Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 A balmy 50 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 22 hours ago, canderson said: If winds gust past 60 I hope my siding and fascia doesn’t blow off. That’ll do house damage to a lot of folks. I hope we don't get those winds. But it's that time of the year as we get closer to March. I'm sure the trees I have here will get raked from the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 44 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: A balmy 50 right now. It was 38 when I went to bed last night, woke up to 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: It was 38 when I went to bed last night, woke up to 52. Darn GL runners, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 Looks like 3K is ramping up the rain totals again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 The story from 0z seems to be plenty of opportunity but a lack of persistent cold air. I'll not be holding my breath. Looks like a windy 24 hour period ahead, not really going to allow for any enjoyment of the mild temps. I hate wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 We snow tomorrow morning per GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: The story from 0z seems to be plenty of opportunity but a lack of persistent cold air. I'll not be holding my breath. Looks like a windy 24 hour period ahead, not really going to allow for any enjoyment of the mild temps. I hate wind. Heck of a sleet bomb on the GFS. We all know better than to sink too much thought into it but still interesting to look at. CAD city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Heck of a sleet bomb on the GFS. We all know better than to sink too much thought into it but still interesting to look at. CAD city. Definitely a sleet bomb been showing it for some time now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 23 minutes ago, paweather said: Definitely a sleet bomb been showing it for some time now. Ugh...anything but that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Voyager said: Ugh...anything but that. Let's hope not we need it colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 2 hours ago, mahantango#1 said: I hope we don't get those winds. But it's that time of the year as we get closer to March. I'm sure the trees I have here will get raked from the wind. Looks like those won't be mixing to the surface here in PA, but a lot of mid to upper 40 gusts in the wee hours tomorrow am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Finally posted wind headlines. /O.NEW.KCTP.WI.Y.0002.220217T2300Z-220218T1400Z/ Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York- Lancaster- Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster 341 AM EST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with occasional gusts between 45 and 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Franklin, Perry, Dauphin, Schuylkill, Lebanon, Cumberland, Adams, York and Lancaster Counties. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Looks like the rain is moving in quicker than expected. I was under the assumption that it would be a late afternoon arrival, but it appears to be but a few miles away from me here in Sunbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 14 minutes ago, Voyager said: Looks like the rain is moving in quicker than expected. I was under the assumption that it would be a late afternoon arrival, but it appears to be but a few miles away from me here in Sunbury. HRRR has the MSV and USV getting into rain earlier. LSV and your home area not until late afternoon/evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Some pretty good indicators at this point that a potent squall line may make its way through the state on Saturday. Heads up for the 'ol I80 pileup! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Some pretty good indicators at this point that a potent squall line may make its way through the state on Saturday. Heads up for the 'ol I80 pileup! Should be interesting I wonder if we will get one here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Next week should be fun rain, ice, and snow We need some activity 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 7 minutes ago, paweather said: Should be interesting I wonder if we will get one here. It looks like we have a solid chance of it staying intact over the mountains. The globals are having trouble seeing that aspect but that's to be expected to some extent, whereas some of the higher resolution models at range are hinting at it. Let's call it a coin flip at this point but I'd take that. Looks like an almost-certainty for folks north and west of the I80/I99 corridor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: It looks like we have a solid chance of it staying intact over the mountains. The globals are having trouble seeing that aspect but that's to be expected to some extent, whereas some of the higher resolution models at range are hinting at it. Let's call it a coin flip at this point but I'd take that. Looks like an almost-certainty for folks north and west of the I80/I99 corridor. For sure N/W of I-80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Here comes the ICE! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 It's 61. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 62 in the 'Ville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 7 minutes ago, canderson said: It's 61. February Thaw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: February Thaw Bang 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Bang Love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Love it! LSV highs 35-40 on Sat and 30-35 on Sunday. (Modeled, not a forecast). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: LSV highs 35-40 on Sat and 30-35 on Sunday. (Modeled, not a forecast). Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Not bad. Help reinforce the frozen top layers of the lakes after today. The ones that are frozen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 Oh my! The CMC will wreck us if it has similar conditions to the GFS on this morning. Of course none of this is model diagnosis vs. big picture comments that Spring appears to have Spring (a leak) on MR depictions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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