Itstrainingtime Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: If that were completely true, then why would the output/outcome change from 12Z to 18Z? Here is a paper that better explains the findings: https://ams.confex.com/ams/27WAF23NWP/webprogram/Handout/Paper273676/GFS4cycle_2015_NWP_Chicago_15A.pdf ✎ EditSign Thanks, this is what I was looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 23 hours ago, sauss06 said: i'm taking the plow off the truck. Skidding and banding the snow blowers and putting them, high, real high up on the pallet racking I was thinking about taking the snowblower off my tractor. But that a 10 minute hook up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: If that were completely true, then why would the output/outcome change from 12Z to 18Z? Here is a paper that better explains the findings: https://ams.confex.com/ams/27WAF23NWP/webprogram/Handout/Paper273676/GFS4cycle_2015_NWP_Chicago_15A.pdf Yeah I saw this article to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 9 hours ago, canderson said: If it’s gonna get down to 35 tonight I have no idea how. 52 at 11:40 pm. Weekend looks amazing minus some showers Sunday am. Surprisingly enough MDT got down to 33 last night, which was my low as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 45 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Explain to me; please, why "off hour" runs are different than "on hour" runs? I could be off on this but I believe that, outside of special circumstances, the balloons are only sent up for 0z and 12z. Better initialization. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 The way I think about the off-hour runs is kind of like this.....they are still better than the prior runs simply because they are six additional hours down the line (i.e. closer to the events occurring), so time is on their side; however, the gain in predicative ability from 6z to 12z is greater than the gain from 12z to 18z. Make sense? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 32.2 here for my low this morning. Up to 45.7 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Beautiful day out there! 46 and sunny, making a run towards 60 later on. Short sleeve shirt weather for the game tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Beautiful day out there! 46 and sunny, making a run towards 60 later on. Short sleeve shirt weather for the game tonight. Harden's first home game the place will be rockin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Beautiful day out there! 46 and sunny, making a run towards 60 later on. Short sleeve shirt weather for the game tonight. 60 isn't happening, and the breeze is quite brisk. Currently sitting at 52.9, might not even reach 55 at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 60 isn't happening, and the breeze is quite brisk. Currently sitting at 52.9, might not even reach 55 at this point. It is still only 48 here and it does feel chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It is still only 48 here and it does feel chilly. Yeah, I thought this would be a classic day before the cold front kind of deal where temps overperformed. I'll be close to the forecast high, but the wind is adding a bit of a chill. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Beautiful day out there! 46 and sunny, making a run towards 60 later on. Short sleeve shirt weather for the game tonight. It really is. I'm at 53 but the light breeze and bright sunshine make it feel very nice. I even went for a run, something I very rarely do haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 10 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: The on hour from 0Z showed close to the same amount of snow as the off hour 18Z, just a bit easterly displaced. The 18z GFS has a major snowstorm for CTP on March 12th. Bring it! We are overdue… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 18z GFS has a major snowstorm for CTP on March 12th. Bring it! We are overdue… Off run, we should ignore it right? (Joking, of course not). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 18z GFS has a major snowstorm for CTP on March 12th. Bring it! We are overdue… It also has the near miss Lucky St Pats day snow storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 33 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 18z GFS has a major snowstorm for CTP on March 12th. Bring it! We are overdue… Geez Blizz let’s get this on 12z and 0z run I love it! You are our lucky guy for sure bring it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 Look at that crowd tonight wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 37 minutes ago, paweather said: Look at that crowd tonight wow The crowd at the introduction was awesome! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 3, 2022 Author Share Posted March 3, 2022 Cannot lose to the New York Basketball team. The cellar dwellers of the NBA right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Cannot lose to the New York Basketball team. The cellar dwellers of the NBA right now! Long way to go….just like this Winter… Far from over! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 Got up to a beautiful 56 here today. Saturday looks glorious too - sunny and mid 50s. Sunday I think we get up to 72. Next week looks all above average - mostly low 50s. Don’t see any cold air in sight actually making it here into the LSV. Time changes soon too so spring is basically here, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 3 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 18z GFS has a major snowstorm for CTP on March 12th. Bring it! We are overdue… @canderson You must have missed this post… Check out the pattern that the models are showing from around the 10th onward…. Cold with Winter storm chances are coming back to CTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 3, 2022 Author Share Posted March 3, 2022 46 minutes ago, canderson said: Got up to a beautiful 56 here today. Saturday looks glorious too - sunny and mid 50s. Sunday I think we get up to 72. Next week looks all above average - mostly low 50s. Don’t see any cold air in sight actually making it here into the LSV. Time changes soon too so spring is basically here, I am not seeing it like you are. I just posted the graphic showing extreme cold Friday. Gfs has mid 40's Sat Lol. Maybe you end up right but hard to say no cold air in sight with single digits possible in colder locations Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I am not seeing it like you are. I just posted the graphic showing extreme cold Friday. Gfs has mid 40's Sat Lol. Maybe you end up right but hard to say no cold air in sight with single digits possible in colder locations Friday. Tomorrow and Friday will be chilly but it’ll not be that cold 1 low around freezing. Saturday I think we get to 50/51. I don’t buy next week’s cold shot either. Hope I’m wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 What an incredible night to be in south Philly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 Not to snow on everyone’s Spring/Sixers parade haha, but I do have a changeover and some snow to report this early morning (dusting). 511 cams just up the hill from me in Cambria look to have gotten an inch or so. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 3, 2022 Author Share Posted March 3, 2022 2 hours ago, MAG5035 said: Not to snow on everyone’s Spring/Sixers parade haha, but I do have a changeover and some snow to report this early morning (dusting). 511 cams just up the hill from me in Cambria look to have gotten an inch or so. Is that a squished burrito in the pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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