MAG5035 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Temp has been slowly starting to fall, down to right at 36ºF currently. Since midnight it has only ranged from 34.3 - 37.4ºF today. Winds are light NNE. About the only good thing from this whole mess is I’m finally getting to see how my rain gauge is working. That’s at 0.89” for the event so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 36.9 now. It was 37.8 at 5pm, so a slow decent. Hopefully it speeds up a bit. I'd like to lose a degree per hour instead two hours as is the current drop rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 48 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 48 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 18z GFS still brings in the Freezing rain to the Harrisburg area before 7am and keeps it going until early afternoon. GFS handled this horribly here. It had been saying that we would be ice and below freezing all day and we rained until just about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 15 minutes ago, anotherman said: 48 here now. After it got to 46 here today, it dropped back to 43 for much of the afternoon but has taken off up to 49 now. Going to be a crazy 12 hours. HRRR has me at 56 around 4AM then 36 around 8AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Temp is falling 35 now after a high of 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Temp is falling 35 now after a high of 40 You guys are supposed to go to ice before I do. I'm really worried about running tomorrow. Even if main roads are treated, side roads won't be, not to mention any ice weight on tree limbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Looking at the Mesowest obs, the 32ºF line is starting to ooze under the I-80 corridor from the north. About an hour or two ago the nearest <32ºF ob I saw from that direction was Coffin Rock haha. The temp here is now near 35ºF and the NNE breeze has ramped up some gusting up to 15mph, so the low level cold air advection is in action. Been watching the HRRR and I think temps could be to a point to start supporting ZR here a couple hours before it’s been advertising it here (by about 10pm or so vs after midnight). Guess we’ll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greensnow Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 33 with some 32 readings starting to sprout up. Should be starting to see some mix in the next two hours. Really worried about ice up here. All models have .40 to .60 and local weather started to highlight the problems once you get close to .50. Still calling for heavy sleet to cut down on ice but we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 hour ago, canderson said: PennDOT isn’t pretreating roads in the LSV. It would have been washed away today anyway! Might as well wait until temps drop towards freezing in the am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: It would have been washed away today anyway! Might as well wait until temps drop towards freezing in the am. Oh that’s what I meant - they’re not treating until somethings freezes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 3 hours ago, medmax said: Winter cancel. Lol…and more lol… The 18z GFS strongly disagrees…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 8 hours ago, paweather said: Looks like after tomorrow we will go to the end of the month before any winter event could happen Lol…where do you get your info….? Check out the 18z GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 20 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Looking at the Mesowest obs, the 32ºF line is starting to ooze under the I-80 corridor from the north. About an hour or two ago the nearest <32ºF ob I saw from that direction was Coffin Rock haha. The temp here is now near 35ºF and the NNE breeze has ramped up some gusting up to 15mph, so the low level cold air advection is in action. Been watching the HRRR and I think temps could be to a point to start supporting ZR here a couple hours before it’s been advertising it here (by about 10pm or so vs after midnight). Guess we’ll see. The next Amwx convention should consider coffin rock for a possible location. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Voyager said: You guys are supposed to go to ice before I do. I'm really worried about running tomorrow. Even if main roads are treated, side roads won't be, not to mention any ice weight on tree limbs. Yes don't know what to expect tomorrow morning wind is still out of the south here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 9 hours ago, paweather said: Gotcha I just looked at the US map. lol… don’t look… just post! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 4 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Yes don't know what to expect tomorrow morning wind is still out of the south here. I think that Pillow is a more central location for our group to meet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Feels like another bust here for forecasting bin my area but that's good no ice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 The fact it’s sleeting in upstate NY where they expected a foot of snow is a tell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 The 0z NAM INCREASED the ice amounts for the Harrisburg area on BOTH the 12k & 3k. The 12k NAM has .45 of ice & the 3k has .47 for Harrisburg. Temps should crash by 7 am according to the 12k NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z NAM INCREASED the ice amounts for the Harrisburg area on BOTH the 12k & 3k. Temps should crash by 7 am according to the 12k NAM. I wonder if I can get away with calling out based on what's supposed to happen an hour or so beyond my start time vs the ground truth AT my start time? I just really don't want to be out driving in an ice storm, but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 minute ago, Voyager said: I wonder if I can get away with calling out based on what's supposed to happen an hour or so beyond my start time vs the ground truth AT my start time? I just really don't want to be out driving in an ice storm, but... I just turned on the Weather Channel and the ice was nasty in Memphis & Dallas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Down to 34ºF, moderate rain. The rainfall portion has definitely exceeded my expectations today around here in terms of totals. Gauge is at 1.42” for the event now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I think that Pillow is a more central location for our group to meet! I have plenty of room here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Sitting at 44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 24 minutes ago, canderson said: The fact it’s sleeting in upstate NY where they expected a foot of snow is a tell. Please show us where...?? Barnes corners, lowville, old forge, lake placid.....all snow. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.2821&lon=-73.9828#.YfyUO-pKiUk and many locals have been snowing since this afternoon. Maybe southern NY, but not northern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 The ice just broke loose on the Mahantango Creek have 1 66 rain so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Huh the temp actually went up a degree here to 43 lol. I'm expecting it to drop anytime now not go back up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Temp off to the races here, up to 51 as I prepare to hit the hay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now