Voyager Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 I saw a couple of flurries in Tower City. One thing of note. Penndot is not bring any roads along my route. Not 209, 225, nor 147. I'd have thought with the sleet and ice threat they would have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Got some returns on the radar but nothing hitting the ground yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 No precip/snow here yet. Temp holding steady at 30.7 degrees. However, the dew point is 18 degrees and more importantly, the wet bulb is 27 degrees. Those numbers easily imply cooling by 2-3 degrees once serious precip arrives. Regardless of what happens aloft, I know my temp is going to struggle to reach 32.0 before 7am tomorrow morning. With almost the entire event taking place during the night, the maximum potential of freezing rain, should that be the predominant ptype, will be realized. NWS has most of us in the WWA getting up to 3" of snow/sleet and up to a 0.25' of ice. The sleet will be the main story during the first half of the storm. The second half could be the freezing rain. I'm not talking about the daytime stuff, which was never supposed to be more than a trace. The action doesn't start until after 7pm. >>update...the first flakes are just now beginning to fall here...so slowly I can practically count them (lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 34 here and a rain/snow mix. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Occasional sleet pellets. Temp stuck at 30 all morning. 12Z GFS is a colder run but shifted best precip north again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, GrandmasterB said: Occasional sleet pellets. Temp stuck at 30 all morning. 12Z GFS is a colder run but shifted best precip north again. That is a big factor seeming to to play out (yet again). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Why did i think this wasn't starting until later tonight. And some already have precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, sauss06 said: Why did i think this wasn't starting until later tonight. And some already have precip? Most models had some occasional light stuff today. Main WAA is while most sleep. Look at the 3K qpf map. LSV dry slot again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 I am shocked - shocked I say - as temps get colder we likely see the qpf move away. History repeats itself over and over and over and over and over and over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Can someone post the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 first Flurries! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, anotherman said: Can someone post the GFS? Here is the ice if that is what you were looking for... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 heavy Flurries right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 GFS is through most of the first week of March and the highest 18Z temp at MDT, one day, is 45. it is a chilly run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 If it's cold enough tonight and we don't get the precip I may have to meltdown on here. I apologize in advance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: GFS is through most of the first week of March and the highest 18Z temp at MDT, one day, is 45. it is a chilly run. Yeah I noticed that as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, GrandmasterB said: If it's cold enough tonight and we don't get the precip I may have to meltdown on here. I apologize in advance. Be a JI do it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: GFS is through most of the first week of March and the highest 18Z temp at MDT, one day, is 45. it is a chilly run. I just gave you my token sad face reaction. I did see some heavy flurries (lol) on my up to Sunbury... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Voyager said: I just gave you my token sad face reaction. I did see some heavy flurries (lol) on my up to Sunbury... I am not posting to irritate you of course. I am getting into my "hold on to winter" mode which will conflict with you but not personal LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 some light snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: I am not posting to irritate you of course. I am getting into my "hold on to winter" mode which will conflict with you but not personal LOL Oh, I know that. My sad face reactions are on a having fun level. That's why I made a post to follow up. It's all good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 This cold air means business, temp only went from 28 to 31 si ce this morning with a stiff north to northeast breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 18 minutes ago, Voyager said: Oh, I know that. My sad face reactions are on a having fun level. That's why I made a post to follow up. It's all good. Good, because I would not want pictures like this one be a cause for harm. LOL! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Good, because I would not want pictures like this one be a cause for harm. LOL! As we get into the warmer months I just want a map of the Bermuda high flexing it's muscle, with heat and high dewpoints! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Well the 2 NAMs are definitely drier compared to the GFS by 50%! Total QPF GFS around 1.10" with total on both NAMs between 0.5" to 0.6". 12K freezing rain (for MDT area) 0.2" with 0.15" ice accretion 3K freezing rain only 0.08" with 0.07" ice accretion. Extrapolating it looks like there are several hours of sleet between when it starts (which isn't until 10:00pm on both) and 1:00am. Then changeover to light freezing rain on and off until 7am. Then approximately 0.05" - 0.10" of plain rain at the end which is by 10:00am. Now, which ones do we believe are most likely to play out the way they currently show? BTW, I'm still 30.7 but the period of super-light snow increased the dew point up to 22. Wet bulb now 27.5 so the cooling potential remains in tact (for now). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 43 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: As we get into the warmer months I just want a map of the Bermuda high flexing it's muscle, with heat and high dewpoints! You and I are going to have to carry the torch this summer in this forum...and the pun is most certainly intended...lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 41 minutes ago, Voyager said: You and I are going to have to carry the torch this summer in this forum...and the pun is most certainly intended...lol Hopefully the torch of the eternal flame will consist of plenty of heat and humidity, that we can proudly bear! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 9 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Hopefully the torch of the eternal flame will consist of plenty of heat and humidity, that we can proudly bear! i like heat and humidity too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 4 hours ago, Voyager said: There's a better chance of this storm dumping 2 feet of snow than me doing that... Your tractor doesn’t have OnSpots on it? Whats up with that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said: This cold air means business, temp only went from 28 to 31 si ce this morning with a stiff north to northeast breeze. It is cold and raw today. Even my arthritic knee is saying bad weather on the way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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