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Central PA - Winter 2021/2022


Bubbler86
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February was the first full month for my weather station so here were the basics for the month. The 30.2ºF mean looked pretty close to average compared to the local climo (KAOO) despite a handful of days that did spike up into the 50s and a couple 60+ days. 

904663146_AmbientWeather2.thumb.png.0c7d6f72a9764cf7743961f839ceafaf.png

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4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Disappointed in no "Boom's" or "Did you see this" for the St Patty's day snow storm?

image.thumb.png.bccdaf53e8c45390722c1e08e56cfbdf.png

 

You beat me by 5 minutes.

I have several maps to post from the 18z GFS!

Lol…This map would be funny if it verified because the Met at MU could claim a snowless victory while the rest of us are shoveling snow!

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5 minutes ago, paweather said:

the 06z and 18z don’t use fresh observations.

If that were completely true, then why would the output/outcome change from 12Z to 18Z?   Here is a paper that better explains the findings:

https://ams.confex.com/ams/27WAF23NWP/webprogram/Handout/Paper273676/GFS4cycle_2015_NWP_Chicago_15A.pdf

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

If that were completely true, then why would the output/outcome change from 12Z to 18Z?   Here is a paper that better explains the findings:

https://ams.confex.com/ams/27WAF23NWP/webprogram/Handout/Paper273676/GFS4cycle_2015_NWP_Chicago_15A.pdf

 

 

Only skimmed, but the takeaway is that even if the 6z/18z is worse overall than 0z/12z, it’s actually as good or better through about D6-7?

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5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

If that were completely true, then why would the output/outcome change from 12Z to 18Z?   Here is a paper that better explains the findings:

https://ams.confex.com/ams/27WAF23NWP/webprogram/Handout/Paper273676/GFS4cycle_2015_NWP_Chicago_15A.pdf

 

 

Yeah not sure I just pulled it from the internet but something is different about the off runs. 

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