked further north for the Wednesday snow chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: He is going to be out making sure not one flake accumulates. So is the Met from MU…. (just kidding Lancaster county posters…!) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: So is the Met from MU…. (just kidding Lancaster county posters… He (MU) is sounds like a weenie at heart so I bet he would gladly be wrong to get some snow. Those 2m temps really need to do down for Wed to be anymore more than a mulch bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Speaking of @canderson The wind today really took away from the warm temperatures. I had shorts & a T-shirt on today, but I needed to put a sweatshirt on for the family early evening walk because of the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: He (MU) is sounds like a weenie at heart so I bet he would gladly be wrong to get some snow. Those 2m temps really need to do down for Wed to be anymore more than a mulch bomb. I’ll be happy on Wednesday just to see several hours of snow that stick mainly to the grass & car tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 Blizz is writing zone forecasts now. Nws is gaga for snow mentioning it in 5 periods. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 58 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: He (MU) is sounds like a weenie at heart so I bet he would gladly be wrong to get some snow. Those 2m temps really need to do down for Wed to be anymore more than a mulch bomb. Hopefully your mulch is in the shade to maximize chances. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Hopefully your mulch is in the shade to maximize chances. I am ready with camera....white is good for afterwards but darker mulch is good for catching March fatties! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 The 0z RGEM is ready to cover more than just the mulch…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 10 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z RGEM is ready to cover more than just the mulch…. Can we get more of that to spread up into NY as well? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 14 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z RGEM is ready to cover more than just the mulch…. Can we get a plowable at 35 degrees? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Can we get more of that to spread up into NY as well? You can either have below freezing temps or snow...But not both at the same time with this air mass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 A balmy 64 degrees at 1:00 AM! as I head off to bed. These conditions literally could be a normal night in late June. It does feel nice out there...but it can wait another month while we deal with our upcoming snow chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 So is the severe outlook even going to be a thing today? One of my weather apps is saying about there being a potential for severe thunderstorms today now lol Actually nevermind I took a look and we're in Slight risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 minute ago, TheDreamTraveler said: So is the severe outlook even going to be a thing today? One of my weather apps is saying about there being a potential for severe thunderstorms today now lol Actually nevermind I took a look and we're in Slight risk Thanks for posting this - have to believe the biggest risk is winds, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Thanks for posting this - have to believe the biggest risk is winds, no? Yeah that's what they seem to be saying from what I've read 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Crazy March weather the next few days with 70 and a thunderstorm chance today and then snow possible on Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Just about every model is now showing snow for most of us on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 CTP's forecast for me on Wednesday: Wednesday Rain likely, possibly mixed with snow, becoming all rain after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 41. Southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I just posted in the MId forum how Wed could be a sneaky event for some . Rates could get pretty decent and could overcome borderline surface temps . I think the stakes were raised a bit when the Nam starting show a WSW level event (for the mulch at least) in Central VA. Everything about it's depiction was a paste bomb. No sleet in these totals. Reposted this to show it in TT where it is even more impressive looking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 10 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I just posted in the MId forum how Wed could be a sneaky event for some . Rates could get pretty decent and could overcome borderline surface temps . The 6z GFS & 6z Euro are also onboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 12 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I made it to 73 today. MDT topped out at 74, breaking the previous daily record of 72 from 1946. Record high low may be missed this time. Colder Sunday Am and Monday evening could take away both days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 49 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Record high low will be missed this time. Colder Sunday Am and Monday evening take away both days. Yeah I saw that. It looks like we'll just sneak below the max min record (48 from 1921) right before midnight tonight, could be close but the front should be deep enough by us at that point that temps should be dropping quick. Looking at the five minute observations from MDT yesterday is pretty remarkable. The temp rose 22 degrees between noon and 1pm (from 50 to 72), including one five minute period where it went up six degrees ha. This aligns with what many of us witnessed yesterday. I remember at one point seemingly blinking before checking my weather station to see it had gone up like ten degrees. I thought something may have been wrong with it but nope, just one of those days where the airmass was in place and the temp was ready to pop upon clouds clearing out. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 9 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Yeah I saw that. It looks like we'll just sneak below the max min record (48 from 1921) right before midnight tonight, could be close but the front should be deep enough by us at that point that temps should be dropping quick. Looking at the five minute observations from MDT yesterday is pretty remarkable. The temp rose 22 degrees between noon and 1pm (from 50 to 72), including one five minute period where it went up six degrees ha. This aligns with what many of us witnessed yesterday. I remember at one point seemingly blinking before checking my weather station to see it had gone up like ten degrees. I thought something may have been wrong with it but nope, just one of those days where the airmass was in place and the temp was ready to pop upon clouds clearing out. Good stuff. Yea, similar thing here. at 5AM I looked and then again around 7:30 and I thought something was broken. Like a damn that had burst. I made my more definitive comment about today and the record after looking at the HRRR having MDT into the 30's at midnight. If it ends up being as close as you are thinking then I better make my comment sound a little less certain. Off to edit now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 61 and cloudy here. getting ready for a great 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, similar thing here. at 5AM I looked and then again around 7:30 and I thought something was broken. Like a damn that had burst. I made my more definitive comment about today and the record after looking at the HRRR having MDT into the 30's at midnight. If it ends up being as close as you are thinking then I better make my comment sound a little less certain. Off to edit now. No I think you have the right of it. I was just going off of the NWS hour-by-hour graphs that have MDT still at 49 at 11pm and then 46 at midnight, which would qualify as a close cut. However, they're probably still playing catch-up with the models and I expect the cold front to sweep through a bit quicker than that, as they often do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 I'm not sure what's more depressing. Gas prices, war news, or our upcoming forecast after today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, Voyager said: I'm not sure what's more depressing. Gas prices, war news, or our upcoming forecast after today... Come on Voyager you gotta love snow and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 Kuch is ignoring the 2M temps a bit. Quite high. It is lower that 10-1 though. That is going to be a lot of snow TV/white rain but I also beleive that if rates happen, 35 or below will be fine for slush to set a base for accums even on roads....with rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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