Ruin Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Is it me or does the radar look a bit laughable meaning very lackluster spotty precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 35/28 (we had quite a bit of rain so we are close saturated) here now. Here are the temps and DP's area wide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ruin said: Is it me or does the radar look a bit laughable meaning very lackluster spotty precip There was never to be much of anything during the daylight hours. In fact, as recent as yesterday, some forecasts for today included sunshine. If anything, today has "overperformed" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 35/28 (we had quite a bit of rain so we are close saturated) here now. Here are the temps and DP's area wide. Thanks for posting both the temp and dewpoints - I'm at 34/24 at home right now. Have a hard time believing I drop much below freezing this evening. We'll find out soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 39 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: There was never to be much of anything during the daylight hours. In fact, as recent as yesterday, some forecasts for today included sunshine. If anything, today has "overperformed" That may be true but I could have sworn that a lot of the forecasters for local weather we're saying that it was supposed to start at 7:00 or 8:00 p.m. that was with the last 2 days that I saw. So if the raider looks this dry are we still in time frame for seven or eight or is it going to be like 11:00 or midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 hour ago, pawatch said: Your tractor doesn’t have OnSpots on it? Whats up with that Nope. My neighbors heating oil truck does, though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 46 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Thanks for posting both the temp and dewpoints - I'm at 34/24 at home right now. Have a hard time believing I drop much below freezing this evening. We'll find out soon enough. I am already toast (literally and figuratively) being at 35/28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I am already toast (literally and figuratively) being at 35/28. Not good. I'm now at 35/26. I could say more but won't. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 CTP has removed sleet from my forecast other than a 20% chance before 8pm. All precip I do get is expected to be rain or freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 12 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: CTP has removed sleet from my forecast other than a 20% chance before 8pm. All precip I do get is expected to be rain or freezing rain. Even my less-than-enamored forecast of the last few days may prove to be too optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 10 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Even my less-than-enamored forecast of the last few days may prove to be too optimistic. Latest from Elliott at MU: I created a "Wintry Mix Timeline" to depict arrival times of sleet/frz. rain this evening. Areas along & south of the PA Turnpike may only see a 15-30 min. period of #sleet before a transition to #ice, while areas north of the Turnpike receive up to 0.5" of sleet. #pawx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 I hit 39 today. Currently at 38/20. National high of 90 at Plant City, FL and low of -45 at Seagull Lake, MN. Impressive range of 135 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 31.8 getting ready for fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 22 minutes ago, paweather said: 31.8 getting ready for fun Don’t get your hopes up. Looks like no snow at all, minimal sleet and some light zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 8 minutes ago, canderson said: Don’t get your hopes up. Looks like no snow at all, minimal sleet and some light zr. So a WAAAaaa.... instead of WWA? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Well it once again looks like it's all collapsing right before game time. WWA now reduced to up to 1" of sleet and .1" - .2" of freezing rain. NWS must have looked at the 18z HRRR which basically showed almost no sleet, with most of the precip freezing rain up until dawn and then rising above 32 with plain rain for a few hours at the end, which is around 10:00 - 11:00am. My high today was 34.0 which occurred at midnight. My low was 29.1. My intra-day high was 32.7. I'm back to 32.2 and holding steady. Dew point is 23 and more importantly, the wet bulb has risen to 29.3...a sign that the cooling effects of the first hour or two of steady precip will only be enough to drop back to between 29 and 30 degrees. I guess we just look forward to the dry, sunny weather all of next week with temps gradually warming back up to 50 by Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 13 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Well it once again looks like it's all collapsing right before game time. WWA now reduced to up to 1" of sleet and .1" - .2" of freezing rain. NWS must have looked at the 18z HRRR which basically showed almost no sleet, with most of the precip freezing rain up until dawn and then rising above 32 with plain rain for a few hours at the end, which is around 10:00 - 11:00am. My high today was 34.0 which occurred at midnight. My low was 29.1. My intra-day high was 32.7. I'm back to 32.2 and holding steady. Dew point is 23 and more importantly, the wet bulb has risen to 29.3...a sign that the cooling effects of the first hour or two of steady precip will only be enough to drop back to between 29 and 30 degrees. I guess we just look forward to the dry, sunny weather all of next week with temps gradually warming back up to 50 by Wednesday. I hate to be a broken record but I think its incredibly hard to have a significant icing event unless temps are starting in the low to mid 20's (assuming WAA warming is why it is ice and not snow). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Storm looking dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 29 minutes ago, Ruin said: Storm looking dry It just needs a little stimulation... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 24 hours later, CTP isn't looking so bad for waiting to hoist advisories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: I hate to be a broken record but I think its incredibly hard to have a significant icing event unless temps are starting in the low to mid 20's (assuming WAA warming is why it is ice and not snow). Lol…did I miss the event? Maybe we should let things play out tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 32 temp 20 dew point Ice on the way Winter not done! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 hour ago, CarlislePaWx said: Well it once again looks like it's all collapsing right before game time. WWA now reduced to up to 1" of sleet and .1" - .2" of freezing rain. NWS must have looked at the 18z HRRR which basically showed almost no sleet, with most of the precip freezing rain up until dawn and then rising above 32 with plain rain for a few hours at the end, which is around 10:00 - 11:00am. My high today was 34.0 which occurred at midnight. My low was 29.1. My intra-day high was 32.7. I'm back to 32.2 and holding steady. Dew point is 23 and more importantly, the wet bulb has risen to 29.3...a sign that the cooling effects of the first hour or two of steady precip will only be enough to drop back to between 29 and 30 degrees. I guess we just look forward to the dry, sunny weather all of next week with temps gradually warming back up to 50 by Wednesday. Plenty cold enough for Winter precip tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol…did I miss the event? Maybe we should let things play out tonight? I am not calling anything I was responding to Carlisle saying the models were downscaling. No way there is 1/2 to 1" ice accretion when the temp is near freezing. That is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 24 hours later, CTP isn't looking so bad for waiting to hoist advisories. I agree, they did a good job. I was just thinking that we track these events on here for over a week. By the time the storm gets to within a couple of days, it seems like it takes forever to get to game time. So many ups & downs and changes along the way. I am going to try to enjoy whatever wintry precip that I get tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I am not calling anything I was responding to Carlisle saying the models were downscaling. No way there is 1/2 to 1" ice accretion when the temp is near freezing. That is all. 33/28 here now - I expect zero icing on roads in this area. Perhaps some glazing on trees and power lines for a few hours later tonight. I think you need to get up in the MSV until there's issues of significance. Not unexpected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 hour delay here for the local school district. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Thinking this may bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 30 degrees on the nose with a DP of 17. Me thinks things get interesting overnight here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 25 minutes ago, Voyager said: 30 degrees on the nose with a DP of 17. Me thinks things get interesting overnight here. Yeah, you might need a chisel by morning... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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